http://www.readabet.com/index.php/other/article/7237

Religion : Who Will Be The Next Pope?   
Monday, 30 July 2007

Pope John Paul II failed to appear at a midday Easter blessing on Monday for 
the first time in his 26-year papacy. The Pope traditionally makes a noontime 
appearance at his window overlooking St. Peter's Square on Easter Monday, a 
national holiday in Italy that marks the end of Holy Week celebrations.

However the 84-year-old pontiff, who has been recovering from throat surgery to 
ease a breathing crisis never appeared. The Pope managed only a few sounds 
during his Easter blessing on Sunday, and was clearly struggling and as sad it 
is, it can only be a matter of time before the College of Cardinals select the 
next Pope.

In anticipation of this event, Paddy Power have published a market on who they 
see as the most likely contenders to continue the fine work of Pope John Paul 
II.

When the time comes for a new pontiff to lead the world's 1.1 billion 
Catholics, John Paul's influence will still be considerable. He has appointed 
115 of the 120 cardinals eligible to elect the next Pope, all with an eye to 
enforcing his conservative stance.

John Paul has also recruited cardinals from the poor but vibrant southern rim 
of Catholicism and from regions hardly ever represented before. New cardinals 
hail from as far away as Cameroon, Syria, and the Dominican Republic. This 
widening of the ranks complicates the task of figuring out who the next Pope 
will be.

There is one school of thought that a transitional pope may be the best way 
forward, for example one older than 75 who may not be around for too long. In 
that scenario, the next Pope could be Joseph Ratzinger, who has been John 
Paul's enforcer on Church doctrine. The German candidate is a 7/1 chance with 
Paddy Power. 

Favourite with the Irish layers at 5/2 is Dionigi Tettamanzi of Milan who is 
being tipped by many Vatican insiders to be named Pope John Paul II's 
successor. Known for his diplomatic skills, the Italian has his conservative 
credentials in order.

What may count against Tettamanzi is the 450 years of Italian popes experienced 
by the Church. With so many Catholics in South America (Today nearly 65 per 
cent of Catholics live in Africa, Asia and Latin America), a pope from this 
part of the world may be an option, in which case Oscar Maradiaga (4/1) from 
Honduras would be in with a chance. Another option could be Cardinal Claudio 
Hummes of Brazil (12/1). 

However, it should be noted that some senior members of the hierarchy fear 
that, with Christianity's influence on the wane in the West, there is a 
powerful need for a European Pope to be appointed to arrest decline.






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"[M]y ministry is that of servus servorum Dei."
--Pope John Paul II (Ut Unum Sint, no. 88)

"And I tell you, you are Peter, and on this rock
I will build my church, and the powers of death
shall not prevail against it."
--Matthew 16:18 
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