The piece de resistance--Merry Christmas Marvin (though give me Peking
Duck any day over that really awful American turkey). This blogger
appears to be on to something: it's national resistance/salvation vs.
permanent occupation and at least most Iraqis now know it. I at least
find the reasoning fairly compelling. CJ


http://raedinthemiddle.blogspot.com/

But, in October 2006, 10 moths after the elections, reality hit home
and realignment occurred.

The Iraqi Parliament passed a new regional law that had been pushed
for by SCIRI, the Kurdish coalition and others. The law lay the
foundation for splitting Iraq into three regions - something all Iraqi
nationals inside the country before the fall of Baghdad were dead set
against.

Passage of the law was unconstitutional for many reasons and
technicalities. Yet, its passage served something good. It was a good
wake up call for the pro-Iraq politicians: Iraqi politicians who are
for keeping Iraq's unity and for ending the occupation of
their country.

The newest push by the Bush administration that supports the creation
of a "new alliance of moderate Iraqis" is doomed. This "new alliance"
is made up of the same old people who failed over and over during the
last four years.

They are not a real alliance. They are not new. And each of them is
working on a different foreign agenda.

They are not moderate enough either. Notice that their militias are
slaughtering Iraqis right and left.

And they are not even Iraqi enough! The only quality they share in
common is their desire to keep the coalition troops in Iraq longer.

The Bush administration is not just beating a dead horse, it is
betting all our tax money on it.

---

Written in collaboration with Jennifer Hicks
Posted By Raed Jarrar at 4:22 PM

Comments and Forum Section: CLOSED!
Thursday, December 21, 2006
Iraq's About Politics, Not Sectarianism
A few weeks ago, the Washington Post reported that the administration
was considering what some call an "80% solution" to solve the problems
in
Iraq. In essence, the solution would be designed to work with the Shia
Iraqis who make up 60% of the population and the Kurds who make up
20%. It would exclude the Iraqi Sunni Arabs that make up the remaining
20% of the population.

However, this won't work. There are new, mixed Iraqi coalitions
emerging, which makes the Iraqi political map more complicated and
mixed than this solution provides for.

Background of the issue

The approach of the United States in dealing with Iraqis is, and has
been, based on such sectarian and ethnic divisions. The Governing
Council, created by Paul Bremer in July 2003, whose 25 members were
chosen by the U.S. led coalition to represent their sects. This was
the first time in Iraq's contemporary history where leaders of the
country were selected based on them having been identified as members
of a particular sectarian group. The Governing Council was a failure -
at least in part because of the sectarian makeup and, as one member
said of it, the Council's propensity to "sit in the council while the
country is burning and argue over procedure.''

Furthermore, the U.S administration -- followed by the mainstream
media -- did their best to portray the growing Iraqi-Iraqi conflict as
a sectarian or religious one with roots that pre-dated the occupation
even though many Iraqi analysts and politicians disagreed with that
perception and believe the current conflict is based on political, not
religious, motives.

The real problem

As new coalitions emerge inside the Iraqi government, it seems that
the background of "sectarian conflict" put forth by the U.S. is
collapsing completely. A number of Shia groups such as the Al-Sadr
movement and the Al-Fadila party are working with Sunni, Kurdish and
secular parties both within and outside the Iraqi government and are
attempting to establish a national front that is against the
occupation and is for unity in Iraq.

While these pro-unity groups coalesce, the Bush administration is
lending its support to another pro-occupation coalition that may
include Al-Hakim of the Supreme Council of Islamic Revolution In Iraq
(SCIRI), the two main Kurdish parties, and the Islamic party which is
a Sunni party led by the Iraqi vice president, Tariq Al-Hashimi.

Conclusion

The newly formed coalitions prove sectarianism is not at the root of
the conflict in Iraq. Sectarian and religious differences are not
splitting the country. Thus, it's clear that the "80% solution" will
have no impact and will not work, nor will any other sectarian-based
response.

The main issue that is splitting Iraqis is the presence of the
occupation, and that's why more than 87% of the Iraqi people, and a
majority of the country's politicians, believe that the first step in
dealing with the Iraqi-Iraqi conflict is pulling out the U.S. and
coalition troops and ending the occupation.

---

Written in collaboration with Jennifer Hicks
Posted By Raed Jarrar at 6:28 AM

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