U.S. Factories Contracted at Faster Pace in September
By Timothy R. Homan

Oct. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Manufacturing in the U.S. contracted in
September at the fastest pace since the last recession as sales
slowed, signaling the credit crisis is spreading beyond Wall Street.

The Institute for Supply Management's factory index dropped to 43.5,
the lowest level since October 2001 and less than economists
anticipated, the Tempe, Arizona-based group reported today. A reading
of 50 is the dividing line between expansion and contraction.

The housing slump has already spread to autos, and other industries
may soon follow, as mounting foreclosures, tougher lending rules and
rising unemployment choke off consumer spending. While exports have so
far kept manufacturing from slipping much more, weakening economies
around the globe are also causing overseas sales to slow.

``Manufacturing could be on the brink of a collapse,'' said Lindsey
Piegza, a market analyst at FTN Financial in New York. `There are no
orders, no jobs and there is really no incentive for businesses to
invest. The credit crisis is compounding the problem.''

Stocks added to losses after the report and Treasury securities
extended gains. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 1.8 percent to
1,145.6 at 10:42 a.m. in New York.

The ISM index was projected to drop to 49.5 from August's 49.9,
according to the median of 72 economists' forecasts in a Bloomberg
News survey. Estimates ranged from 48 to 51.1.

Job Market

Other reports today signaled the U.S. continues to lose jobs. ADP
Employer Services said companies in the U.S. cut an estimated 8,000
workers from payrolls in September after a 37,000 decrease in August,
according to figures based on payroll data.

ADP said today's estimate didn't take into account a strike by about
27,000 machinists at Boeing Co. or the job losses following Hurricanes
Gustav and Ike.

Firing announcements increased 33 percent in September from that same
month last year, Chicago-based Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. said
in a statement.

The Commerce Department also reported that construction spending
stalled in August after a revised 1.4 percent drop the previous month
that was more than twice as large as previously estimated. Private
residential building increased for the first time since March 2007 and
work on commercial projects fell for a fourth month.

Orders from overseas have weakened as economies abroad falter. ISM's
export gauge fell to 52 from 57 the prior month.

Orders Slump

The purchasing managers' gauge of new orders for factories decreased
to 38.8, also the lowest since 2001, from 48.3 the prior month. The
production measure dropped to 40.8 from 52.1.

``I just can't imagine that we'll see a lot of strength in the index
in the next few months,'' Norbert Ore, chairman of the ISM survey,
said in a conference call. ``It appears to be very similar'' to the
last recession in 2001, he said.

The index of prices paid plunged to 53.5, the lowest since January
2007, from 77. Energy prices have retreated from their peaks in July,
when a barrel of crude oil reached $147.

The employment index declined to 41.8, the lowest since 2003, from
49.7 in August.

Companies are cutting back on investments and hiring as consumer
spending wanes. A deteriorating labor market also is causing Americans
to limit purchases to necessities such as food and fuel.

Chrysler LLC, the third-largest U.S. automaker, said last week that it
planned to fire about 250 workers as part of a plan to cut 1,000
salaried positions by Sept. 30. The Auburn Hills, Michigan-based
company's U.S. sales dropped 24 percent through August, more than
twice the industry's 11 percent decline.

Growth to Slow

The U.S. economy, the world's largest, probably grew at a 1.2 percent
annual rate during the third quarter, down from 2.8 percent the prior
three months, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists from Sept.
2 to Sept. 9.

Since then, economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley and
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. have cut their forecasts as consumer
spending stalled and the credit crisis brought down Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc., American International Group Inc. and Washington Mutual
Inc.

A narrowing of the trade deficit as exports jumped and imports fell
was the biggest contributor to growth in the second quarter, adding
2.9 percentage points, the most since 1980. That is likely to diminish
as economies in Europe and Japan falter.

-- With reporting from Mike Ramsey and Bill Koenig in Southfield,
Michigan. Editor: Carlos Torres

To contact the reporter on this story: Timothy R. Homan in Washington
at [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Last Updated: October 1, 2008 10:44 EDT
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