http://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/the-return-of-fear-on-the-us-canada-border/ar-BB7D7vU



*The return of fear on the U.S.-Canada border*

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<http://www.macleans.ca/>

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Rogers Media Inc. 2014. Cem Ozdel/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Not since the terrorist attacks of September 2001 have ordinary people been
as concerned about the risk of a terrorist attack inside the United States.
Since Islamic State militants began seizing swaths of Iraq and Syria and
beheading Western hostages, nearly half of Americans now believe their
country is less safe today than before the 9/11 attacks, according to a
recent NBC poll. That’s almost double the number from just one year ago.

Citing the potential for jihadists with Western passports to enter
undetected into the U.S., some Washington politicians sound downright
panicked. “This is a turning point in the war on terror,” South Carolina
Sen.Lindsay Graham told Fox News. He called on President Barack Obama to
deploy thousands of ground troops to Iraq, “before we all get killed back
here at home.”

“They intend to kill us. And if we don’t destroy them first, we’re going to
pay the price,” said House Speaker John Boehner this Sunday. Obama’s own
secretary of defence, Chuck Hagel, has called the Islamic State group “an
imminent threat to every interest we have.” John Allen, a retired four-star
Marine Corps General who formerly led the war effort in Afghanistan,
declared it “a clear and present danger.”

Fears were heightened when the Iraqi president, Haider al-Abadi, said on
Sept. 25 that there was credible evidence of a plot by Islamic State to
attack subways in New York. Police presence was beefed up in stations and
Mayor Bill de Blasio rode the trains to reassure the public. Meanwhile,
U.S. intelligence agencies said they had no indication of such a threat.

Whenever Americans get scared, Canadians brace for economic repercussions.
The attacks of 9/11 led to security policies that critics say resulted in a
“thickening” of the border that hampers commerce and trade. In the 13 years
since, enormous government and corporate efforts have gone into trying to
roll back, or make more efficient, the resulting wave of new security
procedures in the name of keeping commerce alive. But many of the steps are
permanent: from arming Canadian customs officers to a requirement that all
travellers carry a passport in order to cross the international line. The
border is now once again in the political crosshairs. “There is a great
concern that our southern border, and our northern border, is porous and
that [terrorists] will be coming across,” said Sen. John McCain this month.

One bill introduced in Congress this month would tighten
information-sharing agreements between the U.S. and other countries and put
in place stricter pre-travel clearance procedures for travellers who do not
require visas to enter the U.S. Another bill would impose a visa
requirement on countries whose citizens are known to be fighting with
Islamic extremist organizations. The Canadian government says at least 130
Canadians have joined Islamic State—others suspect the number is far
higher. Hundreds more Islamic State militants are believed to hold European
or Australian passports, giving them the ability to fly to the U.S. without
visas, too.

“We have to be proactive in protecting our homeland. Terrorists with
Western passports pose a clear risk to the United States,” said Congressman
Scott Perry, a Republican of Pennsylvania, one of the bill’s sponsors. U.S.
intelligence reports that some 100 Islamic State militants are believed to
hold American passports.

Against that backdrop, U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson was in
Ottawa this week meeting with Canadian officials regarding the ongoing
“Beyond the Border” effort to streamline security at the border. This
month, U.S. Customs and Border Patrol officials said the governments are
considering adding retinal scans and fingerprinting between Detroit and
Windsor, the largest commercial crossing between the two countries.

Related from Maclean’s:

   - Jason Kirby: Give cheaper oil a chance
   <http://www.macleans.ca/economy/economicanalysis/give-cheaper-oil-a-chance/>
   - Michael Petrou: Is Iraq the unwinnable war?
   <http://www.macleans.ca/news/world/iraq-the-unwinnable-war/>

There is much debate over what kind of threat Islamic State poses to the
U.S. homeland—and whether it posed any threat at all before the U.S. began
its campaign of air strikes. After all, the group was considered locally
oriented before the air strikes this summer, which were intended to help
civilians in northern Iraq and stall the group’s advance. The group
presented the beheadings of U.S. journalists as retaliation for those
attacks.

After the military campaign intensified, the head of the al-Nusra Front, a
militant group in Syria, warned in an audio message last week that “this
will bring the battle to your own countries,” according to MEMRI, a website
that monitors jihadist threats.

The irony is that the U.S. has never spent more money protecting itself.
The estimated $6 trillion spent on wars in Iraq and Afghanistan were
justified on the grounds that “it’s better to fight them there than here.”
The U.S. military budget of $750 billion is more than that of all other
countries’ of the world combined. The annual budget for the Department of
Homeland Security, created after 9/11 to combine agencies that secure the
border and respond to emergencies, is $60 billion. Until this summer, the
spending seemed to buy some solace. So-called “core al-Qaeda” was disrupted
and its leader long dead.

In his State of the Union speech in 2013, Obama declared, “The organization
that attacked us on 9/11 is a shadow of its former self.” Last year, he
said, “America must move off a permanent war footing.” This weekend,
however, Obama acknowledged he had underestimated the threat from Islamic
State. His administration also announced that in the course of bombing
Islamic State in Syria, it had taken the opportunity to bomb another group,
which it called Khorasan, of which few Americans had heard previously, and
which apparently consists of elements of al-Qaeda who were supposedly
planning to attack the West.

So how scared should Americans be today? Last week in Oklahoma a woman was
beheaded at a food-processing plant, allegedly by a former colleague who
had recently converted to Islam. Its similarities to the beheadings of two
U.S. journalists by Islamic State in Syria were terrifying, and fuelled
fears that terrorism could strike anywhere. Officials, however, were quick
to reject any links to organized terror groups.

Since 9/11, the ability of terrorist groups to infiltrate the U.S. from
abroad is actually much diminished. “There has been a tremendous increase
in intelligence efforts and unprecedented co-operation in terms of
intelligence agencies and law enforcement world-wide,” says Brian Michael
Jenkins, a terrorism specialist at the Rand Corporation, a California-based
think tank. “The kinds of transactions that preceded 9/11—the movement of
people and money and communications—those are far more likely to be picked
up by the intelligence services today than they were immediately after
9/11,” he says.

The 100 Islamic State fighters with U.S. passports that alarm Washington is
comparable to the number of Americans who travelled to the Middle East and
North Africa in recent years to join al-Qaeda and affiliated groups, he
says. Many were arrested trying to enter the U.S., and others were killed
fighting abroad.

There has been no centrally directed large-scale terrorist attack in the
U.S. since 9/11. (The attempt by the “underwear bomber” to detonate an
explosive aboard an airliner en route to Detroit on Christmas Day 2009 was
a close call, hampered by the would-be bomber’s own incompetence.) The
incident galvanized the Obama administration to take even stronger
counterterrorism measures.

In addition to the Oklahoma attack, several Americans have been killed in
homegrown lone-wolf attacks linked to radical Islamist ideology. An Army
major who had expressed anti-American views and had tried to contact an
al-Qaeda propagandist online, killed 13 people in a mass shooting at an
Army base in Fort Hood, Texas, in 2009. The same year, a mentally ill man
who had converted to Islam shot and killed a U.S. soldier at a military
recruiting station in Little Rock, Ark. And one of the Tsarnaev brothers
who killed three people with pressure-cooker bombs at the Boston Marathon
in 2013 had embraced radical Islam, though were not part of a foreign
terror group.

The chances of dying in a terrorist attack are orders of magnitude smaller
than the probability of dying in a car crash. “By any statistical measure
we are safe. Are we safer than we were? Yes,” says Jenkins. “Are we safe
enough? That is a question Americans are obsessed with.”








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