http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/aug/30/obama-strike-syria-britain-vote
****

** **
Obama's Syria plans in disarray after Britain rejects use of force****

White House forced to consider unilateral strikes against Assad after
British PM unexpectedly loses key motion on intervention****

Paul Lewis <http://www.theguardian.com/profile/paullewis> and Spencer
Ackerman <http://www.theguardian.com/profile/spencerackerman> in Washington
****

   - The Guardian <http://www.guardian.co.uk/theguardian>, Thursday 29
   August 2013****

Barack Obama <http://www.theguardian.com/world/barack-obama>'s plans for
air strikes against Syria <http://www.theguardian.com/world/syria> were
thrown into disarray on Thursday night after the British parliament
unexpectedly rejected a motion designed to pave the way to authorising the
UK's participation in military action.****

The White House was forced to consider the unpalatable option of taking
unilateral action against the regime of Bashar
al-Assad<http://www.theguardian.com/world/bashar-al-assad>after the
British prime minister, David Cameron, said UK would not now take
part in any military action in response to a chemical attack in the suburbs
of Damascus last week. ****

Although Britain's support was not a prerequisite for US action, the Obama
administration was left exposed without the backing of its most loyal ally,
which has taken part in every major US
military<http://www.theguardian.com/world/us-military>offensive in
recent years.
****

Caitlin Hayden, a spokeswoman for Obama's national security council,
indicated the administration would consider acting unliaterally. "The US
will continue to consult with the UK government – one of our closest allies
and friends. As we've said, President Obama's decision-making will be
guided by what is in the best interests of the United
States<http://www.theguardian.com/world/usa>
.****

"He believes that there are core interests at stake for the United States
and that countries who violate international norms regarding chemical
weapons need to be held accountable."****

The US appears to have taken British support for granted. Hours before the
vote, the chairman of the Senate intelligence committee, Diane Feinstein,
expressed confidence that Britain would join any strike.****

Feinstein, a Democrat and staunch administration ally, told Time
magazine<http://%20http:/swampland.time.com/2013/08/29/feinstein-says-congress-need-not-vote-on-syria/>:
"I think the UK makes a difference. I think if the president were to decide
to go there's a very high likelihood that the United Kingdom would be with
us."****

The timing of the British vote, 272 to 285 against the government, was
disastrous for Obama. Less than 30 minutes after the vote, senior
intelligence officials began a conference call with key members of
Congress, in an attempt to keep US lawmakers on side.****

Congressional leaders and the chairs and ranking members of national
security committees were briefed by the most senior US intelligence
officials, amid signs that some of the support for military strikes against
Syria was fading.****

The officials said there was "no doubt" that chemical weapons were used in
Syria last week, Reuters reported. Obama aides cited intercepted
communications of Syrian officials and evidence of movements by Syria's
military around Damascus before the attack that killed more than 300
people, said Eliot Engel, the top Democrat on the House foreign affairs
committee.****

The 90-minute briefing was conducted by secretary of state John Kerry,
secretary of defense Chuck Hagel, national security adviser Susan Rice,
among others. ****

After the briefing, Carl Levin, the Democratic chairman of the Senate armed
services committee, urged a cautious approach. "I have previously called
for the United States to work with our friends and allies to increase the
military pressure on the Assad regime by providing lethal aid to vetted
elements of the Syrian opposition. ****

"Tonight, I suggested that we should do so while UN inspectors complete
their work and while we seek international support for limited, targeted
strikes in response to the Assad regime's large-scale use of chemical
weapons against the Syrian people."****

The UN has said more time should be given to diplomacy, and France, which
earlier this week declared its support for taking action against Syria, is
now calling for more time so UN inspections can be completed. A session of
the United Nations
<http://www.theguardian.com/world/unitednations>security council in
New York, called by Russia, broke up without agreement.
****

Ban Ki-moon, the UN secretary general, instructed the 20-strong inspection
team in Damascus to leave on Saturday, a day ahead of schedule. Ban also
announced that the team would report to him immediately on departure,
raising the possibility that the UN could issue an interim report on the 21
August chemical attacks that left hundreds of people dead.****

The inspectors had not been due to deliver their findings for a week at
least. The demand for a rushed early assessment reflects the fraught
atmosphere at the UN triggered by US threats to launch punitive air strikes
within days.****

Shortly before Britain's parliamentary vote, the New York Times quoted
senior administration officials saying the US administration was prepared
to launch strikes on Syria without a UN security council mandate or the
support of allies such as Britain.****

Earlier on Thursday, Joshua Earnest, the White House deputy spokesman,
seemed to confirm that was a possibility when he was asked whether the US
would "go it alone". He repeatedly said it was in US "core national
security interests" to enforce international chemical weapons norms. "The
president of the United States is elected with the duty to protect the
national security interests of America," he said. Any strikes would be
"discreet and limited", he said.****

However, Earnest also stressed the broad international support for the US
position – backing that now appears to be dissipating. The Arab League has
blamed Syria for the chemical attack, but stopped short of advocating
punitive strikes by the US.****

In recent days, Obama has spoken personally with leaders of France,
Australia, Canada and Germany. But none were as important as Britain, a
traditional ally during US military actions which has been lobbying behind
the scenes for months for a tougher action on Syria.****

Ken Pollack, a fellow from the Saban Centre for Middle East Policy, said
that with continuing uncertainty over the intelligence picture, and no
obvious legal mandate for military action, the US will be desperate to
secure more international backing to argue that intervention is
"legitimate".****

"If the administration can't even count of the full-throated support of our
closest ally, the country that stuck by us even during the worst days of
Iraq, that legitimacy is going to be called into question," he said.****

Now that the UK parliament has rejected an attack on Syria, Washington's
space for planning one is likely to be constrained, particularly as the
Obama administration prepares to release its intelligence tying Assad to
the 21 August gas attack. An unclassified report is due to be published on
Friday.****

Paul Pillar, a former senior CIA Middle East analyst and Georgetown
professor, said the loss of British support would lead to more "intense"
scrutiny of the US case for action against Syria. "The UK is, in many
important respects, the most important ally of the United States," said
Pillar. "This action by parliament is unquestionably significant in that
regard."****

** **


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