They are biased alright, as Obama has been selected by the ruling elites to be the next President.
On Oct 25, 11:45 am, Travis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > ((Biased is an understatement. Hate would be more appropriate.)) > > From: *Travis* > Date: Fri, Oct 24, 2008 > Subject: Pollster: Media Polls Biased Against Republicans > > *Newsmax.com* > > *Pollster: Media Polls Biased Against Republicans* > > Thursday, October 23, 2008 4:38 PM > > *By:* Ronald Kessler > > Political polls conducted for most media organizations often are biased > against Republicans, says Kellyanne Conway, one of the most respected GOP > pollsters. As a result, Barack Obama's lead over John McCain probably is > exaggerated and is contributing unfairly to his momentum, says Conway, > president and founder of the Polling Company. > > Rather than slant the questions, pollsters distort the results by weighting > tallies with more responses from people who are likely to vote for Democrats > than is warranted, Conway tells Newsmax. For example, they wrongly assume > that huge numbers of groups who favor Democrats will show up to vote. > > To be sure, "Barack Obama has energized a critical mass of younger people > and new voters to actually show up to the polls," Conway says. > > But in some cases, pollsters assume that those who cast votes will be as > much as 40 percent Democrats, versus 25 percent Republicans. > > "The country's just not configured that way," Conway says. > > Conway draws an analogy to the way some news organizations endorse Obama, in > effect, with their selection of stories and angles to pursue. In the same > way, they endorse him through polls by oversampling respondents who are > Democrats, Conway says. > > "What is the incentive of the major media to have scientific, artfully > constructed polling?" Conway says. > > By creating the impression that McCain will lose, many media polls are > creating a self-fulfilling prophecy, Conway says. Because of the attention > their polls receive, they depress the turnout for McCain — not to mention > cutting into his contributions, endorsements, and support. > > "To me it's a different kind of voter suppression, to constantly try to make > people feel like the election is over before it's even begun," she says. > "Before a single vote has been cast, they're basically saying, about John > McCain, he can't win. What are the three most fatal words in politics? You > can't win." > > Looking back at polls over the years, "The errors in media polling rarely > benefit a Republican," Conway notes. "It wasn't like anybody said, 'Oh, > Ronald Reagan will have a landslide in 1980.' In fact you look back at the > Dukakis numbers, the Perot numbers, there was always this presumption that > the Republican was going to lose. Not just that the Democrat would win, but > that the Republican was going to lose. There was a news report that > concluded polls showed Kerry leading Bush 53 percent to 43 percent in 15 > swing states." > > Exit polls also tend to favor Democrats unfairly, Conway says. > > "Remember the exit polls in the last election all favored John Kerry," > Conway says. "And I had to shoot off a quick memo to people saying that exit > polls are more illustrative and anecdotal, more qualitative than > quantitative and scientific in nature, because it's a self-selected > population of people who actually reveal to a total stranger how they just > voted." > > That is different from revealing in a telephone poll who might get your > vote. > > "To be confronted as you exit the polling place is really a matter of: if > you have the time, if you have the inclination to speak to a stranger, and > if you want to divulge what is a very sacred, private matter — the way that > you just voted," Conway says. "So imagine if somebody confronts you as an > exit pollster and they're asking you how you just voted, and they have on > this moveon.org T-shirt and multiple body piercing and tattoos. Do you think > the mom with five children is going to talk to that person? Plus a lot of > exit polling is done in urban areas, which is heavily Democratic in their > voting patterns, and many of the people doing it tend to be young. Young > people want to talk to young people." > > Conway began her polling career with the Withlin Group, which did polling > for Reagan. Back then, "Polls were mentioned in a tiny little parenthetical. > In the middle of a two-page story, you'd see one poll number cited. Now the > poll is the headline. It leads the entire coverage," she says. > > The emphasis on polls is dangerous, Conway says. "Polls have this insidious > drip-by-drip daily impact," she says. "The cumulative effect of those polls > is to create public opinion as much as it is to reflect it. For that reason, > some countries ban polls within 14 days of the election." > > Right now, she says, "News organizations are trying to show that Obama is so > far in the lead that it helps him raise money, helps him get more > endorsements, and it demoralizes conservatives." > > In fact, "What happens is, these folks in the media are now using the polls > to pepper their stories as a way to tell people: Look, 52 percent of the > country's voting for Obama, why not you? Are you going to vote against a > black man? Are you going to vote for an old guy? Why aren't you part of the > zeitgeist here?' " > > Broader questions about the direction of the country, whether people want > change, and whether they approve of the president run into further issues of > interpretation and how the questions are worded. > > "There's a herd instinct," Conway says. "For all the people in this country > who say I want change, I love change, I want to join a revolution, they > still go to McDonald's every night in the minivan and order Number 3. > America has a love affair with change that they don't necessarily > demonstrate." > > As examples, Conway cites the fact that most people want to get out of debt, > get out of a bad relationship, find a job they love, and lose those last 12 > pounds, but most of them never do. > > "They ask you to respond to feel good phraseology, rather than probing your > underlying ideology," Conway says. "So they ask questions like, do you > support or oppose improving the quality of public education? Do you support > or oppose universal healthcare? Do you support or oppose protecting the > environment. And you see these polls that say 88 percent of Americans > support protecting the environment. Well who the hell are the other 12 > percent? In other words, who doesn't want all kids to have a quality > education and be fed? And the air and the water to be unpolluted? But then > people look at that poll result and say, See? Global warming's the number > one issue. See this?" > > As noted in the Sept. 22 Newsmax story, "GOP Strategist: McCain Will > Win,"<http://www.newsmax.com/kessler/kellyanne_conway/2008/09/22/133250.html>Conway > said she believed McCain was going to win. In the past, Conway's > predictions have been eerily accurate. In the 2004 presidential race, she > won the Washington Post's Crystal Ball Award. Nine days before the election, > she predicted the precise outcome in the popular vote: 51 percent for George > Bush and 48 percent for John Kerry. > > Now that the stock market is crashing and the economy is sinking, is she > still sticking with her prediction? > > "McCain could still win, but he needs a different campaign right now," she > says. > > Instead of focusing on Obama's relationship with domestic terrorist William > Ayers, she says, McCain should push the issue of Obama's relationship for 20 > years with the Rev. Jeremiah Wright and his ties to the Association of > Community Organizations for Reform Now (ACORN) and the allegations of voter > registration fraud surrounding it. > > "ACORN and Wright are more relevant to people than Ayers, because ACORN is > here and now," she says. "People saw the clips of Wright denouncing America. > People couldn't pick out Ayers from a lineup. People don't like to think > that someone else is going to deprive them of their right to vote. The > McCain campaign has wasted three weeks on Ayers, instead of trying to > connect with voters on the economy. Tax is still a four-letter word." > > At the same time, Conway says, "Joe the plumber and Sarah Palin were > unexpected, unpredictable moments for the Obama campaign. But what Joe the > plumber and Sarah Palin have in common is, they have this intangible > connection with most people that's not easy to overcome. And they also > represent the middle class that Obama says he represents, but that he hasn't > lived in in years." > > That's why McCain is still in the running, Conway says. "I believe this race > is much closer than some in the media are willing to admit," she says. > > In the end, white working men, who tend to like Joe the plumber and Sarah > Palin, will decide the election, she says. > > In the meantime, Conway's advice to Republicans is to ignore the polls. > > "If conservatives are upset about the lack of fairness and objective news > media coverage, why do they look at these polls?" Conway says. "Why do they > allow these polls to dictate how they feel about the presidential election > before a single vote is cast?" > > *Ronald Kessler is chief Washington correspondent of Newsmax.com. View his > previous reports and get his dispatches sent to you free via > e-mail. Go here now. <http://www.newsmax.com/kessler/>* > > (c) 2008 Newsmax. 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