On 2/26/13 11:19 AM, Robert Haas wrote:
On Mon, Feb 25, 2013 at 10:22 PM, Greg Stark <st...@mit.edu> wrote:
On Mon, Feb 25, 2013 at 8:26 PM, Robert Haas <robertmh...@gmail.com> wrote:
On Sun, Feb 24, 2013 at 7:27 PM, Jim Nasby <j...@nasby.net> wrote:
We actually do that in our application and have discovered that random
sampling can end up significantly skewing your data.

/me blinks.

How so?

Sampling is a pretty big area of statistics. There are dozens of
sampling methods to deal with various problems that occur with
different types of data distributions.

One problem is if you have some very rare events then random sampling
can produce odd results since those rare events will drop out entirely
unless your sample is very large whereas less rare events are
represented proportionally. There are sampling methods that ensure
that x% of the rare events are included even if those rare events are
less than x% of your total data set. One of those might be appropriate
to use for profiling data when you're looking for rare slow queries
amongst many faster queries.

I'll grant all that, but it still seems to me like x% of all queries
plus all queries running longer than x milliseconds would cover most
of the interesting cases.

In our specific case, we were capturing statistics about webpage hits; when we took 
"random" samples and multiplied back out there were some inconsistencies that 
we couldn't explain. We just turned the sampling off and never really investigated. So 
it's possible that something in our implementation was flawed.

However, randomness can also work against you in strange ways. You could easily get a 
glut of samples that are skewed in one direction or another. And the problem can 
potentially be far worse if your "randomness" is actually impacted by some 
other aspect of the system.

For this case it might be good enough. I just wanted to caution about it.


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