http://www.smh.com.au/world/iran-nuclear-bid-tipped-to-provoke-saudi-bomb-20120129-1qo21.html
Iran nuclear bid tipped to provoke Saudi bomb 
Ben Doherty 
January 30, 2012 
  a.. 
 
The reactor building of a nuclear power plant in Iran. Saudi Arabia are feared 
to align with Pakistan for its own nuclear bomb. Photo: AP

THE arrival yesterday of a senior United Nations team in Tehran has raised 
hopes that Iran may be in the mood to talk about its nuclear program. But there 
are growing fears that neighbouring Saudi Arabia will turn to Pakistan for its 
own bomb if Iran develops nuclear weapons.

The two nations' military officers train together, Saudi Arabia has reportedly 
bought Pakistani missiles and the Saudi air force was created using Pakistani 
training, aircraft and pilots.

When Pakistan tested its first nuclear device in 1998 and was placed under 
sanctions by an outraged US and Europe, 50,000 free barrels of oil a day from 
Saudi Arabia helped it survive.

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Throughout the 1980s and '90s, hundreds of millions of Saudi dollars were 
poured into Pakistan's efforts to build nuclear weapons, funding as much as 60 
per cent of the program.

That money was given, it is widely believed, on an understanding that Pakistan 
would offer Saudi Arabia nuclear protection, or, at some future date, the 
chance to buy weapons or the technology to make them.

Europe joined the US last week in imposing sanctions on Iranian oil, after an 
International Atomic Energy Agency report said Tehran had ''carried out 
activities relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device''.

Specifically, Iran has begun work at a new facility - an airstrike-resistant 
bunker at Fordo, near the city of Qom - seen as a step towards producing 
weapons-grade uranium. Analysts believe Iran could have a bomb as soon as next 
year.

The agency's latest delegation to Iran includes two senior weapons experts - 
Jacques Baute, of France, and Neville Whiting, of South Africa - suggesting 
Iran may be prepared to address weapons allegations. Saudi Arabia has warned 
that if its long-standing regional rival succeeds in building a bomb, it wants 
one too.

Prince Turki al-Faisal, a former head of Saudi intelligence, reportedly warned 
US and Britain that Iran gaining nuclear arms ''would compel Saudi Arabia … to 
pursue policies which could lead to untold and possibly dramatic consequences''.

''If our efforts, and the efforts of the world community, fail to convince 
Israel to shed its weapons of mass destruction and to prevent Iran from 
obtaining similar weapons, we must, as a duty to our country and people, look 
into all options we are given, including obtaining these weapons ourselves.''

Most analysts are convinced the Saudis will turn to Pakistan.

''For all its wealth, Saudi Arabia does not have the technical and scientific 
base to create a nuclear infrastructure,'' Pervez Hoodbhoy, a nuclear physicist 
at Islamabad's Quaid-e-Azam University, told the Herald. ''Too weak to defend 
itself and too rich to be left alone, the country has always been surrounded by 
those who eye its wealth.''

But despite being ''enormously indebted'' to Saudi Arabia, Islamabad cannot 
simply sell bombs ''off the shelf'' to Riyadh, Professor Hoodbhoy said.

''Deterrence becomes effective once you advertise you have a weapon in hand,'' 
he said. ''But if a country buys weapons surreptitiously, it cannot flaunt them 
as a nuclear deterrent because of the obvious question, 'Where did you get them 
from?'''

Saudi Arabia, a close ally of the US, cannot be seen to be buying nuclear 
weapons from Pakistan, and Pakistan, already a nuclear pariah, cannot afford to 
be cast, again, as a proliferator of arms.

A secret weapons program would put Saudi Arabia in breach of a memorandum of 
understanding with the US that promises American assistance for a civilian 
nuclear program in return for the Saudis not pursuing ''sensitive nuclear 
technologies''.

Even with assistance, building nuclear weapons would take Saudi Arabia 10 to 15 
years, Professor Hoodbhoy said.

with Associated Press


Read more: 
http://www.smh.com.au/world/iran-nuclear-bid-tipped-to-provoke-saudi-bomb-20120129-1qo21.html#ixzz1kxOVhLXx


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