http://www.infoworld.com/article/2986314/hacking/what-to-expect-in-the-us-china-cyber-treaty.html


What to expect in the US-China cyber treaty

[image: Description: What to expect in the US-China cyber treaty]The U.S.
flag flutters on a car in Beijing, China, on April 13, 2013. Credit:
Department of State
It's good to talk, but this is only a starting point, say observers

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By Martyn Williams <http://www.infoworld.com/author/Martyn-Williams/>

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IDG News Service <http://www.idgnews.net/> | Sep 24, 2015

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After weeks of meetings, the U.S. and China appear to be on the verge of an
historic first agreement on hacking and cyber espionage. But besides smiles
on the faces of Presidents Obama and Xi in front of TV cameras, what might
a deal actually accomplish?

The two sides are talking because companies are increasingly being hacked
for their corporate secrets. Last year the U.S. Department of Justice indicted
five Chinese military hackers
<http://www.cio.com/article/2376208/cybercrime/us-justice-department-to-charge-chinese-military-officials-with-hacking.html>
for attacking U.S. companies, and earlier this week National Security
Advisor Susan Rice warned
<http://www.cio.com/article/2985134/china-must-stop-cyberespionage-warns-us-national-security-advisor-rice.html>
the hacking "has to stop." China has denied involvement, and President Xi
said this week
<http://www.wsj.com/articles/full-transcript-interview-with-chinese-president-xi-jinping-1442894700>
that Chinese companies are also coming under attack.

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<http://www.infoworld.com/resources/16282/security/stop-dns-based-ddos-attacks-once-and-for-all#tk.ifw-infsb>
-- and how to prevent one from hitting your company. Download the PDF
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Rice will be in attendance on Thursday night with other senior U.S.
government figures when Presidents Xi and Obama hold a working dinner at
the White House at which hacking is likely to be high on the agenda.

"The overriding thing during the discussion will be that the exfiltration
and theft of U.S. private sector IP has to stop and the U.S. government
will hold the government of China responsible," said James Barnett, head of
the cyber security practice at Washington law firm Venable and a former
security chief at the Federal Communications Commission.

"Whether it is discussed or not, the veiled threat will be the possibility
of bringing some type of pressure to bear, be it economic or otherwise,
while at the same time dangling some carrots," he said.

Barnett said he expects the agreement to be a "statement of principles"
rather than a more concrete deal that gets into the nuts and bolts of the
issue, but more important is that the world's two biggest economies are
starting to talk about the issue.

One of the challenges to any agreement will be attribution. Figuring out
who is behind a cyber attack is notoriously difficult, and governments have
historically been reluctant to publicly blame another country. The DOJ
indictment of the Chinese hackers
<http://www.cio.com/article/2376208/cybercrime/us-justice-department-to-charge-chinese-military-officials-with-hacking.html>
last year and the laying of blame for the Sony Pictures cyber attack on
North Korea
<http://www.cio.com/article/2861813/obama-promises-response-on-sony-hack-says-pulling-movie-was-mistake.html>
represent a couple of rare examples.

Sometimes investigators get lucky through a careless slip or find a clue in
software code, but often it's difficult to distinguish between a
state-sponsored attack and something else, said Terrence Gareau, chief
scientist at Nexusguard, a San Francisco-based DDoS protection company.

"It's not like building nuclear weapons or launching missiles," he said. "A
lot of the attacks come from the universities. When that happens, [the
Chinese government] is going to point their hand and say 'it's not us'."

Attribution is further complicated by the complex nature of some attacks,
which might have several groups working together or separately to target a
company.

"I’ve worked on dozens of takedowns of significant systems," said Tom
Patterson, vice president of global security solutions at Unisys. "The
attribution game is a fool’s game. There is almost never a single group
behind it."

But for all its flaws, attribution remains an important part of
international law and any reaction to cyber espionage or attacks will have
to rely on it to some extent.

For the time being, industry watchers expect any agreement won't lead to
immediate change, but they represent a positive step forward. Companies
shouldn't let their guard down, said Patterson.

"Our strong recommendation is that companies that make up the world’s
critical infrastructure do not look at these talks as protecting them," he
said.

Any agreement between the two is expected to be announced on Friday.




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