We are in danger of losing our republic, sovereignty and the rule of law if
we keep failing to enforce our laws.

On Jun 28, 2017 10:37 AM, "Keith In Tampa" <keithinta...@gmail.com> wrote:

> I've seen similar theories and calculations.....Believable!
>
> On Wed, Jun 28, 2017 at 8:10 AM, MJ <micha...@america.net> wrote:
>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> *Kevin Gutzman: Trump said he won the popular vote in November -- if you
>> subtracted the people who voted illegally. "Fake News!" responded the
>> people who had dutifully relayed the lies Prof. Gruber said were calculated
>> to exploit "the stupidity of the American voter." (Keep your doctor, keep
>> your plan, save $2500/year.) Guess what. *June 22, 2017
>>
>> *Up to 5.7 Million Noncitizens Voted in Past Presidential Elections,
>> Study Finds *Fred Lucas
>>
>> As many as 5.7 million noncitizens voted in the 2008 election and
>> potentially more voted in 2016, according to a new study by Just Facts, a
>> New Jersey-based research group, drawing on information from other studies.
>>
>> The study <http://www.justfacts.com/immigration.asp#electoral_2008>­based
>> on data compiled from Harvard University’s Cooperative Congressional
>> Election Study, an analysis published in the journal Electoral Studies
>> co-authored by Old Dominion University faculty, and Census data­also
>> provides some support for what then-President-elect Donald Trump tweeted in
>> late November, when he asserted he won the popular vote if the fraudulent
>> votes were deducted. The Just Facts study did not look specifically at 2016.
>>
>> [image: Emacs!]
>>
>> The study by Just Facts, which identifies
>> <http://www.justfacts.com/aboutus.asp#serving> its point of view as
>> conservative/libertarian, but says it maintains independent inquiry,
>> determined as few as 594,000 and as many as 5.7 million noncitizens voted
>> in 2008, in the race between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John
>> McCain. Eighty-two percent of noncitizens who admitted to voting in a
>> survey said “I definitely voted” for Obama.
>>
>> An estimate from 2012, which the study finds to have less complete data,
>> is between 1 million and 3.6 million noncitizens registered to vote or
>> voted, including both the “self declared” and the “database-matched”
>> populations.
>>
>> Democrat Hillary Clinton won the popular vote over Trump by about 2.9
>> million votes <http://cookpolitical.com/story/10174> in 2016.
>>
>> Previously, an Old Dominion University professor’s analysis found that,
>> extrapolating on a more extensive 2014 study, an estimated 800,000
>> noncitizens
>> <http://dailysignal.com/2016/11/28/more-than-800000-noncitizens-could-have-voted-in-2016-election-experts-say/>
>> voted in the 2016 election­falling well short of enough to affect the
>> popular vote.
>>
>> James Agresti, president of Just Facts, was cautious about stating
>> whether this would have changed the result of the popular vote in the 2016
>> election.  He concluded
>> <http://www.justfactsdaily.com/substantial-numbers-of-non-citizens-vote-illegally-in-u-s-elections/>
>> it is likely the number of noncitizen voters in the most recent
>> presidential election was higher than eight years ago.
>>
>> When asked if noncitizen voters changed the popular vote outcome in 2016,
>> he said, “There is a distinct possibility.”
>>
>> “The 3 million vote margin would be smack in the middle,” Agresti told
>> The Daily Signal. “I don’t want to say it would. There are a lot of
>> uncertainties. It’s possible.”
>>
>> There are two ways of looking at the noncitizen voting figures for 2012,
>> Agresti said. Based on the Harvard and Census data, between 1 million and
>> 2.6 million noncitizens voted under “self-declared.” However, there are
>> between 1.2 million and 3.6 million “database-matched” noncitizens who
>> voted that year. So the full range is 1 million to 3.6 million. Because of
>> the overlapping information, Agresti is particularly cautious about drawing
>> conclusions here.
>>
>> “Just Facts does not have all the data needed to calculate inclusive
>> figures for the 2012 election, so these figures are undercounts,” Agresti
>> said.
>>
>> Hans von Spakovsky, a senior legal fellow at The Heritage Foundation who
>> has written extensively about voter fraud, was not very familiar with Just
>> Facts, but he said if the findings were true, it lends more evidence to a
>> growing problem.
>>
>> “This is just another indication of how serious the problem may be and
>> why it is even more important to investigate the possibility of noncitizens
>> voting,” von Spakovsky told The Daily Signal.
>>
>> In May, Trump named Vice President Mike Pence to chair the Presidential
>> Advisory Commission on Election Integrity
>> <http://dailysignal.com/2017/05/11/trump-establishes-panel-probe-voter-fraud/>
>> .
>>
>> The difference between the Just Facts finding and the estimate from Old
>> Dominion University research is likely because of a different methodology,
>> said Jesse Richman, an associate professor of political science at Old
>> Dominion University, who did the aforementioned study that arrived at
>> 800,000 noncitizen votes in the 2016 election.
>>
>> “My impression is that the differences arise principally from the
>> different assumptions we made about how to treat individuals for whom there
>> was some ambiguity about whether they voted or not, e.g. individuals who
>> said they didn’t vote but had a validated vote, etc.,” Richman told The
>> Daily Signal in an email. “There are a variety of assumptioans one could
>> make about how to treat those individuals, and my general impression is
>> that this is the main thing driving the differences between our results.”
>>
>> Richman’s figure was based on the 2014 study he co-authored that looked
>> at noncitizen voting in the 2008 and 2010 elections. Richman applied the
>> methodology from the study of those years to arrive at an estimated 800,000
>> noncitizen voters in 2016.
>>
>> http://dailysignal.com/2017/06/22/5-7-million-noncitizens-vo
>> ted-past-presidential-elections-study-finds/
>>
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