It's still about oil in Iraq
A centerpiece of the Iraq Study Group's report is its
advocacy for securing foreign companies' long-term
access to Iraqi oil fields.
By Antonia Juhasz, ANTONIA JUHASZ is a visiting
scholar at the Institute for Policy Studies and author
of "The Bush Agenda: Invading the World, One Economy
at a Time."
December 8, 2006


WHILE THE Bush administration, the media and nearly
all the Democrats still refuse to explain the war in
Iraq in terms of oil, the ever-pragmatic members of
the Iraq Study Group share no such reticence.

Page 1, Chapter 1 of the Iraq Study Group report lays
out Iraq's importance to its region, the U.S. and the
world with this reminder: "It has the world's
second-largest known oil reserves." The group then
proceeds to give very specific and radical
recommendations as to what the United States should do
to secure those reserves. If the proposals are
followed, Iraq's national oil industry will be
commercialized and opened to foreign firms.


The report makes visible to everyone the elephant in
the room: that we are fighting, killing and dying in a
war for oil. It states in plain language that the U.S.
government should use every tool at its disposal to
ensure that American oil interests and those of its
corporations are met.

It's spelled out in Recommendation No. 63, which calls
on the U.S. to "assist Iraqi leaders to reorganize the
national oil industry as a commercial enterprise" and
to "encourage investment in Iraq's oil sector by the
international community and by international energy
companies." This recommendation would turn Iraq's
nationalized oil industry into a commercial entity
that could be partly or fully privatized by foreign
firms.

This is an echo of calls made before and immediately
after the invasion of Iraq.

The U.S. State Department's Oil and Energy Working
Group, meeting between December 2002 and April 2003,
also said that Iraq "should be opened to international
oil companies as quickly as possible after the war."
Its preferred method of privatization was a form of
oil contract called a production-sharing agreement.
These agreements are preferred by the oil industry but
rejected by all the top oil producers in the Middle
East because they grant greater control and more
profits to the companies than the governments. The
Heritage Foundation also released a report in March
2003 calling for the full privatization of Iraq's oil
sector. One representative of the foundation, Edwin
Meese III, is a member of the Iraq Study Group.
Another, James J. Carafano, assisted in the study
group's work.

For any degree of oil privatization to take place, and
for it to apply to all the country's oil fields, Iraq
has to amend its constitution and pass a new national
oil law. The constitution is ambiguous as to whether
control over future revenues from as-yet-undeveloped
oil fields should be shared among its provinces or
held and distributed by the central government.

This is a crucial issue, with trillions of dollars at
stake, because only 17 of Iraq's 80 known oil fields
have been developed. Recommendation No. 26 of the Iraq
Study Group calls for a review of the constitution to
be "pursued on an urgent basis." Recommendation No. 28
calls for putting control of Iraq's oil revenues in
the hands of the central government. Recommendation
No. 63 also calls on the U.S. government to "provide
technical assistance to the Iraqi government to
prepare a draft oil law."

This last step is already underway. The Bush
administration hired the consultancy firm BearingPoint
more than a year ago to advise the Iraqi Oil Ministry
on drafting and passing a new national oil law.

Plans for this new law were first made public at a
news conference in late 2004 in Washington. Flanked by
State Department officials, Iraqi Finance Minister
Adel Abdul Mahdi (who is now vice president) explained
how this law would open Iraq's oil industry to private
foreign investment. This, in turn, would be "very
promising to the American investors and to American
enterprise, certainly to oil companies." The law would
implement production-sharing agreements.

Much to the deep frustration of the U.S. government
and American oil companies, that law has still not
been passed.

In July, U.S. Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman announced
in Baghdad that oil executives told him that their
companies would not enter Iraq without passage of the
new oil law. Petroleum Economist magazine later
reported that U.S. oil companies considered passage of
the new oil law more important than increased security
when deciding whether to go into business in Iraq.

The Iraq Study Group report states that continuing
military, political and economic support is contingent
upon Iraq's government meeting certain undefined
"milestones." It's apparent that these milestones are
embedded in the report itself.

Further, the Iraq Study Group would commit U.S. troops
to Iraq for several more years to, among other duties,
provide security for Iraq's oil infrastructure.
Finally, the report unequivocally declares that the 79
total recommendations "are comprehensive and need to
be implemented in a coordinated fashion. They should
not be separated or carried out in isolation."

All told, the Iraq Study Group has simply made the
case for extending the war until foreign oil companies
— presumably American ones — have guaranteed legal
access to all of Iraq's oil fields and until they are
assured the best legal and financial terms possible.

We can thank the Iraq Study Group for making its case
publicly. It is now our turn to decide if we wish to
spill more blood for oil.

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