> Oracle said that before, didn't it?
>
Over the past 23 years I have heard rumors and prophecies about PCs
vanishing in favor of Thin Client appliances, and huge
Intranet/Internet/Centralized Servers managing the entire computing
experience for "all" End Users.  The only thing that vanished for the most
part was the Thin Client appliances taking over the End User experience.
False start after false start, and millions of dollars made vainly in
Hype-Investment by those organizations deluded into thinking they were
certainly the perfect candidate for this "brand new technology", only to
have their organizations reverting to the more expensive (but more useful)
PC-to-Server environment.

Thin Client can functionally (not merely technically) work in the proper
environment, but certainly not in all environments (or even most).  Yet
folks were "tricked" into thinking their company was perfect for Thin Net,
and the sales person pushing them into the "new technology" had no realistic
incentive to talk their customers out of a large commission expenditure.
Time and again I have seen companies lose focus as their Thin Net efforts
would crash and burn when trying to make Thin Net work at least as well as
their more conventional (and previously operational) PC-Server architecture.
So sad, yet funny as hell.  Lemmings.

I still remember Larry Ellison mouthing off about how Oracle was going to be
the company to finally "make it happen".  Enough said about Oracle's impact
in making it happen I guess.  Long ago false prophets were stoned to death,
now they get rewarded for being dead wrong.  Nothing so new as something too
old (1-2 years) for the current management of a firm to be aware of in Thin
Net's previous existence(s).  Much less the reasons why the previous efforts
met with failure for so many organizations.  I have become very cautious
about adopting any "new technology" (or Windows O/S) until it has been in
the retail market for about 2 years.  No more being the first in the water,
'cuz that be where the sharks lurk...

Gil

> -----Original Message-----
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Man-wai CHANG
> Sent: Thursday, January 11, 2007 6:40 AM
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject: Re: [NF] The end of desktop software development?
>
>
> > Accordingly to what a KPMG consultant told the company I was
> working for ten
> > years ago, the PC is dead and right now we all are using some
> sort of set
> > top box or thin client.
>
> Oracle said that before, didn't it?
>
> --
>   .~.   Might, Courage, Vision, SINCERITY. http://www.linux-sxs.org
>  / v \  Simplicity is Beauty! May the Force and Farce be with you!
> /( _ )\ (Ubuntu 6.10)  Linux 2.6.19.1
>   ^ ^   19:39:02 up 30 days 1:51 0 users load average: 4.41 3.96 2.78
> news://news.3home.net news://news.hkpcug.org news://news.newsgroup.com.hk
>
>
[excessive quoting removed by server]

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