From: Travis
Subject:  Counterfeiting Versus Monetary Policy
Date: Wednesday, December 17, 2008




*Counterfeiting Versus Monetary Policy
*Walter E. Williams
Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Congress is on a spending binge. With all the calls for bailouts, economic
stimulus and other assorted handouts, there is a real risk of inflation in
our future. If we do have a rapid inflation, it's likely that Congress, as
they did in the financial meltdown, will blame it on everybody except
themselves. Before Congress begins to shirk their responsibility, let's
understand what an inflation is and is not.

Several prices rising are not inflation. Only when prices across the board
rise is there inflation. But just as in the case of diseases, describing a
symptom does not necessarily tell us the cause. That is the same with
inflation; it is a symptom of something else. Nobel Laureate and noted
monetary theorist Milton Friedman explained, "(I)nflation is always and
everywhere a monetary phenomenon, in the sense that it cannot occur without
a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output." Put another
way, inflation results from an increase in the supply of money relative to
the demand for money.

That being the case, who is responsible for inflation? It's not you or I
because if we privately increased the supply of money to finance profligate
spending, we would be charged with counterfeiting and go to prison. The
Federal Reserve Bank, our central bank, is the only entity legally permitted
to increase the supply of money, to finance Congress' profligate spending.
The Federal Reserve Bank is supposed to be independent but it typically
accommodates the wishes of Congress and the White House.

Central banks are villains in most countries; ours is just not as bad as
others. In 1946, Hungary's central bank gave it the world's highest
inflation rate. Prices doubled every 16 hours creating an annual inflation
rate of 13 quadrillion percent. Last October, Zimbabwe's central bank
produced history's second highest rate of inflation. Prices doubled every 25
hours, giving it an annual inflation rate of 80 billion percent. By
comparison, Germany's inflation rate, which brought about the social
disruption responsible for Hitler's rise to power, was a mere 30,000 percent
that saw prices doubling every four days. You say, "Williams, that couldn't
happen here." Except during the Revolutionary War and the War of 1861, our
inflation has never exceeded 20 percent, but keep in mind that any
hyperinflation was once 20 percent.

Knowing the dangers posed by central banks, we might ask whether our country
needs the Federal Reserve Bank. Whenever I'm told that we need this or that
government program, I always ask what we did before. It turns out that we
did without a central bank from 1836, when President Andrew Jackson closed
the Second Bank of the United States, to 1913 when Federal Reserve Act was
written. During that interval, we prospered and became one of the world's
major economic powers.

The justifications for Federal Reserve Act of 1913 was to prevent bank
failure and maintain price stability. Simple before and after analysis
demonstrates that the Federal Reserve Bank has been a failure. In the
century before the Federal Reserve Act, wholesale prices fell by 6 percent;
in the century after they rose by 1,300 percent. Maximum bank failures in
one year before 1913 were 496 and afterward, 4,400. During the 1930s, inept
money supply management by the Federal Reserve Bank was partially
responsible for both the depth and duration of the Great Depression.

It is not wise for us to permit a few people on the Federal Reserve Board to
have life and death power over our economy. My recommendation for reducing
some of that power is to repeal legal tender laws and eliminate all taxes on
gold, silver and platinum transactions. That way there would be money
substitutes and the government money monopoly would be reduced and hence the
ability to tax -- some people would say steal from -- us through inflation.


http://townhall. com/columnists/ WalterEWilliams/ 2008/12/17/
counterfeiting_ versus_monetary_
policy<http://townhall.com/columnists/WalterEWilliams/2008/12/17/counterfeiting_versus_monetary_policy>
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