these are standard results from controls. What is happening with demand? is there a lot of suppressed inflation (suppressed by controls)? if so, it just pop up again. What is the macro plan in Venezula?
On 1/31/07, Yoshie Furuhashi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aEQjUNgrqIpU&refer=home> Chavez Policies Fuel Venezuelan Shortages, Driving Up Inflation By Alex Kennedy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The 52-year-old Chavez, who was re-elected to a six-year term on Dec. 3, has used controls to combat inflation since 2003, when he froze the price of basic foods, such as rice and meat, after a two-month national strike. Setting Prices Since then, he's capped phone and electricity rates, and most recently, set prices for 45 construction materials after the cost of some products, such as drywall, doubled in 2006, Irwin Perret, president of the Venezuelan Construction Association, said in an interview. Government-controlled prices account for about half the country's consumer price index. Venezuela's consumer prices climbed 1.8 percent in December from the previous month, after a 1.3 percent gain in November, the central bank said yesterday. ``Chavez favors price and capital controls to keep a lid on prices rather than spend less or raise interest rates,'' said Alberto Ramos, a senior Latin American economist with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ``We expect Chavez to persist with and possibly deepen these controls.'' At 17 percent, Venezuela's inflation rate was the fastest in Latin America last month. The rate was 15.8 percent in November; as recently as May, it was 10.4 percent. Missing a Target The speedup in inflation means the government isn't likely to meet its target of 10 percent to 12 percent this year, said Andreas Faust, an analyst at Banco Mercantil in Caracas. It missed a similar target in 2006. Chavez boosted government spending 51 percent during the first nine months of 2006 as oil sales jumped to a record for Venezuela, the world's fifth-largest crude oil exporter. The government price caps are helping to contain the inflation ``demons,'' he said in a Nov. 1 speech in one of the slums in eastern Caracas. Venezuela has only allowed farmers to raise the price of some foods, such as sugar, once in the last four years, compared with a 103 percent increase in consumer prices during the same period. That means farmers' incomes aren't keeping up with the rising costs of machinery, fertilizers and worker salaries. To escape the controls and supplement their income, some farmers sell their crops at unregulated street markets for a higher price, Moreno said; others, such as dairy producers, are exacerbating a milk shortage by making more goods whose prices aren't regulated, such as cheeses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . To contact the reporter on this story: Alex Kennedy in Caracas at [EMAIL PROTECTED] . Last Updated: January 2, 2007 23:03 EST -- Yoshie <http://montages.blogspot.com/> <http://mrzine.org> <http://monthlyreview.org/>
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