From: Travis
Subject: Bush Has Made Us Vulnerable
Date: Friday, December 19, 2008,

 [The writer is a conservative. df]





OPINION<http://online.wsj.com/public/search?article-doc-type=%7BCommentary+%28U.S.%29%7D&HEADER_TEXT=commentary+%28u.s.>



WSJ, December 19, 2008



*Bush Has Made Us Vulnerable
<http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122965053466920579.html>*



*Two incompetently prosecuted wars have undermined our deterrent power.*



By MARK 
HELPRIN<http://online.wsj.com/search/search_center.html?KEYWORDS=MARK+HELPRIN&ARTICLESEARCHQUERY_PARSER=bylineAND>



In his great Civil War history, "Decision in the West," Albert Castel
describes the last Confederate hope of victory. If in 1864 the Confederate
armies continue to exact a steep cost from the North, "the majority of
Northerners will decide that going on with the war is not worth the
financial and human cost and so will replace Lincoln and the Republicans
with a Democratic president and Congress committed to stopping hostilities
and instituting peace negotiations." He cites the resolution of the
Confederate Congress that: "Brave and learned men in the North have spoken
out against the usurpations and cruelties daily practiced. The success of
these men over the radical and despotic faction which now rules the North
may open the way to . . . a cessation of this bloody and unnecessary war."
Plus ça change . . . .



The administrations of George W. Bush have virtually assured such a
displacement by catastrophically throwing the country off balance, both
politically and financially, while breaking the nation's sword in an
inconclusive seven-year struggle against a ragtag enemy in two small
bankrupt states. Their one great accomplishment -- no subsequent attacks on
American soil thus far -- has been offset by the stunningly incompetent
prosecution of the war. It could be no other way, with war aims that
inexplicably danced up and down the scale, from "ending tyranny in the
world," to reforging in a matter of months (with 130,000 troops) the
political culture of the Arabs, to establishing a democracy in Iraq, to only
reducing violence, to merely holding on in our cantonments until we
withdraw.



This confusion has come at the price of transforming the military into a
light and hollow semi-gendarmerie focused on irregular warfare and
ill-equipped to deter the development and resurgence of the conventional and
strategic forces of China and Russia, while begging challenges from rivals
or enemies no longer constrained by our former reserves of strength. For
seven years we failed to devise effective policy or make intelligent
arguments for policies that were worth pursuing. Thus we capriciously
forfeited the domestic and international political equilibrium without which
alliances break apart and wars are seldom won.



The pity is that the war could have been successful and this equilibrium
sustained had we struck immediately, preserving the link with September
11th; had we disciplined our objective to forcing upon regimes that nurture
terrorism the choice of routing it out with their ruthless secret services
or suffering the destruction of the means to power for which they live; had
we husbanded our forces in the highly developed military areas of northern
Saudi Arabia after deposing Saddam Hussein, where as a fleet in being they
would suffer no casualties and remain at the ready to reach Baghdad,
Damascus, or Riyadh in three days; and had we taken strong and effective
measures for our domestic protection while striving to stay within
constitutional limits and eloquently explaining the necessity -- as has
always been the case in war -- for sometimes exceeding them. Today's
progressives apologize to the world for America 's treatment of terrorists
(not a single one of whom has been executed). Franklin Roosevelt, when faced
with German saboteurs (who had caused not a single casualty), had them
electrocuted and buried in numbered graves next to a sewage plant.



The counterpart to Republican incompetence has been a Democratic opposition
warped by sentiment. The deaths of thousands of Americans in attacks upon
our embassies, warships, military barracks, civil aviation, capital, and
largest city were not a criminal matter but an act of war made possible by
governments and legions of enablers in the Arab world. Nothing short of war
-- although not the war we have waged -- could have been sufficient in
response. The opposition is embarrassed by patriotism and American
self-interest, but above all it is blind to the gravity of the matter.
Though scattered terrorists allied with militarily insignificant states are
not, as some conservatives assert, closely analogous to Nazi Germany, the
accessibility of nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons makes the
destructive capacity of these antagonists unfortunately similar -- a fact,
especially in regard to Iran, that is persistently whistled away by the
Left.



An existential threat of such magnitude cannot be averted by imagining that
it is the work of one man and will disappear with his death; by mousefully
pleasing the rest of the world; by hopefully excluding the tools of war; or
by diplomacy without the potential of force, which is like a policeman
without a gun, something that doesn't work anymore even in Britain. The
Right should have labored to exhaustion to forge a coalition, and the Left
should have been willing to proceed without one. The Right should have been
more respectful of constitutional protections, and the Left should have
joined in making temporary and clearly defined exceptions. In short, the
Right should have had the wit to fight, and the Left should have had the
will to fight.



Both failed. The country is exhausted, divided, and improperly protected,
and will remain so if the new president and administration are merely
another face of the same sterile duality. To avoid the costs of a stalled
financial system, the two parties -- after an entire day of reflection --
committed to the expenditure of what with its trailing ends will probably be
$1.5 trillion in this fiscal year alone.



But the costs of not reacting to China's military expansion, which could
lead to its hegemony in the Pacific; or of ignoring a Russian resurgence,
which could result in a new Cold War and Russian domination of Europe; or of
suffering a nuclear detonation in New York, Washington, or any other major
American city, would be so great as to be, apparently, unimaginable to us
now. Which is why, perhaps, we have not even begun to think about marshaling
the resources, concentration, deliberation, risk, sacrifice, and compromise
necessary to avert them. This is the great decision to which the West is
completely blind, and for neglect of which it will in the future grieve
exceedingly.



*Mr. Helprin, a senior fellow at the Claremont Institute, is the author of,
among other works, "Winter's Tale" (Harcourt) and "A Soldier of the Great
War" (Harcourt).*

* *








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