http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/beijing-inc-chinese-aren%E2%80%99t-coming%E2%80%94they%E2%80%99re-here


Beijing Inc?: The Chinese Aren’t Coming—They’re Here

Roland Flamini <http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/users/roland-flamini>

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This past Labor Day, a great many of the sausages consumed at cookouts
across the country came from Smithfield Foods Inc., formerly the US food
giant, but for the past year a wholly owned subsidiary of China’s Shuanghui
International Holdings. Shuanghui paid $4.7 billion for Smithfield, whose
operation spans hog farms and pork processing facilities in more than a
dozen states, including Virginia, Maryland, North Carolina, and Wisconsin.
The deal was China’s largest single investment in the United States to
date, and helped boost Chinese mergers, acquisitions, and “greenfield
projects” (companies setting up their own factories) to a record $14
billion by the end of 2013. Despite bilateral tensions over cyber
espionage, Chinese territorial disputes with America’s allies in the South
China Sea, and the slow progress of China’s massive economic reforms—and
despite increasing calls for more scrutiny from Congress—China Inc closed a
total of eight hundred and seventy-nine major deals last year across the
American map, from New Jersey to California.

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The US Chamber of Commerce approved. “The evolution from a one-way to a
two-way investment relationship is good news for the US and can help
stabilize and deepen US-China relations,” it declared in a 2014 study on
the continued flow of Chinese capital into the United States. The Obama
administration clearly agrees that China’s direct investments can have a
positive influence on the Sino-American bilateral strategic and economic
dialogue, and has gone out of its way to attract it.

But the optimism is far from universal. The sharp expansion of Chinese
investments has stirred considerable unease among US lawmakers on both
sides of the aisle. There is concern about the possible damage to US
security and economic interests and skepticism about China’s long-term
intentions. Is this stepped-up financial activity an elaborate scheme to
take proprietary technology out of the US, by moving R&D to China, with a
resulting loss of American jobs? That these aggressive Chinese investing
firms operate under an authoritarian political regime adds another layer of
worry to what some see as a slow-motion financial invasion.
Read On

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Follow weekly commentary in Roland Flamini's *World Affairs* blog.



Earlier this year, the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission,
established by Congress in 2000 to monitor the bilateral relationship,
warned in a report that the huge, rich, and powerful Chinese state-owned
enterprises “are not pure market actors and may be driven by state goals,
not market forces.” It goes on to say “these entities are potentially
disruptive because they frequently respond to policies of the Chinese
government,” and thus Chinese investments can function as “a potential
Trojan horse.”

Chinese investment is one issue that can unite an otherwise deeply divided
Congress. In an early skirmish in 2005, Congress closed ranks to prevent
the China National Offshore Oil Corporation from acquiring Unocal
Corporation of California for $18.5 billion because of “security
considerations.” The Chinese energy giant—the subsidiary of a state-owned
Chinese petroleum enterprise—withdrew its offer, citing “unprecedented
political oppression.”

Since then, the congressional focus has been on possible Chinese attacks on
US technology. Recently, the chairman and the ranking member of the House
Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, Representatives Mike Rogers of
Michigan and C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger of Maryland, took aim at Huawei
Technologies Co., the Chinese version of Twitter, with more than one
hundred and forty million users, and ZTE Corp., one of the world’s biggest
smartphone vendors. The two congressmen reached across the aisle to
recommend that “acquisitions, takeovers, and mergers involving Huawei and
ZTE” be blocked, “given the threat to national security interests.” The
lawmakers said they had “serious concerns about Huawei and ZTE, and their
connection to the communist government of China . . . a major perpetrator
of cyber espionage.”

In July 2010, fifty members of the Congressional Steel Caucus signed a
letter to the administration calling for a thorough investigation of the
Chinese state-owned Anshan Iron and Steel Group Corporation’s plans to
invest in steel plants owned by the Steel Development Company of
Mississippi, which, the letter said, could give the Chinese “access to new
steel production techniques and information regarding American national
security infrastructure projects.” And when three state-owned Chinese banks
planned to open branches in the United States, Pennsylvania Democratic
Senator Bob Casey wrote to then Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
expressing his concern that the banks “will use their state support as a
way to underprice US banks that abide by US law.”

According to research prepared earlier this year for Congress by the
Congressional Research Service, when the US subsidiary of China’s Wanxiang
Group acquired A123 Systems Inc., whose products include special battery
packs for US soldiers, “several members of Congress expressed concerns over
the national security implications . . . as well as concerns that US
government grants that had been given to A123 Systems in the past might end
up benefitting a Chinese company.”

Such opposition has not stopped the trend that has continued this year,
with real estate, high-tech, manufacturing, and unconventional energy
sectors the big draws. In New York, real estate developer Zhang Xin’s Soho
China Ltd. shared, with a Middle Eastern developer, the purchase of a
forty-percent stake in the General Motors Building, a Manhattan landmark,
each paying $1.4 billion. In the high-tech sector, IBM’s sale of its
low-end server business, x86, to the Chinese PC maker Lenovo Group Ltd. for
$2.3 billion has grabbed headlines. Yuhuang Chemical Inc. is set to begin
construction of a methanol manufacturing complex in St. James Parish, on
the Mississippi River in Louisiana, and, in the biggest greenfield project
by a Chinese company in the United States to date, the Shandong Tranlin
Paper Co. is investing $2 billion in setting up a manufacturing operation
in a suburb of Richmond, Virginia. According to market analysts at the
Rhodium Group, which tracks Chinese investment in the US, there are more
than $10 billion worth of deals currently pending.



With its huge pile of foreign currency reserves and need for resources, an
increase in overseas investments was a natural next step in China’s
economic development. The push was both government-mandated and driven by
changing commercial realities at home that forced Chinese companies to
function in an increasingly high-priced and regulated domestic environment.
Beijing created sovereign wealth funds, and in 1996 introduced what it
called a “going out” strategy, urging firms to go after overseas
investments. Chinese firms responded like racehorses out of a starting
gate, with the United States as the number one finishing post.

Originally, “going out” was all about securing natural resources to
continue China’s growth. But the acquisition of Smithfield reflects how
Chinese investor interest has broadened in the past five years, looking
beyond fossil fuels or metal ores. Wan Long, Shuanghui’s combative
chairman, said his motives for acquiring Smithfield were “to assemble the
most advanced technology, unmatched resources, and outstanding talents in
the pork industry.” It is no mystery what Shuanghui expects out of the
deal: Western expertise to give them a competitive edge, both at home and
internationally, a springboard to foreign markets, including the US market,
and strong brand identity.

In comparative terms, Chinese investment in the US to date is still small.
China doesn’t even make the top fifteen countries on the US Department of
Commerce list of foreign direct investors for 2012 (the most recent figures
available). The Chinese investment total for that year was $10.45 billion,
well below the United Kingdom, with $564.7 billion, and Japan, a distant
second, with $309.3 billion.

Inevitably, opposition to China’s plunge into the US has revived memories
of Japan’s investment frenzy in the United States in the late 1980s, when
Japanese conglomerates, using their excess export dollars, snapped up
American companies, property, and movie studios—causing a fearful and
openly xenophobic opposition. There was also the fact that the Japanese
kept their own market closed to US investments and limited American exports
in key industrial sectors. By 1989, Japanese corporate mergers and
acquisitions reached $20 billion. At the time, Mitsubishi’s acquisition of
Rockefeller Center, Sony’s takeover of Columbia Pictures, and Matsushita’s
purchase of MCI Universal Studios were highlights of Japan’s investment
offensive. Amid an orgy of “Japanese bashing” in the media, White House
economic adviser Lawrence Summers warned that Japan was “a greater threat
to the US than the Soviet Union.”

But the massive Japanese spending spree was based on unrealistic
projections of growth and returns, and even as US opposition calmed and
many of Japan’s transplanted manufacturers gained a measure of acceptance,
with Japanese employment of Americans growing to six hundred thousand, the
Japanese stock market crashed in 1987 and the financial bubble burst at
home, causing nearly two decades of economic stagnation and a turnabout in
America. The bankruptcy of Rockefeller Center, whose purchase by Japan was
once seen as a symbol of financial conquest, became in turn a symbol of
financial defeat.

Japan Inc’s adventure in America is a cautionary tale for the Chinese. But
it is unlikely that this piece of economic history will be repeated.



Beijing does place limits on foreign investment, but trade with China is
very much a two-way street, with a lot at stake for both countries. China
is America’s third-largest export market, and US investments in China are
worth $51.4 billion. From 2010 to 2013, General Motors sold more vehicles
in China than it did in the home market. China’s cumulative investment in
the US is $36.5 billion and growing, and the Obama administration is happy
“to welcome, encourage, and see nothing but positive benefit from direct
investment in the United States from Chinese businesses and Chinese
entities,” as Vice President Joe Biden said recently. And while Chinese
intentions continue to be questioned by policymakers and politicians,
Chinese investment is seen as a godsend by states and cities with high
unemployment and strained budgets.

Congressional concern has focused on the Committee on Foreign Investment in
the United States (CFIUS), the shadowy interagency body set up in 1975 that
acts as gatekeeper for incoming foreign investment. Since it was
established by President Gerald Ford, CFIUS has been re-shaped a number of
times, but its essential role of screening potential foreign investment
inflows for any significant danger to US interests and national security
remains the same.

In its present form, the committee is chaired by the secretary of the
Treasury and includes as members the secretaries of State, Homeland
Security, Defense, Commerce, and Energy, the attorney general, the US trade
representative, the director of the Office of Science and Technology
Policy, the director of National Intelligence, and the director of the
National Security Council. The Foreign Investment and National Security Act
(FINSA) of 2007 brought CFIUS under closer congressional control. The
bipartisan legislation made it mandatory for the agency to conduct an
investigation of all proposed investments involving firms owned by a
foreign government. CFIUS must also report to the Senate Banking Committee
and the House Financial Services Committee on the result of all its
investigations, file an annual report, and advise senators and
representatives of foreign investment in businesses in their respective
districts.

Subsequent proposals from lawmakers at a 2014 hearing of the US-China
Economic and Security Review Commission included a new “net economic
benefit test” to determine what’s in a given deal for the United States,
and including scrutiny where appropriate of greenfield investments, which
so far are exempt from the CFIUS. (Neither proposal has as yet been
incorporated into the CFIUS screening process.)

“The CFIUS process is entirely confidential before, during, and after,”
says attorney John Bellinger III of the Washington law firm of Arnold &
Porter, who has been dealing with the committee both inside and outside the
government for almost twenty years. Still, more and more Chinese businesses
are seeking Congress’s reaction before the CFIUS process. “It’s a delicate
balance because on the one hand you don’t want to raise the level of
[congressional] awareness, on the other hand you don’t want members of
Congress to read about a transaction in the papers and immediately have a
negative reaction. You have to ask, how much defensive briefing should I do
with Congress?”

For example, in August, when Huawei’s bid to buy 3Leaf Systems (an
insolvent technology firm) drew protests from the Hill before the CFIUS
screening process, on the grounds that the deal would put advanced American
computer technology in Chinese hands, the company withdrew its application.

But what is “sensitive” in potential Chinese purchases of American
enterprises? The FINSA legislation redefined “national security” to include
infrastructure, and after further additions post-9/11, seventeen sectors of
the economy now fall within the definition of critical infrastructure/key
resources. But the net can be cast even wider. In September 2012, when
President Obama cited national security interests in ordering the
Chinese-owned Ralls Corporation to divest its interest in Oregon wind farms
(one of the company sites was too close to a US Navy air base where drones
were tested), it was the first time in more than two decades that a US
president had exercised the authority given him in the screening process to
block a deal acting on the recommendation of the interagency committee. In
the same vein, CFIUS has rejected three successive bids by different
Chinese mining companies to invest in mining operations in Nevada because
in every instance the mine was judged to be too close to Fallon Naval Air
Station in Nevada’s Lahontan Valley.

As the scope of Chinese investments becomes broader, new questions arise.
The Smithfield Foods acquisition brought a torrent of protest from the
Hill. During the CFIUS review process, fifteen members of the Senate
Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry protested that the US
food supply was “critical infrastructure” with national security
implications, and should not be sold to a foreign power. Then, at the
committee hearing when the sale went through, the chair, Michigan Democrat
Debbie Stabenow, summed up the prevailing sentiment: “We need to evaluate
how foreign purchases of our food supply will affect our economy broadly,
and frankly, whether there is a level playing field when it comes to these
kinds of business purchases. Could this sale happen if it were the other
way around? Could Smithfield purchase Shuanghui? Based on what we’ve heard
from many experts already, it sounds like the answer is no.”



In fact, there has been little reciprocity in the way China treats American
business organizations. Despite making enormous progress in the past
decade, says Shaun Donnelly, vice president for investment at the US
Council for International Business, an influential business advocacy group,
“China has not yet established an open, market-based investment regime. Far
from it: screenings, controls, restrictions, informal pressures, and
political interventions remain central to the Chinese investment system.”
Major areas of concern expressed by US policymakers and businessmen include
China’s extensive use of financial subsidies for state-owned enterprises;
trade and investment barriers, including business sectors closed to foreign
investors; pressure on foreign firms in China to transfer technology as the
price for market access, in order to give Chinese firms a competitive edge;
a relatively poor record of respecting intellectual property rights and
keeping its currency undervalued; poor marks in respecting and implementing
World Trade Organization obligations; and, of course, a record of hacking
US government offices and businesses.

What both Washington and Beijing say they want is a bilateral investment
treaty, which Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping put on the fast track
at their California summit in 2013. In July, the two sides committed to
reach agreement on the core text by the end of 2014. The American side
wants to see China open off-limits sectors in the Chinese economy to
foreign investors through a significant reduction of the so-called
“negative list,” which currently covers one hundred and thirty-nine
separate areas, including finance and real estate. The Chinese complain
that, while America claims to be open to outside investment, its own
negative list has been growing.

In reality, the US position is deeply ambivalent. While federal officials
worry about the impact of Chinese investments, state and local officials
work hard to attract China’s business organizations. So the contest for
China’s investment dollars is fought at state and city levels where what
makes the difference are local infrastructure, industry clusters, state and
local tax holidays, access to thriving markets, proximity to universities
and research laboratories, human resource pools, local union attitudes, and
labor laws.

At least thirty US states have established offices in the People’s Republic
of China to promote trade and investment. The governors of California,
Virginia, and Illinois among others have journeyed to China at the head of
trade delegations to sell their respective states, and Chinese businessmen
often receive VIP treatment when they visit America. California’s capital,
Sacramento, where the highest number by far of Chinese firms is
concentrated (two hundred and thirty-six at the most recent count), has
established its own presence to drum up investments and increase trade
generally in both Shanghai and China’s most populous city, Chongqing,
which, says Antonio Yung, who runs this office for Sacramento, “is an up
and coming area where we can operate with less competition [than they would
face in Shanghai].” One challenge these trade offices face is to dispel
what Bellinger calls “skittishness” among Chinese businessmen about
investment in the US “because of their awareness of high profile
rejections. Certain areas—cyber areas, technological areas, areas where
they are in physical proximity to US defense locations—are going to get a
lot of scrutiny and get turn downs, but ninety percent of acquisitions are
going to go through.” Unlike the inflamed situation that accompanied the
Japanese “invasion” of three decades ago, there are no reports of tensions
in China’s workplaces in America or prolonged labor disputes. Although the
workforce in Chinese-owned establishments is around seventy thousand,
Beijing’s capital inflow may have saved jobs, since some of the
acquisitions involved companies with poor financial balance sheets. A123
Systems was bankrupt. In 2010, Pacific Century Motors of China bought
Nexteer, a Michigan auto parts maker, saving thousands of jobs in Saginaw,
Michigan. “This city went from being an exhibit of America’s industrial
decline to a case study of the impact of Chinese investment money on a US
community,” the *Wall Street Journal* wrote.

Some economists claim that in return for creating jobs in the US, the
Chinese will learn the benefits of working in an environment of rules and
justice. In August, Chinese investing companies in America had a
demonstration of how businesses are protected under the rule of law when
the Court of Appeals in Washington halted a presidential order to the Ralls
Corporation to divest itself of its Oregon wind farms on the grounds that
the Chinese company’s constitutional rights had not been respected. The
court ruled that Ralls had a right to due process, which in this instance
meant access to unclassified information that had led to the agency’s
decision, plus the right to rebut the evidence. The court had also left
open the question whether CFIUS had exceeded its authority. Ironically,
none of the Chinese media that hailed the court decision considered whether
such a decision would be possible in their own country.

*Roland Flamini is a freelance journalist and former foreign correspondent
and bureau chief for Time magazine in the Middle East, Europe, and
elsewhere.*




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