Four Phonies Update

There were some technical problems with my earlier post on GOP deficit
phoniness, although not in any way that changes the message. So,
here’s an update. I use the intermediate-cost estimate from CRFB (pdf)
for the four Republican plans, and for consistency, I use CRFB’s own
estimate (pdf) for Obama. And here’s what we get:

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/29/four-phonies-update/

So it remains true that all of the proposals, except maybe Ron Paul’s
(which contains huge and probably impossible spending cuts) would lead
to higher deficits than Obama, based on a common assessment.

I see, however, that some commenters are declaring that it’s all OK
because of the voodoo “dynamic” effects of tax cuts for the wealthy. I
guess my question is, what on earth would make anyone believe in that
old nonsense at this point?

I mean, we’ve had two fairly clear-cut tests in recent decades: the
Clinton tax hike, which all the usual suspects said would produce
disaster, and the Bush cuts, which would supposedly produce a
wonderful boom. How did those turn out?

Also, the Romers have some careful new research looking at older data
— the drastic tax swings of the interwar years — and find only small
effects.

So let me rephrase my question: what conceivable evidence would
convince people that supply-side magic doesn’t work?

And meanwhile, the whole deficit hawkery of the right continues to be
revealed as a fraud.

Graph and more here:

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/29/four-phonies-update/

-- 
Together, we can change the world, one mind at a time.
Have a great day,
Tommy



-- 
Together, we can change the world, one mind at a time.
Have a great day,
Tommy

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