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On Nov 5, 2:54�pm, jgg1000a <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> The answer is this is NOT a tidal wave election... �Why?
>
> 1) the margin of victory is less than GHBush election in 1988, and far
> less than the elections in 1984, 1972, 1964, 1956, 1952, for all of
> FDR's terms...
>
> 2) The margin of victory between the PV of the two candidates is only
> 5.5%, and when compared to the other change years of 1980, 1964, 1952,
> 1932 the margin is only half of those years...
>
> 3) The change in Congress is moderate and NOT historic. �Between 1929
> to 1933 ( by election and Presidential election) the Democrats picked
> up 20 seats... �Between 1959 to 1961 they picked up 15 senators....
> Between 1979 and 1981 the GOP picked up 12 seats... �The Democrats in
> the last two election have picked up 12. � In the House the figures
> are less impressive... �For FDR the pickup was over 150... �For
> Eisenhower it was 50. �For Kennedy it was 30 (gain 50 in 1958 lose 20
> in 1961. �For Reagan it was 59. �For Obama it has been 50...
>
> The real question here is can the Democrats and Obama restrain the LW
> radical base??? �If not, we will see a quick ebb tide reversal...
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