Conservatives Say Low Wages Will Solve the Economic Crisis, But the
Opposite Is True
http://www.alternet.org/blogs/peek/108907/
FDR knew that high wages are good… and we should too.
You might be hearing from the right wing about how breaking the
unions
and letting wages fall is the solution to our problems. We've heard
this before. Let me tell you where.

In the late 1920's and early 1930's the global economy as it then was
constituted, suffered a series of moments of crisis. In truth it had
never gotten back to balance since the "Great War." The responses to
these crisis points made the situation. Orthodoxy of the age brought
disaster, and that orthodoxy was returning to an international gold
standard that was really only a recent innovation. As Bordo and
Eichengreen put it: "a system which relied on inelastically supplied
precious metal and elastically supplied foreign exchange to meet the
the world economy's demand for reserves was intrinsically fragile,
prone to confidence problems, and a transmission belt for policy
mistakes."


It's a nice way of saying that the Gold Standard was unsafe at any
speed.


When the crisis arrived, there were three responses. One was to try
and stick it out with the old system. This lead to falling wages and
high unemployment under persistent deflation. The other two responses
involved "casting off the fetters of gold." However, once this was
done there was still a choice: keep wages high and the industrial
system functioning, or let wages fall all the way to the floor, and
employ people by the state.


In the US, under the New Deal, dealing with deflation was deemed to
be
important, and keeping wages high enough so that people could buy the
products of industry was part of FDR's policy. It meant higher
unemployment, but a growing sphere of a new economy, one that would
eventually cover the nation with the excuse of World War II to bring
everyone into the new world of internal combustion, telephones,
electricity and broadcast. The argument was that it was easier to
provide a safety net for people who had fallen out of the old
economy,
and to give them work and relief, than to raise wages that had
fallen.


There was another choice, as Peter Temin, MIT economist, pointed out
that the Nazi's "socialized human beings," and they "destroyed the
unions within a few months of taking power," and "also introduced
compulsory labor service," as well as using tax incentives and
propaganda to convince women to leave the labor force." The result
was
a recovery to full employment "At the cost of their personal liberty
and higher wages," You can read all this on page 115 of his book on
lessons from the Great Depression. On page 9 you can see him rip
Lionel Robbins for prescribing wage deflation as a "fundamental
misconception."


It's on Google Books, and well worth getting a few electrons out of
bed to read the passages.


In the US it was realized that the great pressure on people who are
unemployed is debt, this is why they undertook debt relief, the real
thing, by programs such as the HOLC. Why didn't it lead to recovery
sooner? Why, an outbreak of economic orthodoxy led to balancing the
budget in 1937, and plunged the economy into a second recession. But
the architecture of the New Deal held, waiting for the moment when it
could uncoil and create a new economic order which survives to this
day. What the right wing, then, and now, played on was jealousy of
working people for each other. It was Boss Tweed that observed that
you can always hire one half of the poor to kill the other half of
the
poor. Let's not fall into that trap.


You might hear that "it wasn't the New Deal that cured the Great
Depression." But that's because the New Deal was always meant to save
the American economy, to buy time while the international crisis came
to a head. FDR knew there would be world war, and that the US had to
have the labor force and industrial base to fight it. What was done
during the war was the New Deal on steroids.


FDR told Americans in his acceptance speech in 1932 and in his
inaugural that people had to be able to afford the products of the
new
economy, and that was the New Deal policy. It worked, while the
regimes that tried to use force to push people into near starvation
level jobs and get the money back by invading other countries, are
now
in the dustbin of history.



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