*http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,489103,00.html



Paris Air Show No Party for European Planemaker**

By Carol Matlack*

Plagued by problems and delays, the A350 widebody is trailing its more
fuel-efficient rival, Boeing's Dreamliner.

The scenario: Struggling to compete against Boeing's fuel-efficient 787
Dreamliner, Airbus redesigns its planned A350 widebody plane under pressure
from airlines. It scores a hefty launch order for the revamped aircraft from
Qatar Airways, but most other major carriers hang back, even though Airbus
offers deep discounts.

That's the situation as the biannual Paris Air Show opens on June 18. But
unfortunately for Airbus, it was pretty much the same story at the start of
the last Paris Air Show, in 2005.

The A350 saga underscores that Airbus has been, in many ways, paralyzed for
the past two years. Delivery of its A380 megaplane, originally scheduled for
early 2006, is almost two years behind schedule because of wiring problems
caused by mismatched design software. The delay plunged Airbus $750 million
into the red last year and is expected to wipe out more than $6 billion in
projected profits through 2010, denying the company a key source of
financing to develop the A350.

Panels in Question

Multiple redesigns of the A350 have already pushed its planned launch to at
least 2013, five years after the 787 is expected to enter service. And the
A350 has few major customers apart from Qatar, which had ordered an earlier
version of the plane and recently announced it would buy 80 of the revamped
model, known as the XWB. Boeing, meanwhile, has mopped up 582 orders for the
Dreamliner, giving it a huge advantage over Airbus in widebody planes, the
industry's most lucrative sector.

Yet the financial hit from the A380 is only one reason for the A350's
painfully slow takeoff. Airlines are worried that the plane, which Airbus
says will have an aluminum frame covered with composite carbon-fiber panels,
still can't match the efficiency of the all-composite 787. Airbus says
they're wrong, and that more airlines will order the A350 once they see
detailed specs.

But at least one big customer appears to have walked: Steven Udvar-Hazy,
chairman of aircraft-leasing group International Lease Finance Corp., the
world's single largest aircraft buyer. He has repeatedly criticized the
A350's design, and ILFC is set to place a major Dreamliner order during the
Paris show, according to people familiar with the situation. "This air show
will be brutally hard for Airbus," says Doug McVitie, an aerospace analyst
in Dinan, France.

Why Not Outsource?

Why doesn't Airbus just respond with an all-composite A350? For one thing,
the Europeans are several years behind Boeing in research and development on
composite materials. Building an entire airframe out of composites is a lot
more complicated than making composite panels.

Even so, Airbus could outsource the composite work. Boeing has subcontracted
65 percent of the work on the Dreamliner to suppliers who are building the
wings and almost all of the fuselage. Indeed, one of Boeing's key suppliers,
Alenia Aeronautica of Italy, is right in Airbus' back yard and would gladly
work for the European plane maker, too.

But for Airbus, outsourcing would be fraught with difficulty. As part of its
"Power 8" cost-cutting plan -- intended to offset the A380 losses and the
effects of a strong euro -- the company is putting 6 of its 16 factories up
for sale. It's unlikely to find buyers unless those facilities are
guaranteed continued work on Airbus planes. And if Airbus shifted work away
from its own factories, the resulting layoffs could trigger crippling
strikes and political backlash. "They are really stuck," says Nick
Cunningham, an aerospace analyst at the Panmure Gordon brokerage in London.

Don't Count It Out

The Dreamliner isn't the only Boeing plane that could benefit from the
A350's woes. Flush with cash from the hot-selling aircraft, Boeing could
revamp its widebody 777 model in the next few years to improve efficiency.
That would hurt not only the A350 but also the A330, Airbus's current
best-selling widebody. Boeing also could get a head start developing a new
composite narrow-body plane, replacing the 737 in the competition against
Airbus' A320 line.

Airbus certainly won't go out of business. It makes excellent aircraft and
has more than 2,500 backorders. Carriers will keep buying from the European
maker because they want to have two strong competitors in the industry. And
despite the A350's difficulties, Airbus' ace salesman John Leahy is likely
to secure some decent orders for the plane. Just last week, for instance,
Tim Clark, the chief executive of another key potential customer, Emirates
Airlines, said he was mulling a possible A350 purchase. The troubled plane
will make it into the air someday, but Airbus' bumpy ride won't be over
anytime soon.


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

Kirim email ke