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On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 1:52:38 PM UTC-6, Travis wrote:
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> http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/03/whats-next-in-government-surveillance/385667/
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> What's Next in Government Surveillance
>
> A future awaits where countries share intelligence one minute, and hack 
> and cyberattack each other the next. 
>
> Bruce Schneier <http://www.theatlantic.com/bruce-schneier/>Mar 2 2015, 
> 10:30 AM ET 
>
> [image: 
> http://cdn.theatlantic.com/static/newsroom/img/mt/2015/02/RTR3KEY1/lead.jpg?nklfbw]Edward
>  
> Snowden makes an appearance at a Council of Europe hearing on mass 
> surveillance via video conference. (Vincent Kessler/Reuters) 
>
> Before the Internet, when surveillance consisted largely of 
> government-on-government espionage, agencies like the NSA would target 
> specific communications circuits: that Soviet undersea cable between 
> Petropavlovsk and Vladivostok, a military communications satellite, a 
> microwave network. This was for the most part passive, requiring large 
> antenna farms in nearby countries.
>
> Modern targeted surveillance is likely to involve actively breaking into 
> an adversary’s computer network and installing malicious software designed 
> to take over that network and “exfiltrate” data—that’s NSA talk for 
> stealing it. To put it more plainly, the easiest way for someone to 
> eavesdrop on your communications isn’t to intercept them in transit 
> anymore; it’s to hack your computer.
>
> And there’s a lot of government hacking going on.
>
> In 2011, an Iranian hacker broke into the Dutch certificate authority 
> DigiNotar. This enabled him to impersonate organizations like Google, the 
> CIA, MI6, Mossad, Microsoft, Yahoo, Skype, Facebook, Twitter, and 
> Microsoft’s Windows Update service. That, in turn, allowed him to spy on 
> users of these services. He passed this ability on to others—almost 
> certainly in the Iranian government—who in turn used it for mass 
> surveillance on Iranians and probably foreigners as well. Fox-IT estimated 
> that 300,000 Iranian Gmail accounts were accessed.
> ------------------------------
> Related Story
>
> [image: 
> http://cdn.theatlantic.com/assets/media/img/posts/2014/01/RTR2Q5DK/fa571bff7.jpg]
>  
> <http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2014/01/lessons-from-the-worlds-most-tech-savvy-government/283341/>
>
> Lessons from the World's Most Tech-Savvy Government 
> <http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2014/01/lessons-from-the-worlds-most-tech-savvy-government/283341/>
> ------------------------------
>
> In 2009, Canadian security researchers discovered a piece of malware 
> called GhostNet on the Dalai Lama’s computers. It was a sophisticated 
> surveillance network, controlled by a computer in China. Further research 
> found it installed on computers of political, economic, and media 
> organizations in 103 countries—basically a who’s who of Chinese espionage 
> targets. Flame is a surveillance tool that researchers detected on Iranian 
> networks in 2012; these experts believe the United States and Israel put it 
> there and elsewhere. Red October, which hacked and spied on computers 
> worldwide for five years before it was discovered in 2013, is believed to 
> be a Russian surveillance system. So is Turla, which targeted Western 
> government computers and was ferreted out in 2014. The Mask, also 
> discovered in 2014, is believed to be Spanish. Iranian hackers have 
> specifically targeted U.S. officials. There are many more known 
> surveillance tools like these, and presumably others still undiscovered.
>
> To be fair, we don’t have proof that these countries were behind these 
> surveillance networks, nor that they were government-sponsored. Governments 
> almost never admit to hacking each other’s computers. Researchers generally 
> infer the country of origin from the target list. For example, The Mask 
> target list included almost all Spanish-speaking countries, and a bunch of 
> computers in Morocco and Gibraltar. That sounds like Spain.
>
> In the United States, the group charged with hacking computers is the 
> Tailored Access Operations group (TAO) inside the NSA. We know that TAO 
> infiltrates computers remotely, using programs with cool code names like 
> QUANTUMINSERT and FOXACID. We know that TAO has developed specialized 
> software to hack into everything from computers to routers to smartphones, 
> and that its staff installs hardware “implants” into computer and 
> networking equipment by intercepting and infecting it in transit. One 
> estimate is that the group has successfully hacked into, and is 
> exfiltrating information from, 80,000 computers worldwide.
>
> Of course, most of what we know about TAO and America’s hacking efforts 
> comes from top-secret NSA documents provided by Edward Snowden. There 
> haven’t been similar leaks from other countries, so we know much less about 
> their capabilities.
>
> We do know a lot about China. China has been reliably identified as the 
> origin of many high-profile attacks—against Google, against the Canadian 
> government, against *The New York Times*, against the security company 
> RSA and other U.S. corporations, and against the U.S. military and its 
> contractors. In 2013, researchers found presumed Chinese government malware 
> targeting Tibetan activists’ Android phones. In 2014, Chinese hackers 
> breached a database of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management that stored 
> detailed data on up to 5 million U.S. government employees and contractors 
> with security clearances.
>
> A lot of this is political and military espionage, but some of it is 
> commercial espionage. Many countries have a long history of spying on 
> foreign corporations for their own military and commercial advantage. The 
> U.S. claims that it does not engage in commercial espionage, meaning that 
> it does not hack foreign corporate networks and pass that information on to 
> U.S. competitors for commercial advantage. But it does engage in economic 
> espionage, by hacking into foreign corporate networks and using that 
> information in government trade negotiations that directly benefit U.S. 
> corporate interests. Recent examples are the Brazilian oil company 
> Petrobras and the European SWIFT international bank-payment system. In 
> fact, according to a 1996 government report, the NSA claimed that the 
> economic benefits of one of its programs to U.S. industry “totaled tens of 
> billions of dollars over the last several years.” You may or may not see a 
> substantive difference between the two types of espionage. China, without 
> so clean a separation between its government and its industries, does not.
>
> Many countries buy software from private companies to facilitate their 
> hacking. Consider an Italian cyberweapons manufacturer called Hacking Team 
> that sells hacking systems to governments worldwide for use against 
> computer and smartphone operating systems. The mobile malware installs 
> itself remotely and collects e-mails, text messages, call history, address 
> books, search-history data, and keystrokes. It can take screenshots, record 
> audio to monitor either calls or ambient noise, snap photos, and monitor 
> the phone’s GPS coordinates. It then surreptitiously sends all of that back 
> to its handlers. Ethiopia used this software to sneak onto the computers of 
> European and American journalists.
>
> * * *
>
> When American officials first started getting reports of the Chinese 
> breaking into U.S. computer networks for espionage purposes, they described 
> it in very strong language. They labeled the Chinese actions 
> “cyberattacks,” sometimes invoking the word “cyberwar.” After Snowden 
> revealed that the NSA had been doing exactly the same thing as the Chinese 
> to computer networks around the world, the U.S. used much more moderate 
> language to describe its own actions—terms like “espionage,” or 
> “intelligence-gathering,” or “spying”—and stressed that these were 
> peacetime activities.
>
> When the Chinese company Huawei tried to sell networking equipment to the 
> United States, many feared that the Chinese government had installed 
> backdoors into the switches that would allow Beijing to eavesdrop, and 
> considered the move a “national-security threat.” But, as Snowden's 
> disclosures eventually revealed, the NSA has been doing exactly the same 
> thing, both to Huawei’s equipment and to American-made equipment sold in 
> China.
>
> The problem is that—as they occur and from the point of view of the 
> victim—international espionage and attack look pretty much alike. Modern 
> cyberespionage is a form of cyberattack, and both involve breaking into the 
> network of another country. The only difference between them is whether 
> they deliberately disrupt network operations or not. That’s a huge 
> difference, of course, but the time lag between breaking into a network and 
> disrupting operations might be months or even years. Because breaking into 
> a foreign network affects the territory of another country, it is almost 
> certainly illegal under that country’s laws. Even so, countries are doing 
> it constantly to one another.
> ------------------------------
>
> [image: Shifts] <http://www.theatlantic.com/special-report/shifts/>
> The elements of a changing world, from technology and business to politics 
> and culture
> Read More <http://www.theatlantic.com/special-report/shifts/>
> ------------------------------
>
> In 2012, for example, the NSA repeatedly penetrated Syria’s Internet 
> infrastructure. Its intent was to remotely install eavesdropping code in 
> one of the country’s core routers, but it accidentally caused a nationwide 
> Internet blackout. Exfiltrating data and taking out a country’s Internet 
> involve exactly the same operations.
>
> Governments, meanwhile, are getting into cyberwar big time. About 30 
> countries have cyberwar divisions in their military: the United States, 
> Russia, China, the major European countries, Israel, India, Brazil, 
> Australia, New Zealand, and a handful of African countries. In the United 
> States, this effort is led by U.S. Cyber Command inside the Department of 
> Defense. Admiral Michael S. Rogers is in charge of both this organization 
> and the NSA. That’s how close the missions are.
>
> Few examples have surfaced of cyberattacks that cause actual damage, 
> either to people or to property. In 2007, Estonia was the victim of a broad 
> series of cyberattacks—an incident that is often called the first cyberwar 
> because it coincided with increased tensions with neighboring Russia. The 
> ex-Soviet republic of Georgia was also the victim of cyberattacks, ones 
> that preceded a land invasion by Russian troops a year later. In 2009, 
> South Korea was the victim of a cyberattack. All of these were 
> denial-of-service attacks, during which selected Internet sites are flooded 
> with traffic and stop working temporarily. They’re disruptive, but not very 
> damaging in the long run.
>
> In all of these cases, we don’t know for sure who the perpetrator was, or 
> even whether it was a government. In 2009, a pro-Kremlin youth group took 
> credit for the 2007 Estonian attacks, although the only person convicted of 
> them was a 22-year-old Russian living in Tallinn. That sort of 
> identifiability is rare 
> <http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/01/we-still-dont-know-who-hacked-sony-north-korea/384198/>.
>  
> Like the espionage attacks discussed earlier, cyberattacks are hard to 
> trace. We’re left to infer the attacker by the list of victims. *Ethnic 
> tensions with Russia*—of course Russia is to blame*. South Korea gets 
> attacked*—who else but North Korea would be motivated?
>
> Stuxnet is the first military-grade cyberweapon known to be deployed by 
> one country against another. It was launched in 2009 by the United States 
> and Israel against the Natanz nuclear facility in Iran, and succeeded in 
> causing significant physical damage. A 2012 attack against Saudi Aramco 
> that damaged some 30,000 of the national oil company’s computers is 
> believed to have been retaliation by Iran.
>
> * * *
>
> There’s an interesting monopolistic effect that occurs with surveillance. 
> Espionage basically follows geopolitical lines; a country gets together 
> with its allies to jointly spy on its adversaries. That’s how we did it 
> during the Cold War. It’s politics.
>
> Mass surveillance is different. If you’re truly worried about attacks 
> coming from anyone anywhere, you need to spy on everyone everywhere. And 
> since no one country can do that alone, it makes sense to share data with 
> other countries.
>
> But whom do you share information with? You could share with your 
> traditional military allies, but they might not be spying on the countries 
> you’re most worried about. Or they might not be spying on enough of the 
> planet to make sharing worthwhile. It makes the best sense to join the most 
> extensive spying network around. And that’s the United States.
>
> This is what’s happening right now. U.S. intelligence agencies partner 
> with many countries as part of an extremely close relationship of wealthy, 
> English-speaking nations called the Five Eyes: the U.S., U.K., Canada, 
> Australia, and New Zealand. Other partnerships include the Nine Eyes, which 
> adds Denmark, France, the Netherlands, and Norway; and the Fourteen Eyes, 
> which adds Germany, Belgium, Italy, Spain, and Sweden. And the United 
> States partners with countries that have traditionally been much more 
> standoffish, like India, and even with brutally repressive regimes like 
> Saudi Arabia’s.
>
> The endgame of this isn’t pretty: a global surveillance network where 
> countries collude to surveil everyone on the planet.
>
> All of this gives the NSA access to almost everything. In testimony to the 
> European Parliament in 2014, Snowden said, “The result is a European 
> bazaar, where an EU member state like Denmark may give the NSA access to a 
> tapping center on the (unenforceable) condition that NSA doesn’t search it 
> for Danes, and Germany may give the NSA access to another on the condition 
> that it doesn’t search for Germans. Yet the two tapping sites may be two 
> points on the same cable, so the NSA simply captures the communications of 
> the German citizens as they transit Denmark, and the Danish citizens as 
> they transit Germany, all the while considering it entirely in accordance 
> with their agreements.”
>
> In 2014, we learned that the NSA spies on the Turkish government, and at 
> the same time partners with the Turkish government to spy on the Kurdish 
> separatists within Turkey. We also learned that the NSA spies on the 
> government of one of its much closer surveillance partners: Germany. 
> Presumably the United States spies on all of its partners, with the 
> possible exception of the other Five Eyes countries. Even when the NSA 
> touts its counterterrorism successes, most of them are foreign threats 
> against foreign countries and have nothing to do with the United States.
>
> It should come as no surprise that the U.S. shares intelligence data with 
> Israel. Normally, identities of Americans are removed before this data is 
> shared with another country to protect our privacy, but Israel seems to be 
> an exception. The NSA gives Israel’s secretive Unit 8200 “raw 
> SIGINT”—that’s signals intelligence.
>
> Even historical enemies are sharing intelligence with the United States., 
> if only on a limited basis. After 9/11, Russia rebranded the Chechen 
> separatists as terrorists, and persuaded the United States to help by 
> sharing information. In 2011, Russia warned the United States about Boston 
> Marathon bomber Tamerlan Tsarnaev. The United States returned the favor, 
> watching out for threats at the Sochi Olympics.
>
> These partnerships make no sense when the primary goal of intelligence is 
> government vs. government espionage, but are obvious and appropriate when 
> the primary goal is global surveillance of the population. So while the 
> German government expresses outrage at the NSA’s surveillance of the 
> country’s leaders, its BND continues to partner with the NSA to surveil 
> everyone else.
>
> The endgame of this isn’t pretty: It’s a global surveillance network where 
> all countries collude to surveil everyone on the entire planet. It’ll 
> probably not happen for a while—there will be holdout countries like Russia 
> that will insist on doing it themselves, and rigid ideological differences 
> will never let countries like Iran cooperate fully with either Russia or 
> the United States—but most smaller countries will be motivated to join. 
> From a very narrow perspective, it’s the rational thing to do.
>
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