[image: IntelCenter Top 10 Most Dangerous Terrorist/Rebel Groups (GTI
Rankings)]
Top 10 Most Dangerous Groups
Group Threat Index (GTI)
Based on Terrorist & Rebel Activity Over Past 30 Days
as of 11 Nov. 2014

The top 10 most dangerous groups in the world based on terrorist and rebel
activity over the past 30 days as of 11 Nov. 2014 are shown with their GTI
rankings and score. The pie chart shows what percentage of global GTI each
of the top groups represent. Up-to-the-minute GTI rankings for all groups
are contained in the IntelCenter Database (ICD)
<http://intelcenter.com/icd/index.html>.

IntelCenter's Group Threat Index (GTI) examines the volume of terrorist and
rebel alerts, messaging traffic, videos, photos, incidents and the number
killed and injured by a group over the past 30 days and runs it through an
algorithm to assign the group its GTI. The higher the GTI the greater the
risk posed by the group. The GTI should never be the sole measure of threat
posed by a group but rather one factor to take into consideration.

*Rank*

*Terrorist/Rebel Group*

*GTI Score*

1

Islamic State (IS)

934

2

al-Shabaab

468

3

Boko Haram

242

4

al-Qaeda Arabian Peninsula (AQAP)

228

5

Taliban

197

6

Jabhat al-Nusrah

185

7

Jamaat-ul Ahrar

121

8

Allied Democratic Forces (ADF)

91

9

al-Huthi Rebels

90

10

Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)

86

There are a total of 56 groups with a GTI greater then zero. The average
GTI for these groups is 56. The Global GTI is 3,111.

*Methodology Note:*
The Group Threat Index (GTI) is just one metric for tracking the activity
of terrorist and rebels as it relates to the threat they pose. It should
never be the only measure for assessing the threat posed by a group. When
calculating the GTI only attacks directly attributed to a specific group
are counted. For example, while most attacks in a region may be believed to
be executed by group X. They are only counted if the group actually claims
the attack or other statements directly attribute the attack to group X. In
some regions this often results in an underreporting of actual attacks done
by that group. A low GTI does not necessarily reflect the absence of a
threat as al-Qaeda in the lead-up to 9-11 would have had a low GTI. It
does, however, reflect a lower level of activity over the preceding 30 days
which means high-volume activity is unlikely but one-off events are always
a possibility. The Global GTI is arrived at by adding up each individual
group's GTI. It serves as an overall indicator of global terrorist and
rebel activity. Each group's live up-to-the-minute GTI ranking along with
all data used to arrive at the GTI is available in the IntelCenter Database
(ICD) <http://intelcenter.com/icd/index.html>. IntelCenter is continuously
adding new material to the ICD, including historical data to enhance the
accuracy of the GTI and other data points. In order to have the most
accurate information, please always refer to the latest data available in
the ICD.

*The IntelCenter Database (ICD)
<http://intelcenter.com/icd/index.html> allows users to easily track
threats, tactics and targeting along with many other metrics related to
terrorist and rebel groups. As of 11 Nov. 2014, the ICD has more then
143,000 records on terrorist and rebel activity. IntelCenter also provides
analytical support services.*

*Reporting and original source materials are contained in the IntelCenter
Database (ICD) <http://intelcenter.com/icd/index.html>. Sign up for a free
10-day trial of the ICD and see additional details by clicking here
<http://intelcenter.com/icd/index.html>. IntelCenter has available similar
analysis for other groups and subjects. For more information, to schedule
an online WebEx demo or to discuss how IntelCenter can assist with your
needs, email [email protected] <[email protected]> or call
800-719-8750.*


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