Marcos,
This answer might be best put over on the postGIS listserv, but I will suggest 
a couple of strategies based on some differing assumptions and certainties.

One certainty - it seems that you absolutely have to have some form of PostGIS 
installed in order to perform the postgreSQL upgrade using pg_upgrade.
One variable - whether or not you will have to do the "hard upgrade" required 
by the postGIS version when doing the standard PostgreSQL upgrade.  In other 
words -- is the postgreSQL upgrade essentially doing the same as the "hard 
upgrade"?
   If YES - then install postgis 1.3.x on your 9.2.4 then use pg_upgrade, then 
do the pgis hard upgrade
   If NO - install postgis 2.x on your 9.2.4 then use pg_upgrade

This is a very relevant case study, one that I myself will be going through 
very very shortly here so I am interested to follow your progress and assist in 
whatever way I might.

Regards,
r.b.




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