http://www.americanthinker.com/2014/10/how_to_make_our_war_with_isis_last_30_years.html



October 11, 2014
How to make our war with ISIS last 30 years

By Frank Ryan <http://www.americanthinker.com/frank_ryan>



Without a clear understanding of the mission and strategy behind the
current “bombing campaign” against ISIS, our nation faces a grave risk of a 30
year war
<http://foxnewsinsider.com/2014/10/06/panetta-obama-kind-lost-his-way-battle-against-isis-could-be-30-year-war>,
as former Secretary of Defense Panetta warns.

While this administration is clueless as to its strategy and strategic
mission in bombing ISIS, it is simultaneously sending mixed messages to
ISIS about how seriously the President takes the ISIS threat.   By being
engaged in one of the largest reductions in military forces
<http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/02/24/pentagon-budget-sequestration-army-size/5775291/>
since the end of the Vietnam War while bombing ISIS, the administration is
sending the message that ISIS is “JV”
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/wp/2014/09/03/spinning-obamas-reference-to-isis-as-a-jv-team/>
-- which has dire consequences for our nation should we underestimate our
enemy.



Reducing the strength of military forces and cutting spending on defense
while at the same time initiating a new campaign of bombing without a
strategy is tantamount to dereliction of duty.

>From my experience of having briefly served in Afghanistan, as well as
serving a tour of duty in Iraq as a senior military advisor
<http://www.cbsnews.com/news/return-to-duty/> with the Multinational Forces
in Iraq (MNFI), this conflict with ISIS is an entirely different type of
conflict than the counterinsurgency operations with which our forces of had
to deal with since 2001.

Typically, our enemy in Iraq and Afghanistan, including the former Iraqi
military and the Taliban and Al Qaeda, used psychological operations as
part of their military operations. This is not to imply that they used
psychological operations to the exclusion of military force but rather that
they frequently engaged in tactics designed to disrupt and scare their
opponents through fear.

US forces use psychological operations
<http://www.usar.army.mil/ourstory/commands/USACAPOC/Pages/Overview.aspx>
as well, as part of a coordinated military campaign. But the difference
between our use of psychological operations and the Al Qaeda and Taliban is
that more frequently than not threats of retaliation by our enemy were just
that -- threats with little military substance to tip the scales to victory
for our enemy.

The Arabic language is frequently characterized by cultural influences in
which assertions of threats or the threats themselves carry as much meaning
as actually carrying out the threat.  From 1950 to 2001, one would
frequently encounter very blustery Arabic threats with a clear
understanding that the threat was more psychological than real. Some of the
linguistic differences between Arabic and English are presented in an
excellent discourse called “Arabic Rhetoric - a pragmatic analysis”
<http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/arabic-rhetoric-hussein-abdul-raof/1111459243?ean=9780415663793>

The major concern relative to the current bombing campaign against ISIS is
that this enemy of the free world is not following the same pattern as
other terrorist organizations or the former Iraqi military under Saddam
Hussein.

ISIS threats are real, executable, violent, and apparently coordinated. The
enemy has adapted to counter our strengths and exploit our weaknesses and
must not be taken for granted.

The ISIS use of psychological operations against Western nations through
the use of beheadings, when combined with their relatively effective ground
operations in seizing territory, poses a severe threat to stability in the
Middle East and the world.

This enemy has demonstrated that it will carry out its threats. The
beheadings and the announcement each time of who the next victim will be is
intended to strike fear and anxiety. It is working.

ISIS understands that a nation or terrorist organization is at war with an
entire people not just its military. The North Vietnamese and Viet Cong
understood that in order to defeat the United States they needed to defeat
the American people. They were successful in that endeavor.

Absent a strategy against ISIS, the taking use of ground forces off the
table at this stage of the campaign is the same as announcing to the North
Vietnamese that we would not invade Cambodia during the Vietnam War.

The ISIS have taken the fight globally with their threats and intent to go
beyond the Middle East battlegrounds. Minimizing the ISIS threats as
rhetoric is dangerous.

Military actions against ISIS must be a well-coordinated air, ground,
counterinsurgency, and unconventional warfare approach, including our use
of psychological operations against the opposing force.   The President
needs to send the message to ISIS that we are serious and cancel all force
reductions in the U. S. military until the ISIS threat is destroyed.

Anything short of a well thought-out and orchestrated US and world response
will likely put the United States and our allies in the same position as
the Japanese at the Battle of Midway, when the Japanese dismissed the
United States Navy as ineffective because of the defeat at Pearl Harbor.

Heed the words of Secretary Panetta. This is a 30-year conflict unless we
adopt a clear, well thought-out, and extraordinarily well executed
strategy. Anything short of that is taking this enemy for granted which we
will all regret in the long run.

*Col. Frank Ryan, CPA, USMCR (Ret) and served in Iraq and briefly in
Afghanistan and specializes in corporate restructuring and lectures on
ethics for the state CPA societies.  He has served on numerous boards of
publicly traded and non-profit organizations.  He can be reached at
[email protected] <[email protected]> and twitter at @fryan1951.*






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