I'm with you Mark - if there was no money in it, it wouldn't exist. CW "Achievement is its own reward - pride obscures it." - Major Briggs, Twin Peaks
----- Original Message ----- From: "mark" <[email protected]> To: "PoliticalForum" <[email protected]> Sent: Friday, December 19, 2008 06:58 Subject: Re: Top 10 [Global Warming] Dud Predictions yep, more lies deceptions and scare tactics in an attempt to legitimize a radical enviornmental policy that will do more damage than good. although al bore and his cronies have made their millions out of the scam. On Dec 18, 5:44 pm, Cold Water <[email protected]> wrote: > (From Oz) > Top 10 dud predictions > Article from: > Andrew Bolt > > December 19, 2008 12:00am > > GLOBAL warming preachers have had a shocking 2008. So many of their > predictions this year went splat. > > Here's their problem: they've been scaring us for so long that it's now > possible to check if things are turning out as hot as they warned. > > And good news! I bring you Christmas cheer - the top 10 warming > predictions to hit the wall this year. > > -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > > a.. Your say: Andrew Bolt's blog > > -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Read, so you can end 2008 with optimism, knowing this Christmas won't be > the last for you, the planet or even the polar bears. > > 1. OUR CITIES WILL DIE OF THIRST > > TIM Flannery, an expert in bones, has made a fortune from books and > lectures warning that we face global warming doom. He scared us so well > that we last year made him Australian of the Year. > > In March, Flannery said: "The water problem is so severe for Adelaide that > it may run out of water by early 2009." > > In fact, Adelaide's reservoirs are now 75 per cent full, just weeks from > 2009. > > In June last year, Flannery warned Brisbane's "water supplies are so low > they need desalinated water urgently, possibly in as little as 18 months". > > In fact, 18 months later, its dams are 46 per cent full after Brisbane's > wettest spring in 27 years. > > In 2005, Flannery predicted Sydney's dams could be dry in just two years. > > In fact, three years later its dams are 63 per cent full, not least > because June last year was its wettest since 1951. > > In 2004, Flannery said global warming would cause such droughts that > "there is a fair chance Perth will be the 21st century's first ghost > metropolis". > > In fact, Perth now has the lowest water restrictions of any state capital, > thanks to its desalination plant and dams that are 40 per cent full after > the city's wettest November in 17 years. > > Lesson: This truly is a land "of drought and flooding rains". Distrust a > professional panic merchant who predicts the first but ignores the second. > > 2. OUR REEF WILL DIE > > PROFESSOR Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, of Queensland University, is Australia's > most quoted reef expert. > > He's advised business, green and government groups, and won our rich > Eureka Prize for scares about our reef. He's chaired a $20 million global > warming study of the World Bank. > > In 1999, Hoegh-Guldberg warned that the Great Barrier Reef was under > pressure from global warming, and much of it had turned white. > > In fact, he later admitted the reef had made a "surprising" recovery. > > In 2006, he warned high temperatures meant "between 30 and 40 per cent of > coral on Queensland's great Barrier Reef could die within a month". > > In fact, he later admitted this bleaching had "a minimal impact". > > In 2007, he warned that temperature changes of the kind caused by global > warming were again bleaching the reef. > > In fact, the Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network last week said there had > been no big damage to the reef caused by climate change in the four years > since its last report, and veteran diver Ben Cropp said this week that in > 50 years he'd seen none at all. > > Lesson: Reefs adapt, like so much of nature. Learn again that scares make > big headlines and bigger careers. > > 3. GOODBYE, NORTH POLE > > IN April this year, the papers were full of warnings the Arctic ice could > all melt. > > "We're actually projecting this year that the North Pole may be free of > ice for the first time," claimed Dr David Barber, of Manitoba University, > ignoring the many earlier times the Pole has been ice free. > > "It's hard to see how the system may bounce back (this year)," fretted Dr > Ignatius Rigor, of Washington University's polar science centre. > > Tim Flannery also warned "this may be the Arctic's first ice-free year", > and the ABC and Age got reporter Marian Wilkinson to go stare at the ice > and wail: "Here you can see climate change happening before your eyes." > > In fact, the Arctic's ice cover this year was almost 10 per cent above > last year's great low, and has refrozen rapidly since. Meanwhile, sea ice > in the Southern Hemisphere has been increasing. Been told either cool > fact? > > Yet Barber is again in the news this month, predicting an ice-free Arctic > now in six years. Did anyone ask him how he got his last prediction wrong? > > Lesson: The media prefers hot scares to cool truths. And it rarely holds > its pet scaremongers to account. > > 4. BEWARE HUGE WINDS > > AL Gore sold his scary global warming film, An Inconvenient Truth, shown > in almost every school in the country, with a poster of a terrible > hurricane. > > Former US president Bill Clinton later gloated: "It is now generally > recognised that while Al Gore and I were ridiculed, we were right about > global warming. . . It's going to lead to more hurricanes." > > In fact, there is still no proof of a link between any warming and > hurricanes. > > Australia is actually getting fewer cyclones, and last month researchers > at Florida State University concluded that the 2007 and 2008 hurricane > seasons had the least tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere in 30 > years. > > Lesson: Beware of politicians riding the warming bandwagon. > > 5. GIANT HAILSTONES WILL SMASH THROUGH YOUR ROOF > > ROSS Garnaut, a professor of economics, is the guru behind the Rudd > Government's global warming policies. > > He this year defended the ugly curved steel roof he'd planned at the rear > of his city property, telling angry locals he was protecting himself from > climate change: "Severe and more frequent hailstones will be a feature of > this change," he said. > > In fact, even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change admits > "decreases in hail frequency are simulated for Melbourne. . ." > > Lesson: Beware also of government advisers on that warming wagon. > > 6. NO MORE SKIING > > A BAD ski season three years ago - right after a great one - had The Age > and other alarmists blaming global warming. The CSIRO, once our top > science body, fanned the fear by claiming resorts such as Mt Hotham and Mt > Buller could lose a quarter of their snow by 2020. > > In fact, this year was another boom one for skiing, with Mt Hotham and Mt > Buller covered in snow five weeks before the season started. > > What's more, a study this year in the Hydrological Sciences Journal > checked six climate models, including one used by the CSIRO. > > It found they couldn't even predict the regional climate we'd had already: > "Local model projections cannot be credible . . ." > > It also confirmed the finding of a study last year in the International > Journal of Climatology that the 22 most cited global warming models could > not "accurately explain the (global) climate from the recent past". > > As for predicting the future. . . > > Lesson: The CSIRO's scary predictions are near worthless. > > 7. PERTH WILL BAKE DRY > > THE CSIRO last year claimed Perth was "particularly vulnerable" and had a > 90 per cent chance of getting less rain and higher temperatures. > > "There are not many other parts of the world where the IPCC has made a > prediction that a drop in rainfall is highly likely," it said. > > In fact, Perth has just had its coldest and wettest November since 1991. > > Lesson: As I said, don't trust the CSIRO's model or its warnings. > > 8. ISLANDS WILL DROWN > > THE seas will rise up to 100m by 2100, claims ABC Science Show host Robyn > Williams. Six metres, suggests Al Gore. So let's take in "climate > refugees" from low-lying Tuvalu, says federal Labor. And ban coastal > development, says the Brumby Government. > > In fact, while the seas have slowly risen since the last ice age, before > man got gassy, they've stopped rising for the last two, according to data > from the Jason-1 satellite. > > "There is no evidence for accelerated sea-level rises," the Royal > Netherlands Meteorological Institute declared last month. > > Lesson: Trust the data, not the politicians. > > 9. BRITAIN WILL SWELTER > > The British Met Office is home to the Hadley Centre, one of the top > centres of the man-made global warming faith. > > In April it predicted: "The coming summer is expected to be a 'typical > British summer'. . ." > > In fact, in August it admitted: "(This) summer . . . has been one of the > wettest on record across the UK." In September it predicted: "The coming > winter (is) likely to be milder than average." > > In fact, winter has been so cold that London had its first October snow in > 74 years -- and on the day Parliament voted to fight "global warming". > > Lesson: If the Met can't predict the weather three months out, what can it > know of the climate 100 years hence? > > 10. WE'LL BE HOTTER > > SPEAKING of the Met, it has so far predicted 2001, 2002, 2004, 2005 and > 2007 would be the world's hottest or second-hottest year on record, but > nine of the past 10 years it predicted temperatures too high. > > In fact, the Met this month conceded 2008 would be the coldest year this > century. > > That makes 1998 still the hottest year on record since the Medieval Warm > Period some 1000 years ago. Indeed, temperatures have slowly fallen since > around 2002. > > As Roger Pielke Sr, Professor Emeritus of Colorado State University's > Department of Atmospheric Science, declared this month: "Global warming > has stopped for the last few years." > > Lesson: Something is wrong with warming models that predict warming in a > cooling world, especially when we're each year pumping out even more > greenhouse gases. Be sceptical. > > Those, then, are the top 10 dud predictions of that hooting, screaming and > screeching tribe of warming alarmists. Look and laugh. > > And dare to believe the world is bright and reason may yet triumph. > > http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,24820442-5000117,00.html --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ Thanks for being part of "PoliticalForum" at Google Groups. For options & help see http://groups.google.com/group/PoliticalForum * Visit our other community at http://www.PoliticalForum.com/ * It's active and moderated. 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