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*Chaos on Capitol Hill: All Politics Is Loco*

Michael Barone

Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Disarray. That's one word to describe the status of the Obama
administration's legislative program as Congress heads into its final four
weeks of work before the August recess. A watered-down cap-and-trade bill
passed the House narrowly last month, but Sen. Barbara Boxer has decided not
to bring up her version in the upper chamber until September.

Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus, who promised a health-care bill last
month, still isn't delivering, and neither is the Health Committee's
Christopher Dodd. They're both trying to nibble down cost estimates from the
Congressional Budget Office, which has put the price tag at a trillion or
more. But their latest ploys -- broad-based tax increases, transferring more
of the Medicaid burden to the states -- sound like sputtering.



Meanwhile, Majority Leader Harry Reid says he's taken off the table one
approach that has potential bipartisan support -- ending the tax preference
for employer-provided insurance.

In the House, there is more chaos. Commerce Committee Chairman Henry Waxman
has delayed the health-care markup he had planned for this week, giving the
Administration and House leaders a chance to win over balky Blue Dog
Democrats. Ways and Means Chairman Charles Rangel is also stymied, and says
all he knows about agreements that the White House has struck with various
health groups (pharmaceutical companies, hospitals, HMOs) is what he reads
in the papers.

All this sounds like muddling by incompetents, but in fact these Democratic
legislators are (mostly) highly competent, and they are trying to do very
hard things: restructure government regulation of -- or establish government
control over -- one-sixth (health care) and one-tenth (energy) of the
economy. And they're dealing with a president who has shown a striking lack
of interest in details and whose signal legislative achievement so far --
the $787 billion stimulus package passed in February -- has visibly failed
in its asserted goal of holding unemployment down to 8 percent.

It turns out that details matter, a lot, when you're slinging around great
gobs of dollars. Barack Obama let congressional appropriators write the
stimulus package. The result, according to the Government Accountability
Office, is that only $29 billion had been spent as of June 19, 90 percent of
it for Medicaid and "the State Fiscal Stabilization Fund administered by the
Department of Education."

Translation: The money has gone to state governments in fiscal trouble
because of declining revenues and (in some cases) profligate spending. This
insulates public employee union members from the painful effects of
recession that are being felt by almost everyone else, with the added
political benefit of channeling money to unions, which in turn channel some
of it to Democratic politicians.

Obama was also content to let Waxman and Edward Markey write the House
cap-and-trade bill. To get needed votes, they gave away carbon credits to
politically connected businesses rather than sell them by auctions whose
revenues Obama planned to use to finance health care. And they included
potentially embarrassing provisions, like one regulating the efficiency of
candelabra base lamps. Better be prepared to face the federal candelabra
inspectors.

Such are the people whom we are asked to trust to reshape the provision of
health care. They are struggling to amass the votes to establish a
government health insurance plan whose transparent purpose is to drive
private insurers out of business and impose one-size-fits-all health care on
the bulk of Americans. They already inserted into the stimulus package a
provision funding "comparative effectiveness research," which purports to
show what treatments are medically effective and cost-effective.

But comparative effectiveness research is, if not junk science, not a fully
developed intellectual enterprise. Medicine is an art as well as a science,
and comparative effectiveness research may too often compare apples and
oranges. Meanwhile, as Europeans know, the most effective way to squeeze out
costs, as Obama promises, is denial of care. Hip replacement at 60? Hey,
that's expensive, and you're too old.

Polls show that most voters -- and increasing numbers of independents -- are
queasy about vastly increased government spending and more concerned about
bolstering the economy than about reshaping health care or addressing
projected global warming. They've noticed that the stimulus package hasn't
delivered the promised results. Do they want to turn over the health care
and energy sectors to a president inattentive to details and congressional
leaders in disarray?



Copyright 2009 Salem Web Network. All Rights Reserved.

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