From: *Travis*
Date: Sat, Jan 24, 2009
Subject:  The Fall of United States of America-A soon Dismembered Nation



   Muslims are just stupid enough to eat up Russian (bad) propaganda.

B


It may be better to be a live jackal than a dead lion, but it is better
still to be a live lion. And usually easier. - Robert A. Heinlein


 ------------------------------
*From:* [email protected] [mailto:
[email protected]] *On Behalf Of *Khalid
*Sent:* Friday, January 23, 2009 9:49 AM
*To:* [email protected]
*Subject:* [Dost_Foundation] The Fall of United States of America-A soon
Dismembered Nation

 The fall of United States of America --a soon disremembered nation

A Research by Dr.Igor N. Panarin
Introduction of Igor N. Panarin (Russia)
Doctor of political sciences, professor of the Diplomatic Academy
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Russia.
Prof. PANARIN is the author of nine books, «Infowar and
power", "Infowar and world", "Infowar and election", and others, and
of many political essays published in various journals.
Prof. PANARIN often takes part in different political discussions on
the Russian TV on the main problems of Russian policy, development of
relationships between USA and Russia and many others.
His main interests are history, philosophy, psychology, computer
science, communication, election technology, conceptual problems of
globalization, the theory and practice of infowar.
In recent weeks, he's been interviewed as much as twice a day about
his predictions. "It's a record," says Prof. Panarin. "But I think
the attention is going to grow even stronger."
Prof. Panarin, 50 years old, is not a fringe figure. A former KGB
analyst, he is dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry's academy for
future diplomats. He is invited to Kremlin receptions, lectures
students, publishes books, and appears in the media as an expert on
U.S.-Russia relations.
But it's his bleak forecast for the U.S. that is music to the ears of
the Kremlin, which in recent years has blamed Washington for
everything from instability in the Middle East to the global
financial crisis.
Mr. Panarin's views also fit neatly with the Kremlin's narrative that
Russia is returning to its rightful place on the world stage after
the weakness of the 1990s, when many feared that the country would go
economically and politically bankrupt and break into separate
territories.
A polite and cheerful man with a buzz cut, Mr. Panarin insists he
does not dislike Americans. But he warns that the outlook for them is
dire.
"There's a 55-45% chance right now that disintegration will occur,"
he says. "One could rejoice in that process," he adds, poker-
faced. "But if we're talking reasonably, it's not the best scenario --
for Russia." Though Russia would become more powerful on the global
stage, he says, its economy would suffer because it currently depends
heavily on the dollar and on trade with the U.S.
Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic
decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and
the collapse of the dollar (Thanks to Interest based Banking System).
Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will
break into six pieces -- with Alaska reverting to Russian control.
In addition to increasing coverage in state media, which are tightly
controlled by the Kremlin, Mr. Panarin's ideas are now being widely
discussed among local experts. He presented his theory at a recent
round table discussion at the Foreign Ministry. The country's top
international relations school has hosted him as a keynote speaker.
During an appearance on the state TV channel Rossiya, the station cut
between his comments and TV footage of lines at soup kitchens and
crowds of homeless people in the U.S. The professor has also been
featured on the Kremlin's English-language propaganda channel, Russia
Today.
Mr. Panarin's apocalyptic vision "reflects a very pronounced degree
of anti-Americanism in Russia today," says Vladimir Pozner, a
prominent TV journalist in Russia. "It's much stronger than it was in
the Soviet Union."
Mr. Pozner and other Russian commentators and experts on the U.S.
dismiss Mr. Panarin's predictions. "Crazy ideas are not usually
discussed by serious people," says Sergei Rogov, director of the
government-run Institute for U.S. and Canadian Studies, who thinks
Mr. Panarin's theories don't hold water.
Mr. Panarin's résumé includes many years in the Soviet KGB, an
experience shared by other top Russian officials. His office, in
downtown Moscow, shows his national pride, with pennants on the wall
bearing the emblem of the FSB, the KGB's successor agency. It is also
full of statuettes of eagles; a double-headed eagle was the symbol of
czarist Russia.
The professor says he began his career in the KGB in 1976. In post-
Soviet Russia, he got a doctorate in political science, studied U.S.
economics, and worked for FAPSI, then the Russian equivalent of the
U.S. National Security Agency. He says he did strategy forecasts for
then-President Boris Yeltsin, adding that the details
are "classified."
In September 1998, he attended a conference in Linz, Austria, devoted
to information warfare, the use of data to get an edge over a rival.
It was there, in front of 400 fellow delegates, that he first
presented his theory about the collapse of the U.S. in 2010.
"When I pushed the button on my computer and the map of the United
States disintegrated, hundreds of people cried out in surprise," he
remembers. He says most in the audience were skeptical. "They didn't
believe me."
At the end of the presentation, he says many delegates asked him to
autograph copies of the map showing a dismembered U.S.
He based the forecast on classified data supplied to him by FAPSI
analysts, he says. He predicts that economic, financial and
demographic trends will provoke a political and social crisis in the
U.S. When the going gets tough, he says, wealthier states will
withhold funds from the federal government and effectively secede
from the union. Social unrest up to and including a civil war will
follow. The U.S. will then split along ethnic lines, and foreign
powers will move in.
California will form the nucleus of what he calls "The Californian
Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence.
Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic," a cluster of states
that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence.
Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an "Atlantic America"
that may join the European Union.
Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls "The
Central North American Republic." Hawaii, he suggests, will be a
protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into
Russia.
"It would be reasonable for Russia to lay claim to Alaska; it was
part of the Russian Empire for a long time." A framed satellite image
of the Bering Strait that separates Alaska from Russia like a thread
hangs from his office wall. "It's not there for no reason," he says
with a sly grin.
Interest in his forecast revived this fall when he published an
article in Izvestia, one of Russia's biggest national dailies. In it,
he reiterated his theory, called U.S. foreign debt "a pyramid
scheme," and predicted China and Russia would usurp Washington's role
as a global financial regulator.
Americans hope President-elect Barack Obama "can work miracles," he
wrote. "But when spring comes, it will be clear that there are no
miracles."
The article prompted a question about the White House's reaction to
Prof. Panarin's forecast at a December news conference. "I'll have to
decline to comment," spokeswoman Dana Perino said amid much laughter.
For Prof. Panarin, Ms. Perino's response was significant. "The way
the answer was phrased was an indication that my views are being
listened to very carefully," he says.
The professor says he's convinced that people are taking his theory
more seriously. People like him have forecast similar cataclysms
before, he says, and been right.
He cites French political scientist Emmanuel Todd. Mr. Todd is famous
for having rightly forecast the demise of the Soviet Union -- 15
years beforehand. "When he forecast the collapse of the Soviet Union
in 1976, people laughed at him," says Prof. Panarin.
He predicted that the USA would divide into six different
territories, which may join other countries:
1. The Californian Republic - will become part of China or be
under Chinese influence
2. Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Arizona, Utah and
Idaho
3. The Texas Republic - Predicted to become a part of Mexico or
be under Mexican influence
4. New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Arkansas,
Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and Florida
5. Atlantic America - May or may not join the European Union
6. Northeastern United States plus Kentucky, Tennessee, North
and South Carolina
7. Central North American Republic - Predicted to become a part
of Canada or be under Canadian influence
8. Midwest plus Montana, Wyoming and Colorado
9. Alaska - Predicted to go back to Russia
10. Hawaii - Would go to either China or Japan

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