When judging the validity of a theory, it is empirical evidence that
helps us decide its accuracy. Six months ago I was the only person who
predicted a meltdown of the world economy of this magnitude. As knee
jerk ad hoc measures are taken, which are no more than throwing
hundreds of billions of dollars at the banks and hoping for the best.

I will now predict what will occur next

The measures taken by central banks will do absolutely nothing to
avert this meltdown. Nothing The recent gains by the stock markets
will be wiped out within a week (more likely within a day or two)
falling to new lows.

When this happens, my predictions will be ignored and you will
continue to chase your tails for a solution, while the solution is
staring you in the face---you just don't like it.

If a man is offered a fact which goes against his instincts, he will
scrutinize it closely, and unless the evidence is overwhelming, he
will refuse to believe it. If, on the other hand, he is offered
something which affords a reason for acting in accordance to his
instincts, he will accept it even on the slightest evidence. The
origin of myths is explained in this way. (bankrupt liberalism is its
political manifestation)

Bertrand Russell


Men fear thought as they fear nothing else on earth -- more than ruin
-- more even than death.... Thought is subversive and revolutionary,
destructive and terrible, thought is merciless to privilege,
established institutions, and comfortable habit. Thought looks into
the pit of hell and is not afraid. Thought is great and swift and
free, the light of the world, and the chief glory of man.

Bertrand Russell
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