on 08/01/03 1:29 PM, Andrew at [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> Hey, does anybody know what processors the 12" iBooks will have next?
> I was going to purchase an iBook, but I looked at macrumors.com and
> they said that new ibooks and powerbooks are coming this September. I
> don't want to get a G3 iBook if G4s are coming soon. Anyone know?
1) Anybody that knows is under NDA! Them that ain't (either ain't
knowledgeable OR ain't under NDA, take your pick) are just speculating.
2) No matter what you buy or when you buy it, Moore's Law + Murphy's Law
tells you that you will almost inevitably feel like you *caused* a new
machine to come out, rendering your beautiful, new, shiny, blisteringly fast
purchase SO last nanosecond! Buy based on your requirements (actually make
that 150% of your requirements, since too much is never enough) and pretty
much put the blinders on when it comes to the future.
3) One piece of prognostication does seem *somewhat* valid, namely the page
that MacRumors (I think it's them) has where they discuss how long it's been
since a particular model has been refreshed, relative to historical
averages.
4) A sort of inverse to #2 is that (barring your current machine breaking
irreparably) if your present machine still meets the requirements, however
minimally, then you should seriously consider allowing the passage of time
to bring about faster machines at lower cost than what you're presently
looking at. Note that need for an additional machine is obviously a change
in the basic requirements.
{Hmmm... perhaps someone should start a sort of 'futures market' for Mac
rumors... ;-) )
Just another tidbit... I think one of the writers on LowEndMac recently
wrote about all the times he upgraded and it worked out to a rule of thumb
of "upgrade very time a new Mac becomes 4x the power of your current one" or
something like that. You might consider giving yourself a benchmark like
that to help keep you from developing excessive stress every time a new
model comes out. For myself, I've found that my rule of thumb is that I
spend a near constant amount per year for CPUs (i.e., disregarding software,
peripherals, etc. purchases) of about $300/yr. Anyway, the point is to keep
some more strategic goal in mind so you aren't jerked about by the latest
rumormongering. Then you can just read the rumors for fun...
OK, enough meandering from me...
- Eric.
--
Eric Strobel ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
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