Found a database today that was interesting on registered voters:
http://voters.findthedata.com/ . (Keith, Florida is one of the states they
show data on if you want to check for accuracy).
You can sort by state, party, age, date registered, region, etc. I was
curious about this Ohio voter registration info. It makes you filter by
state, party, and age to get the numbers, but here is what it shows:
Birth Year Democrats Republicans Unaffiliated
Green Party
Libertarian Other* Total Voters
<1930 >85 93,057 105,182 189,757 68 139 95 388,298
1931-1950 >65 366,736 475,720 684,756 583 1,161 369 1,529,325
1951-1970 45-65 396,474 625,568 1,839,586 1,095 2,995 638 2,866,356
1971-1990 26-45 137,833 232,651 2,311,057 647 2,412 385 2,684,985
1991+ 18-25 12,115 28,332 332,362 79 259 27 373,174
1,006,215 1,467,453 5,357,518 2,472 6,966 1,514 7,842,138
(12.8%)
(18.7%)
(68.3%)
0.0003%
0.008%
0.0002%
* includes Socialist Party, Constitution Party, and Natural Law Party
I happen to have quite a few relatives in Ohio, so looked them up. I found
all but two of them (but am not sure if they are registered to vote or
not). The 12 I did find were all accurate as far as where they live and
when they were born.
According to the Ohio Secretary of State's office, There were approximately
7.7 million registered voters there in 2012, and "nearly 8 million" today.
1.9 million people voted in the Republican primary and 1.2 million in the
Democratic primary. The "Unaffiliated" voters can request a ballot from
either party:
COLUMBUS, Ohio -- About 5 percent of voters who cast ballots in Ohio's
Democratic and Republican primaries were previously affiliated with the
other party, according to data released Wednesday from the Ohio secretary
of state.
Of the nearly 1.2 million voters who cast ballots in March's Democratic
Primary Election, 34,867 were previously affiliated with the Republican
Party. Of the more than 1.9 million voters who cast ballots for
Republicans, 115,762 were previously affiliated with the Democratic Party.
That's more than double the number who switched parties in the 2012 primary
election.
Reports of large numbers of Mahoning County Democrats
<http://www.vindy.com/news/2016/mar/03/mahoning-co-sees-k-voters-defect-to-gop/>
defecting
to vote for or against Republican Donald Trump appear to be true -- nearly
27 percent of Republican ballots cast there were from previously affiliated
Democrats, compared to 1 percent the opposite way.
But it's possible many of those crossover voters had changed parties in a
prior primary election, making it difficult to say definitively how many
"true" Republicans or Democrats voted in another party's primary this year.
Confused? Primary elections are how Ohioans "register" -- or affiliate --
with a political party. Whatever party ballot you choose on Election Day is
the party you are then affiliated with from that point on.
The only way to change your party affiliation is to vote in another primary
election and choose a different party's ballot. Or choose an issues-only
ballot to be considered unaffiliated.
All in all, 1.8 million Ohioans decided to join or switch parties.
Secretary of State Jon Husted said that shows the "intensity" of Ohioans'
engagement with this election season. "Voter turnout is driven by the
enthusiasm and interest that groups and candidates can generate for their
cause," Husted said in a statement.
Here's how each party fared.
*Democrat*
- 651,928 of unaffiliated voters voted Democrat, about 54 percent of all
Democratic ballots
- 58,139 newly registered voters chose Democratic ballots
- 1,440,700 total affiliated Democrats after the primary
*Republican*
- 849,415 of unaffiliated voters voted Republican, about 44 percent of
all republican ballots
- 60,716 newly registered voters chose Republican ballots
- 2,260,799 total affiliated Republicans after the primary
http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2016/05/5_percent_of_voters_crossed_pa.html
I just thought this was fascinating. These numbers clearly haven't been
updated since that March 2016 primary, but it doesn't seem to matter if
almost 70% of them are independent or unaffiliated voters. The polling
companies (like the Monmouth one discussed in the other thread) must be
basing their modeling on the 2012 election - hence they give Hillary 4%
more democrats than republicans when there are actually 6% fewer democrats
than republicans registered to vote.
Should be interesting. I did find one guy listed that the database said was
116 years old (born in 1901). It was clearly a data entry error though, as
he does exist and is only 70!
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