---------

PPP's newest Virginia poll finds a pretty steady race with Terry McAuliffe
leading Ken Cuccinelli 41-37. Those numbers are virtually unchanged from
late May when McAuliffe had a 42-37 advantage. Libertarian Robert Sarvis,
included for the first time, polls at 7%. His support is a reflection of
voter unhappiness with both candidates.

Virginians aren't high on Terry McAuliffe. 34% have a favorable opinion of
him to 36% with a negative one, and 30% don't have one either way. But he
fares a whole lot better than Ken Cuccinelli, who has a -15 net
favorability rating with 32% of voters seeing him positively and 47%
unfavorably. This race may come down to who voters think is the lesser of
two evils and for now that's McAuliffe.

The two candidates are tied with men, but McAuliffe leads based on his 7
point advantage with women. Cuccinelli's 75% of Republicans is slightly
more than McAuliffe's 73% of Democrats, but McAuliffe makes up for that
with a 7 point lead among independents at 40/33. McAuliffe leads with every
age group except for seniors, where Cuccinelli has a 7 point advantage
that's helping him to keep the race competitive overall.

Democrats lead the down ballot races in the state as well.
 The widest margin is in the Lieutenant Governor contest where Ralph
Northam has a 7 point lead over E.W. Jackson at 42/35. Jackson has higher
name recognition than Northam, but that's not a good thing because 15% of
voters have a positive opinion of him compared to 28% with a negative one.
25% of Republicans are undecided in the race, compared to only 14% of
Democrats, suggesting a lot of GOP voters have some doubts about their
party nominee.

The closest statewide race is the one for Attorney General where Mark
Herring leads Mark Obenshain 38-36 but there is still a substantial
percentage of voters- 25%- undecided. Neither candidate in that race has
made much of an impact on the public yet. Obenshain's name recognition is
just 33% and Herring's is 28%, with voters closely divided in their
opinions about both of them.

Finally Democrats have a narrow advantage on the generic legislative ballot
at 46/42...what that might equate to in terms of ability to gain seats
though may be limited by Republican friendly districting lines.

Full results 
here<http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_716.pdf>




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