http://patriotpost.us/opinion/32059


Nylons for Nothing

By *Charles Krauthammer <http://patriotpost.us/columnists/6>* · Jan. 2,
2015



There’s an old Cold War joke – pre-pantyhose – that to defeat communism we
should empty our B-52 bombers of nuclear weapons and instead drop nylons
over the Soviet Union. Flood the Russians with the soft consumer culture of
capitalism, seduce them with Western contact and commerce, love bomb them
into freedom.

We did win the Cold War, but differently. We contained, constrained,
squeezed and eventually exhausted the Soviets into giving up. The
dissidents inside subsequently told us how much they were sustained by our
support for them and our implacable pressure on their oppressors.

The logic behind President Obama’s Cuba normalization, assuming there is
one, is the nylon strategy. We tried 50 years of containment and that
didn’t bring democracy. So let’s try inundating them with American goods,
visitors, culture, contact, commerce.

It’s not a crazy argument. But it does have its weaknesses. Normalization
has not advanced democracy in China or Vietnam. Indeed, it hasn’t done so
in Cuba. Except for the U.S., Cuba has had normal relations with the rest
of the world for decades. Tourists, trade, investment from Canada, France,
Britain, Spain, everywhere. An avalanche of nylons – and not an inch of
movement in Cuba toward freedom.

In fact, one could argue that this influx of Western money has helped
preserve the dictatorship, as just about all the financial transactions go
through the government, which takes for itself before any trickle-down
crumbs are allowed to reach the regime-indentured masses.

My view is that police-state control of every aspect of Cuban life is so
thoroughly perfected that outside influences, whether confrontational or
cooperative, only minimally affect the country’s domestic trajectory.

So why not just lift the embargo? After all, the unassailable strategic
rationale for isolating Cuba – in the Soviets' mortal global struggle with
us, Cuba enlisted as a highly committed enemy beachhead 90 miles from
American shores – evaporated with the collapse of the Soviet empire. A
small island with no significant independent military capacities, Cuba
became geopolitically irrelevant.

That’s been partially reversed in the last few years as Vladimir Putin has
repositioned Russia as America’s leading geopolitical adversary and the
Castros signed up for that coalition too. Cuba has reportedly agreed to
reopen the Soviet-era Lourdes espionage facility, a massive listening post
for intercepting communications. Havana and Moscow have also discussed the
use of Cuban airfields for Russia’s nuclear-capable long-range bombers.

This in addition to Cuba’s usual hemispheric mischief, such as training and
equipping the security and repression apparatus in Venezuela.

No mortal threat, I grant you. And not enough to justify forever cutting
off Cuba. But it does raise the question: With the U.S. embargo already in
place and the Castros hungry to have it lifted, why give them trade,
investment, hard currency, prestige and worldwide legitimacy – for nothing
in return?

Obama brought back nothing on democratization, a staggering betrayal of
Cuba’s human rights crusaders. No free speech. No free assembly. No
independent political parties. No hint of free elections. Not even the kind
of 1975 Helsinki Final Act that we got from the Soviets as part of detente,
granting structure and review to human rights promises. These provided us
with significant leverage in supporting the dissident movements in Eastern
Europe that eventually brought down communist rule.

If Obama insisted on giving away the store, why not at least do it item by
item? We relax part of the embargo in return for, say, Internet access. And
tie further normalization to serial relaxations of police-state repression.

Oh, what hypocrisy, say the Obama acolytes. Did we not normalize relations
with China and get no human rights quid pro quo?

True. But that was never a prospect. The entire purpose was geopolitical
and the payoff was monumental: We walked away with the most significant
anti-Soviet strategic realignment of the entire Cold War, formally breaking
up the communist bloc and gaining China’s neutrality, and occasional
support, in our half-century struggle to dismantle the Soviet empire.

>From Cuba, Obama didn’t even get a token gesture. Not even a fig leaf such
as, say, withdrawal of secret police support in Venezuela. Or extradition
of American criminals now fugitive in Cuba, including a notorious cop
killer. Did we even ask?

Obama seems to believe that the one-way deal was win-win. A famous victory
– the Cuba issue is now behind us. A breakthrough.

Indeed it is. You know how to achieve a breakthrough in tough negotiations?
Give everything away. Try it. You’ll have a deal by noon. Every time.




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