China and the power game
     
      Nayan Chanda International Herald Tribune

      SATURDAY, APRIL 30, 2005
     


     
      NEW HAVEN, Connecticut Within days of the last Marine helicopter lifting 
off from the American Embassy in Saigon on April 30, one could see a new 
regional power balance taking shape. 

      It was a very different order from the one that the Kennedy 
administration had feared when it committed troops to Vietnam more than a 
decade earlier. Instead of triggering the fall of Southeast Asian dominoes into 
China's lap, Vietnam was emerging as a barrier against the very influence that 
Washington had fought - Beijing's. 

      A few days after watching North Vietnamese tanks crash through the gate 
of the presidential palace, I met a North Vietnamese colonel in a music store. 
Hoping to gauge the North's political leanings, I had asked him if they read 
the Peking Review in Hanoi. 

      "Yes," he said, nodding approvingly, "it's very good paper, good to roll 
cigarettes." 

      Nor did North Vietnamese troops entering Saigon show any affection for 
China. Mao portraits and flags hoisted in China town as a welcoming gesture to 
the Communists were swiftly ordered taken down. 

      The sound coming from the Chinese capital was not one of applause for 
Vietnamese comrades-in-arms. The People's Daily headlined the threat from 
Soviet hegemonists, relegating the communist victory in South Vietnam to a 
secondary place. 

      This was the anticlimactic denouement of an American involvement in 
Vietnam that had been premised on stopping the Chinese. 

      Instead, as the North Vietnamese Army took control of Saigon, they made 
no attempt to interdict the evacuation, treating the U.S. helicopter evacuation 
as a temporary withdrawal. They refrained from raising their flags at the U.S. 
Embassy, sparing the United States the humiliation of its ignominious 
departure. 

      Meanwhile, in the north stood giant China, locked in a struggle with the 
Soviets and deeply suspicious of a pesky Vietnam that had fought repeatedly 
against Chinese attempts at domination. Thus, despite its success in driving 
out America, Vietnam continued to view the U.S. presence as a guarantee for its 
independence. 

      If there was ever any doubt about the wisdom of considering the 
Vietnamese as China's puppets, it was removed four years later when China sent 
troops across the border to "teach Vietnam a lesson." Deng Xiaoping had given 
advance warning of the "lesson" to President Jimmy Carter and received tacit 
American support for his actions. 

      Of course, by then, Vietnam, facing Chinese hostility and bloody border 
raids by Beijing's ally, the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia, had signed a friendship 
treaty with the Soviet Union. Vietnam invited the Soviet Navy to Cam Ranh Bay, 
and, with Soviet aid, ousted the Khmer Rouge from power. 

      In another era or another context, the Vietnamese might have been 
applauded for bringing about regime change in Cambodia and liberating their 
neighbors from a genocidal nightmare. What instead followed the ouster of Pol 
Pot from Cambodia was nearly two decades of isolation and punishment of 
Vietnam. By July 1995, when the Americans finally returned to restore 
diplomatic relations with Vietnam, Asia's geopolitical picture had again 
changed dramatically. 

      An economically vibrant and militarily resurgent China was well on its 
way to claiming leadership in Asia. Drawn together by the mutual need for a 
balanced situation in Asia, Hanoi and Washington had quietly begun taking baby 
steps in military cooperation. 

      Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld welcomed his Vietnamese counterpart 
Pham Van Tra to the Pentagon in 2003, when the two reached an agreement 
allowing U.S. Navy warships to call at Vietnamese ports. U.S.-Vietnam relations 
came full circle in November 2003, when - exactly 38 years after the first 
American marines landed in Danang - the U.S. frigate Vandegrift made a port 
call in Vietnam. It has since been followed by other warships. 

      A dispute over the positioning of the American and Vietnamese flags was 
resolved when the Vietnamese dropped their demand for the visiting ship to fly 
Vietnam's red and gold flag above the Stars and Stripes. As the Vandegrift 
steamed into Saigon port, both flags flapped gently in the breeze, hanging side 
by side. 

      (Nayan Chanda, editor of YaleGlobal Online, covered the fall of Saigon 
for the Far Eastern Economic Review. He is the author of ''Brother Enemy: The 
War After the War.'' )  


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