Interesting generic congressional vote from Rasmussen polling

[dick thompson]

Latest Generic Congressional Vote From Rasmussen:  Not much change, net, from last month. (Note that I am using the traditional — and logical — colors for the two parties, rather than the colors inflicted on us by the "mainstream" media.) The Republican lead comes from independents. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 42% would vote for their district's Republican congressional candidate while 38% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. Voters not affiliated with either party continue to heavily favor Republicans, 39% to 23%. Here's the latest Rasmussen data, if you would like to look at it in detail. (Caveat:  As I mentioned in the original post, some pollsters do not care for Rasmussen's methods.  You should know that he samples likely voters and weights his samples by party.  Other pollsters often sample voters, or even adults, and are less likely to weight their samples as Rasmussen does.  Those differences explain, at least partly, why Rasmussen's polls are almost always more favorable to Republicans than other polls. Here are the graphs for May, June, July, August, September, and October for comparison.  Soon, I'll probably do a graph showing more than a year at a time, for those who would like a look at the bigger picture.) - 9:12 AM, 4 November 2009   [link]