http://www.forbes.com/sites
The Democrats' Dream Ticket Doesn't Include Hillary

*Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton speaks during a
town hall meeting, Friday, Oct. 16, 2015, in Keene, N.H. (AP Photo/Mary
Schwalm)*

There is an old saying that when Democrats form a firing squad they do it
in a circle. While the Republicans have certainly learned how to do the
same, the Democratic National Committee is back at it. Just when party
leaders thought they could breathe a sigh of relief that their frontrunner
(former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
<http://www.forbes.com/profile/hillary-clinton/>) met positive expectation
for her debate performance and the deputy frontrunner (Vermont Senator
Bernie Senator Bernie Sanders) generated a lot of enthusiasm without laying
a glove on the champ, word comes that there is trouble in the party after
the debate.

First, two vice-chairs charged this week that DNC Chair Debbie
Wasserman-Schultz has been acting autocratic and not consulting other party
leaders about the skimpy presidential debate schedule. While the chair
denies this, word is leaking out that she has issued the moral equivalent
of a fatwa about having only six debates and is seen as stacking the deck
for Mrs. Clinton.

Second, even though Mrs. Clinton’s debate performance seemed to suggest
that there was little room for Vice President Joe Biden to enter the race,
it is appearing more and more like that is exactly what he might do. In
response to that potential move, the ever-feisty California Senator Barbara
Boxer has warned Mr. Biden to not do it and endorse Mrs. Clinton –or face
the wrath of the women Democrats.

Whew! For those of us who have fun making predictions, there is nothing
predictable here at all. Aside from the fact that the DNC is having about
as much fun in all this as the GOP caucus in the House is having trying to
find someone to run for Speaker, this Democratic situation warrants some
analysis.

In the first place, Mrs. Clinton is a wounded frontrunner – not because of
any other reason that herself. She has baggage but, even under her best
circumstances, she just does not appear to generate enough enthusiasm among
the party’s base – especially young voters who do not see her as
trustworthy or offering any change. We have plenty of evidence from
numerous polls that now show her trailing all of the putative GOP nominees
mainly because of this lack of enthusiasm among Millennials. If they do not
show up to vote next November, that means a dampened turnout among Latinos,
African Americans, and Asians who represent about 40% of young voters.

In the second place, Mrs. Clinton is a divisive character simply because of
who she is. Even though her husband’s presidency is viewed favorably and he
remains a popular figure, that popularity simply has not translated to
support for her. It’s like the joke we used to hear back in 2000: Bill
Clinton <http://www.forbes.com/profile/bill-clinton/> and Al Gore went for
a drive in a convertible. It started to rain and Al Gore got wet. Make no
mistake, she comported herself very well in the first debate, but
Millennials interviewed afterward were just not on board. If they stay
home, Democrats have a very difficult time winning.

*NEW YORK, NY – OCTOBER 01: (Images have been converted in to black and
white) Vice President of the United States Joe Biden speaks on stage during
the 2015 Concordia Summit at Grand Hyatt New York on October 1, 2015 in New
York City. (Photo by Leigh Vogel/Getty Images for Concordia Summit)*

Enter Joe Biden. What does a 72 year old, establishment, Irish good old boy
bring to the race? Well, for starts, he doesn’t have to prove his
authenticity. He has always lived it and continues to feel his own pain,
enabling him to feel that of others. Next, he makes a better case for
continuity of the two terms of a still popular President. In this case,
former Governor Martin O’Malley helped tee this one up for the Veep – we
elected a President twice, not a magician. He (President Obama) got a lot
done. There is still more to do. This is the kind of rationale for a
candidacy that can make a lot of sense for the Democrats. Senator Boxer and
Chairman Schultz may not like it, but if Mr. Biden gets traction, where can
they go?

Mr. Biden, old hand and warrior that he is, offers something fresh to the
race. A smiley face, a politics of hope, and the kind of family we all want
to have.

But what about a woman? I have said before that the Democrats’ dream ticket
is Mr. Biden and New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand who is young, very
smart, courageous, has taken on the military brass on sexual harassment,
and no novice to rough and tumble politics.

Just some thoughts. Next I will write about the GOP dream ticket.


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Posted by: "Beowulf" <[email protected]>
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