Panic grips global financial markets

By Barry Grey
7 October 2008

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The financial crisis, used to justify the $700 billion Wall Street
bailout approved by Congress and signed into law by President Bush on
Friday, deepened dramatically Monday, as stock markets around the
world registered massive losses in panic selling.

It was the biggest global stock market crash since “Black Monday,”
October 19, 1987, when exchanges around the world collapsed and the
Dow Jones Industrial Average registered a loss of 22.6 percent, its
largest ever single-day decline in percentage terms.

On Monday, Europe suffered its worst-ever one-day drop in share
prices, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index falling 7.6 percent.
(See: “European stock markets in freefall following Paris financial
summit”). Trading was halted either completely or partially in Iceland
and Russia. The latter saw a 20 percent decline in share values.

European bank stocks suffered massive losses. Britain’s HBOS dropped
19.8 percent, Lloyds lost 10.8 percent, the Royal Bank of Scotland
plummeted by 20.5 percent, Switzerland’s UBS fell 12 percent,
Belgium’s Dexia declined 20 percent, Germany’s Commerzbank lost 12.5
percent, Deutsche Bank was off 8.4 percent, France’s Societe Generale
gave up 9.5 percent and Italy’s UniCredit shares plunged 9 percent
before trading in its stock was suspended.

Shares of European industrial firms were also hammered. EADS, the
parent of Airbus, fell 7.5 percent, ArcelorMittal, the world’s biggest
steel maker, dropped 8.6 percent, German auto maker Daimler was down
5.8 percent and British Airways slid 10.3 percent.

The sense of panic was reflected in gallows humor, such as the quip
from a senior trader at ETX Capital, who said, “Black Mondays used to
be a once-in-a-lifetime event. Now they’re coming along more regularly
than a London bus.”

Peter Dixon, a strategist at Commerzbank, said, “This is markets in
pure panic mode. The financial system is seizing up...”

“The banking system doesn’t work any more,” said Robert Quinn,
European stock analyst at Standard & Poor’s. “It’s just broken.”

Share prices also fell heavily across Asia. China’s benchmark Shanghai
Composite Index dropped 5.2 percent, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell
5 percent and Tokyo’s Nikkei Stock Average declined 4.3 percent to its
lowest level since February 2004. Benchmark indexes in Singapore,
Seoul and Mumbai fell, respectively, 5.6 percent, 4.3 percent and 5.8
percent. Shares in Indonesia plunged 10 percent.

In South America, exchanges were shut down in Brazil and Peru because
of massive selling.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s principal index fell more than 1,000
points, or 11 per cent, then recovered about half of its losses to
close down by 573 points, or 5.3 percent.

In the US, panic selling at one point dropped the Dow by 800 points
and brought the index below the 10,000 mark for the first time since
2004. By the end of trading, the market had recovered some of its
losses, with the Dow closing with a 370 point (3.6 percent) loss. The
Nasdaq Composite Index ended down 84 points (minus 4.3 percent) and
the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index closed down 42 points (minus 3.9
percent).

The losses added to declines on Friday, when all three indexes fell in
the aftermath of the House of Representatives’ vote approving the
bailout plan for US banks drawn up by Treasury Secretary Henry
Paulson. For all of last week, the Dow lost 7.4 percent, the Nasdaq
fell 10.8 percent and the S&P 500 declined 9.4 percent.

The plunge on Wall Street came despite new steps by the Federal
Reserve Board to unfreeze credit markets by flooding the banks with
cheap loans. The Fed announced Monday that it would immediately double
the amount of cash available to US banks under a so-called “auction
facility” it launched last December. Under this program, the Fed
extends low-cost credit to the banks and accepts as collateral
virtually worthless assets such as mortgage-backed securities.

The Fed increased its credit line under the program from $150 billion
to $300 billion, said it would soon raise that amount to $600 billion,
and would bring the total of such loans to $900 billion by the end of
the year.

The Fed also announced it would begin paying the banks interest on
reserves they keep in the Federal Reserve system, another windfall
that will eventually be paid with taxpayer funds. This change is one
of the provisions, previously unreported in the media, contained in
the bailout package signed into law on Friday.

Another is even more far-reaching. It authorizes the US Treasury to
guarantee the Federal Reserve against any losses it incurs in pumping
liquidity into the banking system. This could potentially cost US
taxpayers hundreds of billions of dollars beyond the purported $700
billion cost of the bailout passed on Friday.

Paulson rushed to put in place the machinery to begin buying
securities from the banks with public funds. The Treasury named a high-
ranking official, Neel Kashkari, to head a new Office of Financial
Stability and began soliciting for Wall Street asset managers to
oversee the program.

Bush, attempting to calm the markets, made an appearance in Texas and
said getting the bailout program up and running would “take time.”
This only heightened the panic in financial markets, which are facing
a lockdown of virtually all forms of credit.

Notwithstanding the claims of the bailout’s backers, particularly
Democratic congressional leaders and presidential candidate Barack
Obama, that the process would have “transparency” and “oversight”
safeguards to prevent conflicts of interest, the appointment of
Kashkari already points to a program rife with insider influence, self-
dealing and corruption. Kashkari is a former executive at Goldman
Sachs and worked under Paulson when Paulson was CEO of the Wall Street
firm.

The global market panic has already demonstrated that the bailout,
while covering the losses of the most powerful sections of the
financial elite, will do little, if anything, to stem the deepening
financial crisis and recession. The scale of worthless paper assets
within the global banking system is so immense that the banks
themselves have no confidence in the credit-worthiness of their
counterparts and are refusing to lend.

Monday’s sell-off was precipitated by a number of factors. The US
jobless report issued Friday showed a large increase in the net job
loss in September, increasing fears of a deep and protracted
recession. A series of bank failures destabilized the entire banking
system in Europe. And the European financial summit held Saturday
produced no coordinated plan to head off more bank failures.

All of the financial indices on Monday pointed to a general collapse
of confidence in the world credit system, which is increasingly
undermining the broader economy. Oil prices continued to fall sharply,
gold futures soared, yields on US government bonds fell to nearly zero
and inter-bank lending rates rose even higher.

The Conference Board in the US reported that its employment trends
index fell 0.8 percent in September, leaving it almost 10 percent
below the level a year ago. Many economists are now predicting that
unemployment in the US will rise sharply, exceeding 7 percent in early
2009.

The investment bank Morgan Stanley warned: “The recession now
threatens to go global, with industrial economies on the brink, and
trade and financial shocks threatening the developing world.”
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