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*US ready to risk Israel, Saudi wrath to seal Iran deal*



*IAEA chief holds nuclear talks in Iran*
Vienna (AFP) Nov 11, 2013 - The head of the UN atomic watchdog holds talks
in Tehran on Monday after Iran and world powers failed to cut even an
initial nuclear deal over three gruelling days in Geneva.

International Atomic Energy Agency chief Yukiya Amano said before leaving
Sunday that his negotiations were "independent" to those of Iran with six
world powers, known as the P5+1.

But after Iran and the six powers dramatically fell short in Switzerland, a
deal with the IAEA could help repair damaged hopes for progress ahead of
the next P5+1 round on November 20.

"The only reason he (Amano) would go would be if he's confident that they
were going to agree on something," one Western diplomat in Vienna told AFP,
predicting an initial accord with "confidence-building measures".

Talking to a scrum of reporters before he took off from Vienna airport on
Sunday, the Japanese Amano said that Iran and the UN body had reached a
"very important point".

"Iran presented a new proposal (to the IAEA) last month that includes
practical measures to strengthen cooperation and dialogue, and we hope to
build on it," Amano said.

Mindful of his last Tehran trip in May 2012 when he failed to clinch an
accord, Amano though stopped short of echoing Iran's IAEA envoy in
predicting a breakthrough.

The IAEA conducts regular inspections of Iran's nuclear facilities but it
also wants Tehran to answer allegations that it was trying before 2003, and
maybe since, to develop a nuclear weapon.

Iran denies seeking or ever having sought nuclear weapons, and says the
IAEA's claims are based on faulty intelligence from the likes of the CIA
and Israel's Mossad.

For two years and in numerous meetings, Tehran has resisted IAEA requests
to visit sites where these alleged activities took place as well as to
consult documents and speak to certain Iranian scientists.

The sites include the Parchin military base where the IAEA wants to probe
claims that scientists conducted explosives tests that it says would be
"strong indicators of possible nuclear weapon development".

But the election this year of the more moderate Hassan Rouhani as Iranian
president has created fresh hope and momentum, as it has with Iran's
separate but related talks with world powers.

Those discussions with the United States, China, Russia, Britain, France
and Germany are focused more on Tehran's current activities, in particular
uranium enrichment, with Iran seeking sanctions relief.

The two diplomatic "tracks" are closely related, however, since world
powers want Iran to answer the IAEA's questions in order to ease fears that
Tehran wants the bomb.

The six countries -- all of which except Germany have nuclear weapons --
also want Tehran to submit to more intrusive inspections by the watchdog as
part of a wider accord.

The IAEA would also be closely involved in monitoring any freeze in
enrichment and in Iran sending its stockpiles of nuclear material to a
third country.

Hopes had soared for a deal in Geneva after foreign ministers including US
Secretary of State John Kerry joined the talks. But cracks emerged among
the powers and nothing was signed.

Israel, the Middle East's sole if undeclared nuclear power which has
refused to rule out bombing Iran, had expressed massive misgivings, calling
the mooted agreement "bad and dangerous".

by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Nov 11, 2013
The United States remains ready to upset key allies Israel and Saudi Arabia
by securing a swift nuclear deal with Iran despite the failure of talks in
Geneva, US-based analysts said Sunday.

While Tehran remained under the greatest pressure to reach a speedy deal
with the major powers, they said, Washington was anxious to take advantage
of Iran's willingness to negotiate an accord and avert future conflict in
the Middle East.

Three grueling days of discussions between Iran, the United States, China,
Russia, Britain, France and Germany ended early Sunday without agreement.

The parties had been hoping to broker an accord that would curb Tehran's
nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief.

By searching for a deal in Geneva, the US was "maybe trying to go a little
too far, too fast, but they were induced by the Iranian enthusiasm,"
according to Hussein Ibish, a senior fellow at the American Task Force on
Palestine.

"It is really the convergence of US and Iranian desires to avoid an even
deeper confrontation over the nuclear file that makes an agreement possible
at this stage," he added, citing the 10-year impasse concerning the nuclear
program, which Western powers suspect of being geared towards producing an
atomic bomb rather than peaceful civilian uses.

Alireza Nader, a senior international policy analyst at the RAND
Corporation think-tank, questioned the suggestion that the United States
was "rushing" to reach a deal at any cost with Iran, with whom it has had
no diplomatic relations since 1980.

Despite the historic phone call between US President Barack Obama and
Iranian counterpart Hassan Rouhani at the end of September, any improvement
in relations between the two sides must continue to be viewed in the
context of the decades of mistrust and animosity that preceded it.

However, it was the clear the the United States was keen on reaching an
agreement in Geneva, because a "a deal as a first step (provides) an
opportunity to stop Iran from moving towards a nuclear weapons breakout
capability."

Nader said the Obama administration had always favored a diplomatic
solution to the nuclear stand-off.

"I don't think the US position has changed in the last few months," Nader
said. "What we have seen now is the willingness by Iran to negotiate."

Iran was keen to see an easing crippling sanctions, notably restrictions,
which have frozen overseas assets worth several billion dollars.

US Secretary of State John Kerry meanwhile defended Washington against the
accusation that it was pursuing a deal with Tehran at all costs.

"We are not blind, and I don't think we're stupid," Kerry said.

He also sent a new message to Israel and Saudi Arabia, who have grown
increasingly alarmed at the warming of US-Iranian ties, saying Washington
had a "pretty strong sense of how to measure whether or not we are acting
in the interests of our country and of the globe, and particularly of our
allies like Israel and Gulf States."

Israel and Saudi Arabia anxious

Analysts are adamant that Israel and Saudi Arabia remain resolutely opposed
to any deal between Washington and Tehran.

"Both the Israelis and the Saudis have indicated publicly they want the
United States to go to war with Iran," said Trita Parsi, president of the
National Iranian American Council.

"If there is a deal, there will not be a war, that's why they are upset."

RAND Corporation expert Nader also noted the "anxiety" of Israel and Saudi
Arabia, who likely feared that a US-Iran deal would be harmful to their
long-term strategic interests.

"They are worried about Iranian-American relations improving to their
detriment," Nader said. The possibility of Iran playing a bigger role in
regional affairs "creates anxiety for Israel and Saudi Arabia."

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday Israel would do all
it could to "convince world powers to avoid a bad deal."

American Task Force on Palestine expert Ibish said Gulf states already
"seem to be concluding, with alarm, that the US is morphing from the
guarantor of regional stability to a broker of unsatisfactory and tenuous
agreements with regimes that should be confronted or contained."

"The Saudis and other Gulf states are starting to ask the question 'Why
does the US seem to be developing a panel of rewarding its enemies and
punishing its friends?'"



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