http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/620392.html

                  Last update - 08:17 02/09/2005    
           
           
            Analysis / The motivation behind Musharraf's dramatic step 
           
            By Yossi Melman, Haaretz Correspondent
           
           
            Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf's decision to establish open 
ties with Israel, as reflected in the meeting on Thursday in Istanbul between 
Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom and his Pakistani counterpart, required 
considerable courage. 

            Israel and the Jews are widely hated in Pakistan, and millions of 
Pakistanis still believe in conspiracy theories along the lines of the 
Protocols of the Elders of Zion - i.e., that Jews rule the world - and blame 
the Mossad for the September 11, 2001, attacks in the United States. Pakistan's 
Islamic opposition parties have already announced that today will be a "day of 
protest" against the decision, and such protests can turn violent: In January, 
when a Pakistani paper gave an interview to Shimon Peres, dozens of 
demonstrators attacked the paper's offices in Karachi, beating the guards and 
breaking furniture and windows.

            Musharraf has been hinting for more than two years that he is 
considering some sort of relationship with Israel: For instance, he shook 
Peres' hand at the last World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, and he has 
met with representatives of Jewish organizations during his trips overseas. He 
even raised the idea publicly last year, but encountered such a storm of 
opposition at home, particularly from opposition parties and religious circles, 
that he swiftly dropped it.


           
           
                  
                 
            Now, using the withdrawal from Gaza as a pretext, he has taken 
another step forward. True, his spokesman insisted that the Istanbul meeting 
did not constitute recognition of Israel, and that diplomatic ties would be 
established only after a Palestinian state arises. Nevertheless, diplomatic 
sources in Islamabad told Haaretz last night that Musharraf has made a 
strategic decision and will not retract it, even if it generates public outrage.

            There are two reasons for this decision. First, Pakistan - and it 
is not the only country to think so - believes that Israel and the Jews can 
open doors for it in the U.S. government. But the more important reason relates 
to India, Pakistan's traditional foe. Over the past decade, Israel has formed a 
strategic alliance with India that has generated cooperation in the 
intelligence and nuclear fields and expanded trade, and in particular has made 
India into a leading market for Israeli defense exports. Musharraf therefore 
concluded that a dramatic step such as Thursday's was necessary to try to 
reshape this alliance into something less disturbing to Pakistan. 
           
     
     


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