On Monday, March 17, 2014, Tom Lane <t...@sss.pgh.pa.us> wrote:

> Claudio Freire <klaussfre...@gmail.com <javascript:;>> writes:
> > On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 7:01 PM, Jim Nasby <j...@nasby.net <javascript:;>>
> wrote:
> >> Even better would be if the planner could estimate how bad a plan will
> >> become if we made assumptions that turn out to be wrong.
>
> > That's precisely what risk estimation was about.
>
> Yeah.  I would like to see the planner's cost estimates extended to
> include some sort of uncertainty estimate, whereupon risk-averse people
> could ask it to prefer low-uncertainty plans over high-uncertainty ones
> (the plans we typically choose for ORDER BY ... LIMIT queries being great
> examples of the latter).  But it's a long way from wishing that to making
> it so.  Right now it's not even clear (to me anyway) how we'd measure or
> model such uncertainty.
>

Most of the cases where I've run into horrible estimates, it seemed like
the same level of knowledge/reasoning that could allow us to know it was
risky, would allow us to just do a better job in the first place.

The exception I can think of is in an antijoin between two huge rels.  It
is like subtracting two large measurements to get a much smaller result.
 We should know the uncertainty will be large.

Cheers,

Jeff

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