Tired of Being Wrong, Climate Alarmists Move Doomsday to Next Century
<http://ijr.com/the-declaration/2017/07/922200-tired-wrong-climate-alarmists-move-doomsday-next-century/>
------------------------------



By Stephen Kruiser <http://ijr.com/author/stephen-kruiser/>

*[image: Description: Melting Ice]*

Christopher Michel
<https://www.flickr.com/photos/cmichel67/35057643395/in/photolist-xE8G63-xopCJz-wHXZfD-ST3r12-6RR4Pv-4c6Tpq-Ffrb4c-smJc8m-C6Lonk-QYqARW-JTAKAb-UPG5Wq-VpVzZv-VpVqY4-dLFLtN-fxeDYz-8msg1e-vhguHB-MykCxq-5YmzvD-vR9itf-L7LgSQ-6hijPD-6hnvtJ-5JrCyR-fjPubX-58FgvK-8nGEb6-skK823-6hijLx-6hnvwy-dzKAUL-BKKmSx-ymPyhy-nSaNDg-fK6GMq-6hnvxL-5t9Fv-9iGdgQ-fjPucc-aZdrT-ahLpvP-6T4q8Z-F25Z6-vGJd6j-yRPBCW-qXwARF-fmXDeV-eVUSQp-cMRZS5>
/Flickr

If the climate alarmists weren't still so politically powerful and
represented in Congress by their devoted cult members, it would almost be
easy to pity them. Why? Because they're so spectacularly wrong about so
many things.

They keep the hype coming regardless, as in this article
<http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-travel-briefcase-climate-change-20170714-story.html>
that cites the fact that it's hot in the desert in the summertime to say
that air travel may be doomed.

But science, or something.

The cult's leader — Al Gore — said in 2009 that there was a 75 percent
chance that the entire arctic polar ice cap would melt
<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/copenhagen-climate-change-confe/6815470/Copenhagen-climate-summit-Al-Gore-condemned-over-Arctic-ice-melting-prediction.html>
by 2014.

It's still there.

The year before the North Pole was supposed to be gone, noted climate
scientist Hans von Storch went against cult orthodoxy in an interview
with Spiegel
Online
<http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/interview-hans-von-storch-on-problems-with-climate-change-models-a-906721.html>
in 2013 and had some interesting things to say about the climate prediction
models so revered by the alarmists.

After noting that “climate change seems to be taking a break,” von Storch
had this to say about the models:



“If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we
will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our
climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a
single modeled scenario. But even today, we are finding it very difficult
to reconcile actual temperature trends with our expectations.”

He followed that up with this after being asked what might be wrong with
the models:

There are two conceivable explanations — and neither is very pleasant for
us. The first possibility is that less global warming is occurring than
expected because greenhouse gases, especially CO2, have less of an effect
than we have assumed. This wouldn't mean that there is no man-made
greenhouse effect, but simply that our effect on climate events is not as
great as we have believed. The other possibility is that, in our
simulations, we have underestimated how much the climate fluctuates owing
to natural causes.

After so many swings and misses while attempting to predict doomsday as
being just around the corner, the alarmists have decided to provide
themselves a little cover:

Climate alarmist James Hansen's prediction
<http://granitegrok.com/blog/2016/04/manhattan-underwater-by-2018-not-so-much>
of Manhattan being underwater by 2018 seems to not be happening, so he's
moving
<http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/earth-sea-levels-rising-nasa-climatechange-chief-jim-hansen-global-warming-melting-ice-antarctica-a7841026.html>
his own goal posts and saying “50 to 150 years” now.

That's the beauty of being one of the “we believe in science” people:
there's never any penalty for being wrong. Every prediction that doesn't
come true isn't a cause for reflection about perhaps adjusting the
conclusion; it's merely an opportunity to pull a new prediction out of thin
air.

Perhaps they are finally getting embarrassed, though. Tossing all of the
predictions a century down the road at least saves them from having to be
around when those are proved wrong.

Unless, of course, the real scientists who are working on aging and
extending life have some big success soon.

http://tinyurl.com/y72lb7kr




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