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http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/obama-nuclear-arsenal-cuts/2013/05/15/id/504736?s=al&promo_code=13820-1
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*Obama to Announce Major US Nuclear Force Cuts Soon ***

Wednesday, May 15, 2013 07:51 PM****

*By: Bill Gertz*****

President Barack Obama is set to announce a new round of strategic nuclear
warhead reductions in the near future as part of a disarmament agenda that
could reduce U.S. strategic warheads to as few as 1,000 weapons.

The next round of U.S.-Russian arms talks would follow Obama's expected
announcement that the United States' arsenal of strategic warheads can be
reduced unilaterally to around 1,000 warheads. That position is expected as
part of the Pentagon's long-delayed Nuclear Posture Review implementation
study that Obama was expected to sign earlier this year.

Recent press reports have indicated that President Obama may make the cuts
-- fully one-third of the nation's arsenal -- by executive action and
without Congressional authorization.

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Specialists on nuclear deterrence say further cuts beyond the 1,550
deployed warheads mandated by the 2010 New START arms treaty could
undermine the United States' ability to deter nuclear powers like Russia
and China, who have significant modernization programs for their nuclear
arsenals underway.

Further cuts also are likely to embolden other non-nuclear states,
including Japan, to consider building their own nuclear arsenals, analysts
say.

Retired Air Force Lt. Gen. Thomas McInerney said the administration is
seeking to unilaterally disarm U.S. nuclear forces, something that is "the
most dangerous thing I have ever seen an American president attempt to do."

"This is not the time to embark on such a dangerous path, with China,
Russia, Iran, and North Korea increasing their nuclear forces," he said.

A U.S. official familiar with strategic nuclear policy said the delay in
signing the implementation study may be the result of concerns among
military commanders in charge of nuclear deterrence that China's nuclear
arsenal is expanding more rapidly than anticipated, and that Russia and
other nuclear states, including Pakistan and North Korea, are modernizing
their forces.

"I hear increasing concerns about China," the official said. "We really
don't know what they're doing and what decisions are being made" about
China's nuclear-force modernization.

In addition to cuts to the nation's nuclear arsenal, the Obama
administration appears to be getting ready to limit U.S. missile defenses
in a new agreement with Russia.

Obama wrote a still-secret letter to Russian President Vladimir Putin that
was delivered in Moscow by White House National Security Adviser Thomas
Donilon during a visit there in mid-April.

Putin aide Yuri Ushakov told reporters in Moscow the letter "addresses
problems of military policy, including the missile defense and nuclear
arsenals issues."

A reply from the Russian president is expected soon, and a deal on both
missile defenses and new talks on strategic nuclear reductions could come
during Obama's visit to Russia in September.

Despite the Obama administration's pledge to not complete the final phase
of its missile-defense program in Eastern Europe, Moscow remains vehemently
opposed to the U.S- backed NATO plan to deploy a series of sea- and
land-based missile defenses in Europe over the next five years.

Washington says the deployment is meant to counter Iran's long-range
missiles, but Moscow insists they are covertly aimed at countering its
offensive strategic missiles.

"The administration is hoping to get some sort of missile-defense deal by
June, so that by September or October Putin and Obama can announce a new
round of nuclear-reduction talks," the official said.

*Rogers: Unilateral Reductions of 'Immense Importance' *

The impending nuclear cuts and missile-defense concessions are raising
concerns among senior Republicans on Capitol Hill who fear the president is
now following through on his open-microphone comment in March 2012 to
then-Russian President Dmitri Medvedev.

Obama was overheard promising the Russians "more flexibility" on missile
defenses after the November election.

Rep. Mike Rogers, chairman of the House Armed Services subcommittee on
strategic forces, said recently the administration's review of the nuclear
war plan is nearly complete and "is likely to recommend significant further
U.S. nuclear-force reductions."

"As the stockpile shrinks in size, we have reached the point where further
reductions take on immense importance to the nation's security and
international stability," said Rogers, an Alabama Republican.

Further angering Republicans are concerns that the administration, in order
to avoid congressional opposition and a difficult Senate ratification
process, is planning to make the next round of cuts through an executive
agreement rather than a treaty that requires Senate approval.

Rogers vowed to oppose that process. "Let me be clear: I intend to ensure
that no further reductions to U.S. nuclear forces, including New START
treaty reductions, will occur without a formal treaty or explicit,
affirmative authorization by Congress," he said in an April 24 speech to a
breakfast group on Capitol Hill.

In April, Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina told Newsmax TV
that "there will be a tremendous backlash" if Obama moves to unilaterally
deactivate a significant portion of the nuclear arsenal without
congressional approval.

"What kind of signals are we sending? Our nuclear deterrent arsenal needs
to be modernized," said Graham, a member of the Senate Armed Services
Committee.

As a further indication of the coming nuclear cuts, Defense Secretary Chuck
Hagel ordered the Air Force to conduct an environmental impact statement of
shutting down an entire wing of land-based intercontinental ballistic
missiles -- one of the clearest signs of coming additional force cuts. The
New START treaty contains no provision for shuttering an ICBM facility.

While the United States under Obama's anti-nuclear weapons agenda is
seeking to build down its forces, other nations, notably Russia and China,
are aggressively modernizing their weapons.

"The problem is not just Russia. Every other nuclear power is building up
their arsenals," the U.S. official said.

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The Russia strategic buildup is stark, officials say. It includes the
following new systems:

• A new mobile ICBM called the Yars-M to be deployed later this year that
will use a more powerful fuel, allowing the missile to better defeat
missile defenses. The missile will have a range of up to 6,835 miles and
have 10 warheads.

• A new rail-mobile ICBM is being deployed by 2020. The Soviet Union was
the first to deploy a rail-mobile SS24 in the 1980s.

• New submarines are being deployed with new submarine-launched Bulava
missiles.

• A new strategic bomber to be deployed by 2020.

• A new Kh-102 air-launched cruise missile will be deployed by 2013 and a
new Kaliber submarine-launched cruise missile is being developed.

China's strategic nuclear buildup also has been under way for a decade and
includes three new road-mobile ICBMs: the DF-31, DF-31A, and DF-41, and a
new submarine-launched ballistic missile, the JL-2.

The Pentagon revealed in its latest annual report to Congress on the
Chinese military that China is building two new classes of missile
submarines -- one for nuclear ballistic missiles and one for conventional
cruise missiles. It was the first time the Pentagon revealed the new
missile submarines, which were disclosed as China has begun deploying
Jin-class nuclear-missile submarines and new Shang-class nuclear-powered
attack submarines.

U.S. intelligence agencies estimate China has a relatively small nuclear
arsenal of around 240 warheads. The intelligence estimate was based in
large measure on China's declared policy of "no-first-use" -- that it would
not be the first to use nuclear arms in a conflict.

However, the recent Chinese defense white paper, the authoritative
statement of Chinese military and defense policy, for the first time made
no mention of the no-first-use nuclear policy, raising new concerns that
China is on the path for a large-scale strategic nuclear-warhead buildup.

Former State Department intelligence analyst John Tkacik said the rapid
deployment of Chinese missile submarines and the shift from single-warhead
to multiple-warhead missiles is changing the strategic balance.

"Doing the math, we're looking at 60 JL-2s on five submarines, each with at
least three MIRVs (multiple, independently targetable re-entry vehicles),
so that's 180 new Chinese nuclear warheads that we have to plan for,"
Tkacik said. "It gives me the heebie-jeebies."

Additionally, China recently deployed the first of its unique intermediate
range anti-ship ballistic missiles designed to defeat U.S. aircraft
carriers that are the key platform that would be used in any defense of
Taiwan, the island state that China has said it is prepared to use force to
retake. The missiles, known as the DF-21D, are considered a major threat to
U.S. naval forces operating in the western Pacific.

Asked during a recent congressional hearing if Chinese naval forces are a
worry, Adm. Jonathan Greenert said: "I would just say that I'm vigilant. I
would hate to say that I'm worried, yet, because I'm not necessarily
worried. Very vigilant, and we need to pay attention and understand the
intent. And challenge them on that intent."

North Korea, which has conducted three underground nuclear tests, also is
said to be developing small warheads for missiles. Asahi Shimbun reported
in January, quoting intelligence sources, that North Korea was ready to
test a "fusion-boosted fission bomb" in its next test. The sophisticated
bomb could be placed on a long-range Taepodong-2 missile, or North Korea's
new road-mobile ICBM, the KN-08.

Pakistan also is developing more modern nuclear warheads and missiles to
deliver them, U.S. officials said. Pakistan is said to be getting
assistance from China, which provided the designs for Pakistan's first
warheads, which in turn were based on stolen U.S. nuclear-warhead designs.

India, Pakistan's rival, also recently tested a new
intercontinental-ballistic missile and is working on an advanced ICBM.
*
U.S. Strategic Command Calls for Modernization*

With other nations making efforts to expand and modernize their nuclear
forces, U.S. military officials have voiced concerns about the need to
upgrade America's existing stockpile of nuclear weapons.

The commander of U.S. nuclear forces said he is concerned about cuts in
both the number of warheads as well as shortages in funding needed to
modernize aging nuclear weapons and infrastructure.

Nuclear forces that need upgrades include delivery systems, weapons
life-extension programs, stockpile monitoring, naval-reactor design work,
and upgrades for nuclear command and control, Gen. Robert Kehler, head of
the Omaha-based U.S. Strategic Command, said during a talk last June at the
Council on Foreign Relations.

If further funding cuts are made, "we will have to go back and do what we
did with this round of reductions: completely review what those impacts
could be and make the appropriate recommendations," the four-star general
said.

"Of all the elements of the nuclear enterprise, I'm most concerned with the
potential for declining or inadequate investment in the nuclear-weapons
enterprise itself; some declining investment that would result in our
inability to sustain the deterrent force," he said.

Rogers said he is concerned about "the sorry state of the nuclear
modernization commitments made during the last round" of talks with Russia.

Most Senate Republicans opposed the New START Treaty, noting its
significant gaps. While bringing Russia and the United States to parity in
strategic nuclear weapons of 1,550 each, it allowed Russia to maintain its
sizeable advantage in tactical nuclear warheads, with an estimated
stockpile of 3,800 such weapons. The United States, in comparison, has less
than 500.

In the end, a handful of Senate Republicans supported ratification of New
START after Obama promised to invest $85 billion over 10 years after 2010
to fix the aging U.S. nuclear arsenal and infrastructure, which is largely
based on outdated technology that spans the Cold War period from the 1960s
to the 1980s.

While the Pentagon has said it will try to protect nuclear-force
modernization from the devastating effect of across-the-board cuts as part
of congressional sequestration, funding for nuclear modernization is being
cut.

Rogers said in a recent speech that funding levels agreed to in 2010 were
the "minimum required to accomplish this modernization." However, the
administration is underfunding nuclear forces by between $1 billion and
$1.6 billion, he said.

"Setting aside the gross budget numbers and looking at capability, it is
easy to see that nuclear modernization is in grave danger," Rogers said.

Among the weapons systems in jeopardy is the replacement for the Ohio-class
ballistic-missile submarine, which is being delayed. Other programs that
are being delayed are urgently needed life-extension programs for W-78 and
W-88 nuclear warheads, the long-range standoff cruise missile, and numerous
other programs. And one of the most urgently needed facilities -- a
plutonium laboratory in New Mexico -- was canceled.

U.S. programs being delayed included the submarine-launched Trident D-5,
which is now two years late and will not be deployed until 2029 at the
earliest.

In addition, Congress and the Obama administration have blocked any
development of newer and safer nuclear weapons, allowing only the
refurbishing of older warheads.

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The U.S. official knowledgeable about nuclear forces said the Obama
administration's approach to strategic nuclear cuts fits the model of what
the late U.S. ambassador to the United Nations Jeanne Kirkpatrick called
the "blame America first" advocates.

"They see everything in the world as all the United States' fault and want
to restrict our strategic forces as a solution," the official said.****

** **

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