I tried to repeat the DBT-2 runs with the "oldestxmin refresh" patch, but to my surprise the baseline run with CVS head, without the patch, behaved very differently than it did back in March.

I rerun the a shorter 1h test with CVS head from May 20th, and March 6th (which is when I ran the earlier tests), and something has clearly been changed between those dates that affects the test. Test run 248 is with CVS checkout from May 20th, and 249 is from March 6th:
http://community.enterprisedb.com/oldestxmin/

Vacuum on the stock table is started right after the rampup, and the drop in performance happens at the very moment that the vacuum finishes.

Anyone have an explanation for this?

One theory is that after VACUUM has populated the FSM, all updates need to do one extra I/O to read in a page with free space to insert to, instead of just extending the relation. But I don't think anything has changed recently in that area. Another theory is that the VACUUM updates some stats, which changes the access plan used to a much worse one. But the tables have been analyzed before the test, and again I don't remember any changes to that recently.

--
  Heikki Linnakangas
  EnterpriseDB   http://www.enterprisedb.com

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