Already the administration is in Congress telling us they didn't really 
mean it about the date.


------------------------------------------------------------------------
December 4, 2009


  Gates Says Afghan Drawdown Timing Is Flexible

By DAVID STOUT 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/s/david_stout/index.html?inline=nyt-per>

WASHINGTON --- Obama administration officials tried again on Thursday to 
reassure members of Congress anxious about the military buildup 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/02/world/asia/02prexy.html> in 
Afghanistan, telling them repeatedly that American troops can begin to 
withdraw in July 2011. But the lawmakers seemed more interested in how 
long the withdrawal would take.

Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/g/robert_m_gates/index.html?inline=nyt-per>
 
said July 2011 "will be the beginning of a process, an inflection point, 
if you will, of transition for Afghan forces as they begin to assume 
greater responsibility for security." He went on to say that the pace of 
the withdrawal would be determined by "conditions on the ground."

"It will be a gradual but inexorable process," Mr. Gates told the Senate 
Foreign Relations Committee, in remarks on President Obama 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/o/barack_obama/index.html?inline=nyt-per>'s
 
plan to ship about 30,000 additional troops to Afghanistan next year, 
bringing the total American troops there to about 100,000.

Several members of the Foreign Relations Committee clearly wanted far 
more specifics than Mr. Gates offered in his nuanced remarks. Indeed, 
Senator Robert Menendez 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/robert_menendez/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
 
Democrat of New Jersey, was skeptical even about the July 2011 target 
date for beginning to bring home the troops, calling it "clearly 
aspirational."

"Can any of you tell me, after July 2011, that we won't have tens of 
thousands of troops years after that date?" Mr. Menendez asked Mr. 
Gates, as well as Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/c/hillary_rodham_clinton/index.html?inline=nyt-per>
 
and Adm. Mike Mullen 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/michael_g_mullen/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
 
the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/j/joint_chiefs_of_staff/index.html?inline=nyt-org>,
 
who were also testifying.

Mrs. Clinton said the "best information available at the moment" pointed 
to July 2011 as the pivotal moment. But she said that the withdrawal of 
troops would go on "probably for the foreseeable future," as would 
requests for "continuing logistical support for the Afghan security force."

Moreover, Mrs. Clinton said, despite the "limited" duration of the 
American military presence in Afghanistan, "our civilian commitment must 
continue, even as our troops begin coming home."

"We will be asking the young men and women, who not only serve in the 
military but are part of our civilian service team, to be taking great 
risks and facing extraordinary sacrifices," she said, adding that "we 
will do everything we can to ensure that their sacrifices make our 
nation safer."

As they have before, Mrs. Clinton and the Pentagon officials asserted, 
sometimes in the face of skeptics, that problems in Afghanistan and 
Pakistan 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/pakistan/index.html?inline=nyt-geo>
 
must be dealt with together, and that terrorists from Al Qaeda 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/a/al_qaeda/index.html?inline=nyt-org>
 
and the Taliban 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/t/taliban/index.html?inline=nyt-org>
 
insurgents are part of the same threat, even if they do not always 
coordinate their efforts.

The officials asserted, too, that the plans to withdraw American troops 
were definite enough, with the July 2011 starting date, to pressure the 
Afghan government to assume its responsibilities, yet flexible enough to 
meet the needs of the American military.

"It's not arbitrary at all," Admiral Mullen said, calling 2011 the right 
time to begin the transition to full Afghan control "responsibly and 
based on conditions."

Some members of Congress, notably Senator John McCain 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/john_mccain/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
 
the ranking Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee, have 
argued that it is unwise to set even an initial withdrawal date because 
doing so encourages an enemy. But Senator John Kerry 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/k/john_kerry/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
 
Democrat of Massachusetts and chairman of the foreign relations panel, 
disagreed. Setting a target date "will help create a sense of urgency" 
among Afghans, Mr. Kerry said.

"And for the Afghans who chafe at foreign boots on their soil, it sends 
a message that while America will remain committed to the Afghan people, 
we aren't interested in a permanent occupation," Mr. Kerry said.

Senator Jim Webb 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/w/james_h_webb_jr/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
 
Democrat of Virginia, wanted to know just what "conditions on the 
ground" would indicate that the withdrawal process could begin.

Mrs. Clinton said, "I think you raised a very profoundly important 
question." Part of the answer, she said, is "decentralization of 
government's function and authority" to reflect the way the mountainous, 
mostly rural country actually operates.

The Obama administration has tried to distinguish its efforts in 
Afghanistan from what it has characterized as the Bush administration's 
overly ambitious goals to build a democratic government in Iraq. Mr. 
Kerry said he was pleased that the approach to Afghanistan that Mr. 
Obama laid out did not amount to "an open-ended nation-building exercise 
or a nationwide counterinsurgency campaign."

But the difference between engaging in "nation-building" and propping up 
a fledgling Afghan government may not always be easy to discern. For 
instance, Mrs. Clinton said that America's commitment to Afghanistan was 
reflected not only by the presence of American troops but also by the 
significant commitment of American civilians in the country.

"Civilian experts and advisers are helping to craft policy inside 
government ministries," Mrs. Clinton said, adding that financial aid for 
those ministries would not be released until American overseers had 
confidence in them.

At another point, Admiral Mullen noted that the development of a 
reliable Afghan Army had been slow because "the Taliban make a lot more 
money than the national security forces right now." (The opium trade is 
a primary source of income for the Taliban.)

But, Admiral Mullen said, the American commander in Afghanistan, Gen. 
Stanley A. McChrystal 
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/stanley_a_mcchrystal/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
 
is seeing to it that that the Afghan forces' pay is being increased 
significantly, "which we think will have an impact."

An earlier version of this article incorrectly attributed comments about 
the withdrawal of American forces to Secretary of State Hillary Rodham 
Clinton. They were made by Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates.



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