http://www.theage.com.au/world/terror-cloud-on-indias-poll-show-20090410-a2ve.html?page=-1


Terror cloud on India's poll show
Matt Wade, New Delhi 

April 11, 2009 
THE world's biggest election is about to begin but there are fears terrorism 
could spoil India's festival of democracy.
After repeated terrorist strikes across India over the past year, officials 
fear that the month-long national poll that starts on Thursday could become the 
next target.

One danger is an attack by Islamic militants originating in Pakistan, similar 
to last November's Mumbai assault that killed 180.

Indian intelligence services are also worried the Tamil Tigers, the Sri Lankan 
rebel group that killed former Indian leader Rajiv Gandhi in 1991, might strike 
again. It is feared Rajiv Gandhi's widow and Congress leader Sonia Gandhi, her 
son Rahul and daughter Priyanka could be attacked in retaliation for India not 
pressuring Sri Lanka for a ceasefire.

India is also grappling with home-grown insurgency groups that might want to 
disrupt the poll.

Despite these threats, campaigning in the world's biggest parliamentary 
democracy has been as colourful as ever.

Former Test cricketer Chetan Chauhan, a candidate for the Bharatiya Janata 
Party (BJP), is one of several retired cricketers standing. He launched his bid 
this week by staging a cricket match in a park with local youths.

Apart from cricketers, there is a grand tradition of Indian actors turning to 
politics.

The election campaign in the south Indian state of Andra Pradesh, with a 
population of 75 million, has been electrified by the entrance of Chiranjeevi, 
the region's biggest movie star.

When Chiranjeevi held a rally to launch his Praja Rajyam (People's Rule) party 
last August, nearly a million people attended. Authorities allocated 1500 buses 
and 18 trains to ferry fans to the event and a stampede at the gathering 
injured about 35.

The array of celebrity candidates means conventional politicians have to work 
hard for political oxygen.

Sonia Gandhi, matriarch of the dynasty that has dominated Indian politics for 
more than 60 years, and son Rahul, will address about 180 meetings as they 
battle to keep their Congress Party in power.

Mrs Gandhi, the Italian-born grandmother who found herself India's most 
powerful politician after the death of her husband, is a seasoned campaigner. 
She is credited with guiding Congress to an unexpected triumph at the last 
election, which allowed Congress form a coalition Government that has governed 
since.

Congress stalwart Manmohan Singh, who has been Prime Minister for five years, 
is again the party's candidate for PM. But many expect Rahul Gandhi will 
eventually replace the 76-year-old if Congress polls well. Rahul's father Rajiv 
Gandhi, grandmother Indira Gandhi and great-grandfather Jawaharlal Nehru were 
all prime ministers.

The other leading candidate for prime minister is the 81-year-old BJP leader, 
L. K. Advani. He promises to deliver decisive government but the BJP - a Hindu 
nationalist party - has been plagued by internal divisions and has struggling 
to deliver a clear political message.

It is unlikely that any party will win an outright majority, meaning 
post-election deal-making will almost certainly be required to form a coalition 
government.

The most likely outcome is a multi-party alliance led by either Congress or the 
BJP, but it is possible a "third-front" government made up of regional and 
left-wing parties will be formed.

If it lasted, a third-front Government might shift India's approach to foreign 
and economic policy. For example, any government dependent on the support from 
leftist parties could stifle the closer ties India has forged with the United 
States.

GOING TO THE POLLS

?Since the 2004 election, India has acquired 43 million new voters.

?The country's 543-seat lower house, the Lok Sabha, will be elected in five 
phases over the next month.

?About 4 million polling officials will use around 1.1 million electronic 
voting machines, with the poll result announced on May 16.


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