>> >> > One more problem with low ndistinct values is that the condition might 
>> >> > very well
>> >> > hit no rows at all. But Idea 1 will largely overestimate the number of 
>> >> > hits.
>>
>> Thats a good point, but I don't see a clear solution. Maybe we could
>
> I think that MCVs are the solution, right?

Only if they cover the entire range of values in the table.

> A low ndistinct means that those values will likely be MCVs.

Yes, but I don't think thats the point.

If we query on values that aren't in the table, the planner will
always overestimate the expected number of returned rows because it (
implicitly ) assumes that every query will return at least 1 record.

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