CrisisWatch N°40
1 December 2006

November overtook July 2006 as the worst month for conflict prevention since CrisisWatch began publication 40 months ago.

Fourteen situations deteriorated in November, with seven conflict risk alerts (in anticipation of new or significantly escalated conflict). Improvements were noted during November in only three situations, and no new conflict resolution opportunities were identified for the coming month.

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NOVEMBER 2006 TRENDS

Deteriorated Situations
Azerbaijan, Bolivia, Burundi, Central African Republic, Chad, Colombia, Côte d’Ivoire, Fiji, India (non-Kashmir), Iraq, Lebanon, Somalia, Sudan, Tonga

Improved Situations
Kyrgyzstan, Nepal, Senegal

Unchanged Situations
Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Angola, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Basque Country (Spain), Belarus, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Chechnya (Russia), Cyprus, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ecuador, Egypt, Ethiopia, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Georgia, Haiti, Indonesia, Iran, Israel/Occupied Territories, Kashmir, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, Liberia, Macedonia, Madagascar, Mali, Mauritania, Moldova, Myanmar/Burma, Nagorno-Karabakh (Azerbaijan), Nigeria, North Caucasus (non-Chechnya), North Korea, Northern Ireland (UK), Pakistan, Philippines, Rwanda, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somaliland (Somalia), Sri Lanka, Syria, Taiwan Strait, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Yemen, Zimbabwe

DECEMBER 2006 WATCHLIST

Conflict Risk Alerts

More: <http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4557>

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