http://www.gsnmagazine.com/cms/industry-sectors/disaster-preparedness/2406.html



*The changing character of catastrophes in the 21st century*

By Mitchell L. Moss

Published July 29th, 2009



*Testimony delivered by Mitchell L. Moss, professor of urban policy and
planning at the Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Administration at
New York University, to the House Committee on Transportation and
Infrastructure's subcommittee on economic development, public buildings and
emergency management on July 27, 2009*.

I have been on the faculty of New York University for more than 35 years and
have done research on the role of federal, state and local governments in
planning for and responding to disasters and catastrophes.

Today, I would like to address two points: the changing character of
catastrophes in the 21st century and the role of the federal government in
providing assistance to assure the recovery from large-scale disasters and
catastrophes.

The United States faces substantially different risks today than those we
faced when the Stafford Act was signed into law. Globalization links our
nation to events and activities thousands of miles away, so that a major
financial collapse in Asia could disrupt our own financial markets or a
major storm surge overseas could disrupt shipping patterns and the supply of
products and goods that we have come to rely on.

Moreover, advances in information technologies have made us much more
dependent on advanced computer-based systems, thereby increasing our
vulnerability to breakdowns in our energy systems, transportation
infrastructure, and communication systems. As more of our public and private
life is organized around integrated digital information systems, a small
breakdown in one component could have serious and widespread consequences on
the entire nation.

Simply put, we need to recognize the changing scale of catastrophes. While
we have much experience with natural disasters that generate massive damage
on a city or community, we must increasingly consider the catastrophic
disasters that threaten our nation’s economy and capacity to function. In
such cases, the role of the federal government must go far beyond the
traditional concept of “supplemental assistance” since the very survival of
the nation is at stake. Clearly, we should recognize the increasing
possibility of “catastrophic disasters” and the need for the federal
government to take a direct role in providing aid to recover from such
events.

The Stafford Act -- the federal law governing FEMA and federal disaster
response -- recognizes only two levels of disaster, “Emergencies,” and
“Major Disasters.” “Emergencies” are small-scale events, where federal
assistance is required but total federal assistance is capped at $5 million.
“Major Disasters” is a catchall for any larger event, meaning the provisions
of law and the restrictions on FEMA’s ability to act within the law are the
same for a blizzard in Buffalo declared to be a “major disaster” as they are
for a devastating hurricane, earthquake, or terrorist attack.

Following Hurricane Katrina, Congress passed the Post Katrina Emergency
Management Reform Act of 2006, recognizing the need for an additional level
of response and creating a definition for a “Catastrophic Incident,” that,
when declared, will bring additional resources to bare, including “Regional
Strike Teams” and a “Surge Capacity Force.” This will help ensure that FEMA
has enough resources to adequately respond to a catastrophic event.

Just last year, one of the largest barriers in responding to Hurricane
Katrina was eliminated -- the designation of an “Incident of National
Significance.” A study conducted by the Law School at the University of
California, Berkeley found that the federal government’s response to
Hurricane Katrina was delayed for a full day because the Governor of
Louisiana requested support under the “major disaster” provisions of the
Stafford Act, while federal agencies were waiting for the declaration of an
“Incident of National Significance” by the Secretary of Homeland Security
under the National Response Plan. This inherent conflict was removed when
the National Response Framework replaced the National Response Plan last
year, and the concept of an “Incident of National Significance” was
eliminated, thereby allowing FEMA to quickly respond to a catastrophic
disaster.

However, despite these developments to increase FEMA’s reaction and capacity
in the face of a catastrophic event, FEMA’s response will continue to be
governed by the provisions of a “Major Disaster” under the Stafford Act,
suggesting that the distribution of assistance will continue to be hampered.
It is essential to consider amending the Stafford Act and to create a new
response level for “Catastrophic Incidents,” based on the definition of such
in the Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006, and upon the
declaration of a “Catastrophic Incident,” provide mechanisms within the
Stafford Act to expedite assistance to local governments, utility companies,
and residents in a cohesive and coherent way.

Following a serious catastrophe, the process of recovery must start by
assuring that funds are available for local governments to return to work.
Debris and trash must be removed. Law and order must be restored. Buildings
need to be inspected to determine which are safe. Plans must be approved to
rebuild what was lost. The Stafford Act allows FEMA to cover the overtime
costs of local government employees involved in disaster recovery work, but
when a local government discovers that its tax base has been destroyed due
to a catastrophe, it cannot pay employee’s regular salaries, let alone
overtime. After Hurricane Katrina, New Orleans was forced to lay off 3,000
workers due to a lack of money. Provisions must be included within the
Stafford Act to allow FEMA to fund both the salaries and overtime of state
and local workers following a catastrophe for an appropriate amount of time.


To make up for limitations within the Stafford Act, Congress historically
has appropriated billions of dollars and established special programs to
provide additional assistance following a catastrophe. After the 1994
Northridge (Los Angeles) Earthquake, Congress appropriated $11 billion. $40
billion was appropriated in assistance in the recovery from the September 11
attack, and $110 billion after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.

With the bulk of immediate rescue and recovery work, along with long-term
planning and rebuilding resting in the hands of state and local governments,
a system that provides federal assistance to state and local governments as
quickly as possible is paramount.

Where possible, money appropriated by Congress following a catastrophe
should also be provided directly to state and local governments in the form
of block grants. This will eliminate the burden and associated time delays
placed on federal agencies as they distribute the assistance, and it will
provide flexibility for state and local entities to deploy the money as they
see fit.

A general rider within the Stafford Act for catastrophic events, giving the
President, in consultation with Congress, the authority to wave Stafford Act
provisions and regulations following a catastrophe represents another
effective means of providing regulatory flexibility following a catastrophe.
To prevent an open ended mandate, the rider could also require the
President, after an initial damage assessment, and in coordination with
Congress, to set a cap on the amount of immediate and long term recovery
assistance that will be provided for the catastrophe.

The resumption of utilities is important to both the short term and long
term recovery following a catastrophe. Lives can be saved and suffering
minimized with functioning utilities. Yet, the Stafford Act only covers
public and non-profit utilities and does not recognize the presence of
de-regulated, for profit utilities.

For a community to recover from a catastrophe, money is essential and
accelerated action is needed to start the process of recovery. The Stafford
Act is based on the assumption that assistance to business and individuals
should first come from insurance. It is essential for businesses and
individuals to have insurance, and for the government to encourage insurance
coverage in order to minimize the amount of taxpayer money spent following a
catastrophic disaster.

One difficulty with this approach is that, following a catastrophe,
important documents required to document ownership and proof of insurance
are often destroyed or lost, making it difficult for people to apply and
receive government assistance in a timely fashion. As Don Wilson, president
of the national Association of Small Business Development Centers explained
following Katrina, “Even if your CPA has copies of your records, their
records may have been destroyed.”

Even more troubling, insurance companies have moved to minimize losses,
leaving victims in difficult financial positions. In a bid to avoid payouts
to those who had hurricane -- but not flood -- coverage following Katrina,
insurance companies argued that the damage in New Orleans was caused by
flooding, not the hurricane, and that the devastation along the Gulf Coast
was caused by surge flooding, not hurricane winds. Numerous Katrina related
lawsuits against insurance companies are making their way through the
courts, and in time judgments will be levied and settlements reached,
resulting in payouts -- but such comes years after people have made the
decision to rebuild or leave.

Even when insurance companies act to make payments, the devastation that
follows a catastrophe can overwhelm the company and result in multi-month
delays for insurance payments. Nine long months after Hurricane Katrina hit
Louisiana, the insurance modeling firm ISO estimated that out of $24.3
billion in insured losses in Louisiana, only half that amount -- $12.5
billion -- had been paid out.

The Stafford Act authorizes assistance to flow to qualified households to
cover non-insured losses following a disaster -- which is capped at $30,000
per household and further subdivided with caps on repairs, temporary housing
assistance, and other items. Given the problems inherent in quickly
receiving insurance claims following a catastrophic disaster, this
restriction should be amended so that following a catastrophe this aid can
flow to qualified homeowners and renters regardless of insurance coverage.
This will immediately put money in people’s pockets, encouraging them to
stay put and rebuild their devastated home and community. This assistance
could later be reimbursed to the government when insurance coverage is
received, or paid only to those who pledge to remain in their community.

Finally, the Stafford Act should be amended to recognize the potential for
21st century catastrophes that I mentioned at the outset of this testimony.
As currently written, the Stafford Act excludes chemical, biological, and
nuclear attacks and accidents from the list of disasters covered by the
definition of a “Major Disaster.” While the President has the authority
under other acts to respond to these disasters, each has the potential to
devastate local economies, wreck havoc on infrastructure, and generate the
need for temporary housing. Recovering from such attacks or accidents could
require extensive, long-term investment, which the assistance programs of
the Stafford Act are designed to facilitate -- but do not cover because a
major disaster is defined to exclude these types of events. Such events,
however, would be covered if the definition for a “Catastrophic Incident”
based on the Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006 is
included in the Stafford Act.

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