I like the simulation at http://setosa.io/conditional/ for getting a viscereal understanding of dependent probabilities.
There's some things about probability which are easy to slip by a person, if you just focus on the words. But, having the three probability values in front of you, with an active simulation, and watching how changing on and holding another steady matters for the third really gets those ideas across. Anyways, it's definitely worth a good half hour of play. Thanks, -- Raul On Mon, Mar 28, 2016 at 8:14 PM, Devon McCormick <[email protected]> wrote: > Hi - I've put up some links relating to my recent talk introducing Bayesian > statistics - http://www.sigapl.org/BayesianLinks.php . > > Thanks to Ian Clark for reviving my old APL essay on this ( > http://code.jsoftware.com/wiki/User:Devon_McCormick/DynamicLinearModels/BayesianFinancialDynamicLinearModel_iac) > by fixing the broken APL characters. I may get around to re-doing this in > J one of these days. > > -- > > Devon McCormick, CFA > > Quantitative Consultant > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > For information about J forums see http://www.jsoftware.com/forums.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------- For information about J forums see http://www.jsoftware.com/forums.htm
