Lebanon's pro-Western majority wins

Jun. 8, 2009

Associated Press , THE JERUSALEM POST

Lebanon's Western-backed coalition declared it had retained control of
parliament Monday after facing a serious challenge from Hizbullah and its
allies.

Official results for Sunday's election were expected later Monday, but the
winners celebrated by setting off fireworks and driving around in honking
motorcades.

The election was an early test of President Barack Obama's efforts to forge
Middle East peace. A win by Hizbullah would have boosted the influence of
its backers Iran and Syria and risked pushing one of the region's most
volatile nations into international isolation and possibly into more
conflict with Israel.

"I present this victory to Lebanon," Prime Minister Fuad Saniora said on
television after stations projected his pro-Western coalition was winning.
"It is an exceptional day for democracy in Lebanon."

OTV, the television station of one of Hizbullah's key Christian allies,
former army chief Michel Aoun, conceded that the party's candidates who
challenged pro-Western competitors in several Christian districts had been
defeated, preventing a victory for the Hizbullah-led coalition.

Lebanese newspapers projected the pro-Western coalition to win 68 seats in
the next parliament, with 57 for Hizbullah and its allies and three for
independents. Hizbullah retained its 11 seats.
That would almost replicate the deadlock that existed in the outgoing
parliament, in which the pro-Western bloc had 70 seats and an alliance of
Hizbullah and other Shiite and Christian factions had 58.

The leader of the largest bloc in the pro-Western coalition, Saad Hariri,
said early Monday in a televised speech that he extends his hand to the
losing side.

President Michel Suleiman set the political tone for the postelection period
when he expressed hope for a national unity government, a prospect both
sides have already raised.

But despite the conciliatory tone from the winners, the results raise
questions about whether Lebanon will be able to avoid the kind of political
gridlock and crisis that have buffeted the country for most of the last four
years.

Hizbullah had veto power in Saniora's Cabinet for the last year, which it
won after provoking the worst street clashes since the 1975-1990 civil war.
The pro-Western coalition had vowed not to give Hizbullah and its allies a
blocking minority in the new government if they won.

The race for the parliament is the first major Mideast event since Obama
reached out to the Arab and Islamic worlds last week in his speech in Cairo
in which he called for a "new beginning between the United States and
Muslims."

Obama challenged Muslims to confront violent extremism across the globe and
urged Israel and the Palestinians along with Arab states to find common
ground on which to forge peace.

Hizbullah, which the US considers a terrorist organization, has been one of
the staunchest opponents of US policy in the Middle East. It fought the
Jewish state in southern Lebanon in 2006 in a devastating war.

The US had warned that it could reconsider aid depending on whether
Hizbullah and allies won. The US has given around $1 billion to Lebanon's
pro-Western government since 2006.

Israel appeared to be happy with the results.
Lawmaker Tzahi Hanegbi, who heads the parliamentary committee in charge of
foreign affairs and defense, said the initial indications from Lebanon were
positive.

"We can say that after many years in which the leading trend in the Middle
East was the clear strengthening of the radical camp, the camp that puts
Israel and the US in its crosshairs, then yesterday might have been a
reversal of the trend," he told Army Radio.

The battle in Christian districts was the decisive factor. Lebanese
generally vote along sectarian and family loyalties, with seats for Sunnis
and Shiites in the half-Christian, half-Muslim, 128-member parliament
already locked up even before the voting started.

Christians in the pro-Western coalition warned that the heavily armed
Hizbullah would bring the influence of Shiite Iran to Lebanon. The Maronite
Catholic Church made a last-minute appeal, warning that Lebanon as a state
and its Arab identity were threatened, a clear reference to Hizbullah and
its Persian backer, Iran.

Sunnis were also driven to vote for the pro-Western coalition to get back at
Shiite Hizbullah gunmen for seizing the streets a year ago in Beirut from
pro-government supporters.

Turnout nationwide was about 52.3 percent, said the government, an increase
over the 2005 figure of 45.8 percent.

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1244371035563&pagename=JPArticle%2FShowFull

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