http://stupidfrogs.org/articles/our_superstitious_president.html



Our Superstitious President



By Victor Davis Hanson
PJMedia.com

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President Obama talks a lot about the scientific method. On climate change,
he has often invoked the idea of a great divide between those on the
progressive left, such as himself, who believe in “settled science” and
thus a looming man-caused climatological disaster, and those, presumably on
the Neanderthal Right, who are slaves to superstition, ideology, prejudice,
and self-interest—and thus deny that the planet is rapidly warming due to
inordinate human-induced releases of excessive carbon.

Obama’s view of science is reductionist. It relies on count-em-up numbers:
if more university professors (not known to be an especially independent or
courageous cohort) believe in dangerous man-caused climate change than
doubt it or its seriousness, and if climate change fits a larger
progressive agenda, then it becomes factual.

Would we assume thereby that Newton, Galileo, and Darwin were all exemplars
of groupthink, and worked through consensus and collegiality, especially
with the support of status-quo institutions and universities, in advancing
majority-held theories?

When Obama signed legislation in his first weeks in office enabling human
stem cell research, he pontificated that his act was about ensuring “that
scientific data is never distorted or concealed to serve a political agenda
and that we make scientific decisions based on facts, not ideology.” Aside
from the fact that there were and are methodologies of harvesting stem
cells without resort to embryonic protocols, the president’s entire
approach to science, data, and the inductive method is to privilege
ideology and subordinate facts.

In short, Obama is the most anti-science, anti-factual president in modern
memory.

The president has warned the nation, usually on the most inappropriate and
untimely occasions, of the American tendency to succumb to Islamophobia.
But to support such an assumed pathology, the president adduced no evidence
that Americans are more likely to target Muslims than other groups.

If we were to rely on “scientific” research, there is statistical evidence
that in general hate crimes in the U.S. are rare, and that in particular
they tend to focus on Jews. The most recent survey (2014) of the FBI’s
Uniform Crime Reporting Program shows 58% of hate crimes were directed at
Jews, while just 16% were against Muslims. Thus, if the president felt that
there was a real danger of American citizens or residents harming others
due to their religions, then obviously he would warn us not to attack Jews,
who suffer more hate crimes *than all other religious groups combined.*

As a student of science, Obama should incorporate such findings in his pop
editorializing and not, for example, sloppily characterize the deliberate
sorting and murdering of four Jews in a Paris delicatessen as if it were a
random attack on “a bunch of folks” (e.g., “violent, vicious zealots who
behead people or randomly shoot a bunch of folks in a deli in Paris”).

If Obama really wished to address hate crimes in more precise scientific
fashion, he would ask for data concerning not just the most likely group to
suffer such attacks, but the most likely group statistically to commit
them. But then again there is an anti-scientific resistance to
investigating the matter further, given the likely results that would
suggest an unwelcome reality.

The president also insists that the government in reaction to the San
Bernardino terrorist attacks must now rush to make it illegal for anyone on
the no-fly lists to buy guns. Is there any scientific evidence that such a
move would have much effect in preventing or abating terrorism? Or is such
a call based on folklore and ideologically driven superstition?

Over 800,000 are on the terrorist watch list, and about 64,000 of them are
additionally on the no-fly list. Aside from the facts that both lists grow
and do not seem to shrink, and that reasons are not always provided for
adding names to the lists, there is no evidence that those included in the
past on the no-fly list so far have been the perpetrators of post-9/11
terrorist attacks. Banning guns to those on a no-fly list may in theory be
wise, but there is no scientific evidence to suggest that it would be.
If one were to consult other various lists of the major terrorist
operations in the U.S. since 9/11—and they range in number from 50-60
depending on the criteria used—the vast majority were committed by those
who self-identified as acting on behalf of Islam.

In rejecting the Keystone pipeline, the president ignored the scientific
conclusions of his own State Department’s body of expert consultants who
found no major negative impact to the climate by building the pipeline. In
fact, statistically it is likely far less deleterious to the environment to
ship oil-sand products by pipeline through the United States than to
transport it by existing rail and truck. The Keystone cancellation was
emblematic of making scientific decisions based on ideology, not facts.

NASA, as its name implies, by all accounts is a scientific government
agency devoted to the exploration of the upper atmosphere and space. Its
mission is not, as its Director Charles Bolden understood his mandate from
President Obama, a sociological one: “And third, *and perhaps foremost*,
(emphasis added) he wanted me to find a way to reach out to the Muslim
world and engage much more with dominantly Muslim nations to help them feel
good about their historic contribution to science, math and engineering.”
Once the U.S. again has its own rockets, such outreach may be a nice thing
to do. But “feel good” is not the “foremost” mission of that government
scientific organization. Envision the next present promising to use NASA to
ensure that Christian nations “feel good” about past Christian
“contributions to science, math, and engineering.” Almost instantaneously
we would hear—and rightly so—charges leveled against an anti-science
president subverting for ideological purposes and a “political agenda” an
historic government scientific enterprise.

Most climatologists do not connect the California drought with global
warming. To the degree that we can ascertain a cause, given the paucity of
weather-related data in California dating much before 1850, scientists
point to the El Niño effect. Slight changes in east-central Pacific Ocean
temperatures have historically affected the formation and trajectories of
West Coast storms. To the degree temperature per se is the culprit, our
present drought is largely a result of oceanic temperatures being *too cool*—in
other words, too little of an El Niño effect.

Yet Obama flew into the Central Valley of California, Ground Zero of the
drought, pronounced climate change the culprit, promised federal monies for
that purpose, and flew out. Aside from politicizing a natural disaster for
contemporary political advantage, anti-science also plays a role in the
drought. Activists and government officials, state and federal, did not
calibrate rising state population with increased needs for water storage
and transfers.

Instead, in an ideological and anti-science frenzy, they suspended
completing the California Water Project and Central Valley Project
infrastructure, and embraced romantic but unproven theories about diverting
contracted irrigation water to reintroduce salmon to the San Joaquin River
and to restore delta smelt populations to assumed normal levels. Both
anti-scientific efforts failed to increase those populations, but only
after the wastage of several million acre-feet of precious water. Releasing
scarce storage water in a drought—contrary to the initial aims of the
Central Valley and California Water Projects of flood control, irrigation,
recreation, and power generation—on the theory of altering fish populations
is about as anti-scientific and anti-human as one can get.

If one were to characterize the Obama administration approach to the
natural world, it is precisely an historical effort to privilege ideology
over facts. In matters of gun control, Obama ignores how, where, and why
most Americans are killed by guns because the facts do not fit a
preconceived narrative. In matters of the Affordable Care Act, the
administration made unscientific claims about affordability, budgetary
consequences, coverage, and access that were quickly proven contrary to
available evidence.

In reaction to the Benghazi killings, the Obama team advanced a narrative
about a right-wing video maker prompting such “spontaneous” violence that
contradicted eyewitness accounts, forensic evidence, and the social media
testimonies of the attackers and the reports of the attacked. Then there is
the matter of racial violence such as Michael Brown’s death in Ferguson.
The president evoked it as an example of police excess, even though his own
Justice Department found no culpability on the part of the officer in
question and the narrative of an innocent victim crying out "hands up,
don’t shoot" to be an entire fabrication. For political and ideological
purposes, the Obama Justice Department supports flawed studies theorizing
that one in four females on campus will be a victim of sexual violence
during her college years—a theory debunked by facts as often as it is
resurrected for its electoral utility.

Obama does not believe in science because science is blind. In today’s
political climate, disinterested inquiry is a mortal sin. We live in an age
in which aims that are declared socially just require any means necessary
to achieve them—even if that ensures a denial of the scientific method and
facts themselves.




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